Burnt Spaghetti she/her Posted March 4 Posted March 4 The water felt luxurious. But also wrong. It was a relief to relax a little, to clean up after the walk, to clean the scrapes and cuts from the explosions. But how could she relax with all this going on? Cindra looked to her flute, sitting on a rock nearby with the rest of her pack. The idea of playing music while relaxing in the waters sounded dreamlike to her, yet she found herself unwilling to do so. The wrongness of not understanding what was going on, of feeling like there was disaster still hidden. Last time they'd been attacked. Surely they weren't safe this time either. The stick she had picked up on the road, she had broken off the twigs to make it a big smoother. It had functions as a bit of a walking stick, but more than anything, she didn't want to be unarmed anymore. She had added some of the more decorative flowers she had to it though. It wasn't as pretty as what she was sure Thistle would be able to pull off, but it was a splash of whimsy that served as a pleasant distraction. 1
Stick. she/her Posted March 4 Posted March 4 14 hours ago, Doc12 said: How does Burnt being an obvious teammate with Mistfallen square with Burnt becoming a counterwagon to Mistfallen? I thought they wouldn't be e-e based on the way the trains switched mid-cycle. On 3/3/2026 at 7:55 AM, Archer said: the way i see it the burnt and Mistfallen wagons formed independent of each other (the mistfallen wagon reached its peak before the burnt wagon but they started forming pretty much parallel to each other), and the timing of the divergent wagon was more in line with a “counter wagon” so to speak. Tho imo if divergent is v there’s max two e on the wagon. there is a world where all three of these ppl are e and the elim team just had a crap day but that might be too optimistic Tagging @The Unknown Medallion cuz u asked as well coco is probably a bad train @Ashbringer i am like 90% sure that’s a villa 7 hours ago, Mistfallen Soldier said: Hmmm, Wonko was killed by the NK, which could be because Burnt is Elim, or it could be because the thought he was postman based on the convo about the blast mask. But they didn’t kill Doc last loop? Im not sure what to make of this yet but Burnt. like cmon look at this, this unvote makes no sense to me LOL it’s funny that i have zero threadpull here
Through the living Wahr He/Him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 So, I think I will switch my Vote from Araris back to Mistfallen I don't trust either of them, but it does seen like that going After Mistfallen will actually get somewhere. I also have a bit of an elim lean on TJ, something feels off about him. ———————————————————————————————— RP: After a few hours of trying to get a hang of his New Sword, Wahi sat down at one of the Campfires, despite the very low temperatures, Wahi was still sweating, he felt like he wasnt very good with the sword, he had Goten enough of a feeling on how to handle it so he wasnt a danger to himself or others but he probably wouldnt be of very muche use if the Camp got attacked. 3
Archer he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 (edited) 1 hour ago, Stick. said: it’s funny that i have zero threadpull here There's a dichotomy of influence: 8 hours ago, DrakeMarshall said: we should've probably just listened to Stick yesterday Drake is willing to follow you, 1 hour ago, Burnt Spaghetti said: The stick she had picked up on the road, she had broken And Burnt would like to break you. I've probably tortured Mistfallen long enough. I'm realistically never voting them today. I could be talked into a TJ vote, but Araris is my preference. Edit: wahr, this is very inefficient Edited March 4 by Archer 1
Through the living Wahr He/Him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 (edited) @Archer Its not my fault that you Switched to Araris, If I had known that, I would have stayed on Araris, obviously. I Switched because it seemed like there wasnt much interest in exeing Araris today and that my vote would be more usefull elsewhere. If I get the feeling that it would acomplish anything I will probably go Back to Araris but not right now, because that would just feel silly Edited March 4 by Wahrheitswächter
Archer he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 5 minutes ago, Wahrheitswächter said: @Archer but not right now, because that would just feel silly you're right, this is no time for silliness! Now if you'll excuse me, I have some Very Serious RP to write. * Ouae watched Sakon inspect the weapons. He tossed one after another aside, muttering about them not being good enough. Editor's note, this is only funny if you remember that Sakon is the Quartermaster of Clock Town. Ouae pointed out a good looking one. "That sword seems alright!" "Hm, yes, this passes inspection." "i guess you could say a Quarter passed one." 3
Through the living Wahr He/Him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 (edited) Very Serious Roleplay indeed, I would even go so far as to say that is the most serious Roleplay I have seen this Game so far Edited March 4 by Wahrheitswächter
|TJ| he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 Day 3-A: Hael train starts with Divergent TUM train starts with Archer Stick adds on to Hael to create a train ; Mistfallen votes for TUM. 2-2. Coco votes TUM, 3-2 (someone please explain the whole "rupees reset is a good thing if he is village" part pls) Divergent and Araris go back-and-forth on Araris' Mistfallen vote from earlier. Gut not e/e interaction this. Hoid Slayer votes Hael to create a tie. Hmmm, not much changes in terms of my reads. I think Mistfallen had relatively lesser activity, which is possibly why I was feeling the absence of their posts. Araris and Doc are still village I think. Hael should be super village given there was no attempt to break the tie or to push TUM further into the lead. I still do not have a solid elim read. TBC...
Amanuensis he/him Posted March 4 Author Posted March 4 10 hours and 45 minutes remain in the Day! (2) Burnt: Doc, coco, (2) Mistfallen: Stick, Wahrheit, (1) TJ: Drake, (1) Araris: Archer, (1) Archer: Araris, (1) coco: Ashbringer,
coco.pudding she/they Posted March 4 Posted March 4 Oh cool, people are actually willing to vote Araris it seemed like that wasn’t going anywhere earlier. Burnt 39 minutes ago, |TJ| said: someone please explain the whole "rupees reset is a good thing if he is village" part pls TUM hadn’t been very active and so didn’t have many rupees. He was both someone who some people were suspicious of and someone who it was decided would be a good person to hard clear if that did happen. He also benefitted from dying because it would ultimately give him more rupees, so he volunteered (some people didn’t like that and voted him because of that, some voted him for the other reasons I just mentioned). Someone can correct me if I’m wrong on any of that, it’s just what I remember happening.
Through the living Wahr He/Him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 Well now it seems like exeing Araris actually gets some Interest, I will switch again as I think now It will be usefull to Vote Araris instead of Mistfallen Yes I said switching back would be Silly just an hour Ago, but I think that changed now that my Vote will break the tie and be actually usefull.
Ashbringer he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 8 hours ago, DrakeMarshall said: why would you ask for that while deconsolidating your own vote Maybe to prove a point. Also I'm curious what people's thoughts are on coco, but I'll probably go back to TJ if no traction this turn. Idk, I'm working on something but also am Busy today so we'll see if it shows up soon or not. Meanwhile @The Unknown Medallion thoughts on things?
Through the living Wahr He/Him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 4 minutes ago, Ashbringer said: Also I'm curious what people's thoughts are on coco, Well I do agree with you that I do not trust Coco, but I equally do not trust Mistfallen and Araris. Would probably agree to go with Coco next Day
|TJ| he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 Day 1-B: Mistfallen jumps to a 2-0 lead - votes from Wonko and Ash. I'm going off the assumption that Divergent is evil because I have no idea why they would say that Hael is evil here. Wahr makes it 3-1 (araris on divergent). Stick makes it 4-1. @Archer, I'm trying to solve Coco, what exactly do you mean re: quite part out loud? Doc votes Wonko, I think I'm okay with moderate village read on Doc at this point. Elims usually feel someone is a lot more village than they actually are, especially if they had started discussing kills for the night. It is weird for an elim to vote for the same player that they decide to kill later in the same cycle. I'm also okay to village read DrakeDragon8 (funny because Drake is a Hoenn Elite 4 member specializing in Dragon-type Pokemon), Coder was quite villager-y in the beginning as well. Burnt votes Mistfallen. 5 and a bunch of ones. I was wondering how/when the train changes but Wonko shifts from Mistfallen to Stick. 4-2. Something I've been noticing the whole game - Coco has this thing where they agree or make it clear that they side with something that is obvious and already a common consensus. This has been happening repeatedly enough that I do elim-read this now. Burnt unvotes Mistfallen. Hmm, lots of math in this post and obv math is evil but Burnt feels quite genuine in this post. Maybe. Could be because of the pushback against a Mist exe in the thread and they were asked to back the vote but eh idk. 3-2-2. (Mistfallen-Stick-Burnt) Hael votes Divergent and brings them into the mix. 3-2-2-2. Burnt votes me here. I don't know, I keep flip-flopping about them. This feels like an LHF vote, where they don't know who else to vote for, and I was an easy target. Doc votes Burnt and it's 3-3-2-2 now. (Mist-Burnt-Stick-Divergent) Ash moves from Mist to Burnt. 4-2-2-2 Burnt's lead now solidifying. TUM votes Divergent. 4-3 Coco votes Divergent. 4-4. Ash moves off Burnt to vote me. 4-3 Wonko votes Burnt to create the tie again. Archer is the decisive vote as he moves off Burnt and onto Divergent. 5-3. Ash back on Burnt to make it 5-4. Okay, so the shift off Mistfallen was triggered by Wonko, whom we can assume as village. Hael is the one who makes Divergent a viable option. Doc ties Burnt in the lead. Ash solidifies Burnt's lead. TUM and Coco votes ties Divergent. Here, the proponents of vote changes are all seemingly village. Hael is village from being a part of TUM tie. I am reading Doc as village. Ash and TUM are conf. village. The only unknown for me here is Coco. So, if the major vote changes were all village-motivated, there is a solid chance that Divergent-Burnt could have been e/e. Suppose it's not, and suppose one of them is e: (a) If Divergent is evil and Burnt is village -> Burnt was leading 4-2 and the votes from TUM and Coco make it 4-4. ANY vote from this point onwards should be seen as an attempt to protect Divergent. But the only votes we see are - Ash to vote from me, Wonko votes Burnt (again, village) and Archer to vote ON Divergent. So where is the effort to protect Divergent then? This makes case (a) quite unviable. (b) If Divergent is village and Burnt is evil -> Burnt leading 4-2, so all votes after this point is to protect Burnt. TUM is village but Coco's vote would then be seen as a teammate's vote. Archer's last minute change would also mean teammates vote. The question then arises - why was Archer parked on Burnt for so long? I guess the team could be Burnt, Coco, Archer + 1 but hmmmm need to think about it. Obviously, case (b) is a lot more viable than case (a) I'm thinking if it could be v/v, since vote changes being village-motivated could also mean a v/v train. Let's see -> Village reads: TUM, Araris, Wahr, Ash, Hael, Doc, Drake, Mist If we are assuming the v/v case, then Burnt is added to the above list, which leaves me with Coco, Stick, Archer and Hoid Slayer... That is not a good list imo. It's likely someone on my village reads is not village and the first to drop out of it would be Araris but it still does not make a good 5-person pool. This is my likelihood tier -> Case (b) > Both Evil >= Both village > Case (a) Case (b) and Both Evil required e!Burnt. Further, Case (b) also required e!Coco. Both Evil would absolve Coco, but the question is 'where is the attempt to save both?'. There was a moment where I was on 2 votes and would have been a viable counter to both of them so what happened? If Both Village, then my first vote would be on Coco and then leads to me revaluating my village reads. All the roads lead to Burnt and most of the logical roads lead to Coco, for me. TBC... need to read Day 2-B and then I'll vote.
|TJ| he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 edit: just waiting for someone to post then i'll give me thoughts on the cycle so far.
Myst He/Him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 Kieran shivered, the city had been a mess. It hadn’t been like that before. But with all the explosions… everything has fallen apart. The expedition was a failure, and then these people had started blowing everything up. Kieran was thankful they weren’t there anymore, but something seemed off… hopefully the worst was over, but he didn’t feel like it would be ——- Im liking the activity from TJ, speaking of which. Do we need to worry about life getting in the way?(aside from how it usually does) just want to know if I can expect you to be able to respond 1
|TJ| he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 SMH, it did not merge >> Just now, Mistfallen Soldier said: Im liking the activity from TJ, speaking of which. Do we need to worry about life getting in the way?(aside from how it usually does) just want to know if I can expect you to be able to respond I should be active around this time every day from now on. Again, I would not be around for rollover because 3AM, but I should be active for about 3-10 hours before rollover every day. Thoughts about this cycle so far, Araris and Mistfallen are absolute NOs. I am looking mainly between Coco and Burnt. Coco is connected to Archer [D2A vote], Coco is connected to Burnt [D1B vote], Archer is connected to Burnt [D1B vote]. So, [Coco, Burnt] with an outside chance of Archer. ed1t: after that, it's stick and hoid slayer.
Ashbringer he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 (edited) Alright, from the top! TUM: E!Read: Araris, TJ Spoiler 13 hours ago, The Unknown Medallion said: This post gives me massive Araris/TJ e/e vibes Also don't like the acknowledgement of fitting his on criteria as that could be e!Araris tmi-ing his reasoning for train dynamics Araris: E!Read: Archer, Stick NE!Read: TJ N!Read: Drake, Burnt, Hael, Mist, Doc, coco Spoiler On 3/2/2026 at 8:26 PM, Araris Valerian said: Well, I'm going to open with a vote on Archer. I was thinking either [Archer] or Wonko was elim (or both), so this is a good opportunity to get both of them with a single execution. I'll plan to reread at least his and coco's posts in more detail. On 3/3/2026 at 10:42 AM, Araris Valerian said: Anyone mind summarizing their thoughts on TJ? He’s kinda slipped under my radar, and since I’ve been focusing on the more active players that’s lead me to assume he’s likely village. [Drake Responds with why he's voting TJ] Thanks! This all checks out to me. I’m not entirely sure about the last two bullets, but you’ve convinced me in principle, and made me more interested in hearing TJ’s thoughts on where to go from here. My gut still is trying to ignore him for whatever reason. What are your thoughts on Archer/coco? Also, I’m mildly concerned that everyone you list as being implicated by Wonko’s list is in the low-medium activity zone. My take is that the elims would need a decent amount of activity to reasonably aim for the L1 win, which conflicts with that list. Do you (and others) think that’s a baseless assumption? I suppose I can see Stick leading a quieter elim team in that direction. 14 hours ago, Araris Valerian said: Looking at votes, you [Drake], Burnt, and Hael would not qualify (Ash too but he's village). Archer, Wonko, Mistfallen, Doc, Divergent, and coco are all pretty prolific posters during D1a and D2a, which is the time frame during which the elims would have needed to decide that they were going for the win. Wonko is likely village for drawing the NK. Wahr: E!Read: Araris, coco, Mist NE!Read: TJ N!Read: Doc Spoiler On 3/3/2026 at 6:09 AM, Wahrheitswächter said: The people I trust the least for now are Coco, Araris and Mistfallen but thats mostly vibes and the voting results from L1. I also do not trust Doc on principle. For now I think I go with Araris out of my three main suspects purely to get some sort of Train going 4 hours ago, Wahrheitswächter said: So, I think I will switch my Vote from Araris back to Mistfallen I don't trust either of them, but it does seen like that going After Mistfallen will actually get somewhere. I also have a bit of an elim lean on TJ, something feels off about him. 2 hours ago, Wahrheitswächter said: Well now it seems like exeing Araris actually gets some Interest, I will switch again as I think now It will be usefull to Vote Araris instead of Mistfallen Yes I said switching back would be Silly just an hour Ago, but I think that changed now that my Vote will break the tie and be actually usefull. Ashbringer: E!Read: TJ, coco NE!Read: Archer N!Read: Burnt, Stick Spoiler On 3/3/2026 at 10:26 AM, Ashbringer said: And I wouldn't be too sure of e!Dive. Could be the Elim team thinks they'll lose members to the Exe, could be they thought Wonko more likely to allow for the PM cutoff, could be that it's v!Dive e!Wonko as a pretty devastating DGG if we don't read into it. (I don't think it's that, but it still could be.) TJ 11 hours ago, Ashbringer said: Fair enough TJ coco Edit: would also be nice to have a train above 2 or 3, perhaps… (Some of these are non-credited but hey, I know me) Coco: E!Read: Araris, Burnt NE!Read: Dive N!Read: TJ Spoiler On 3/2/2026 at 9:42 PM, coco.pudding said: [Archer votes Araris] Agreed on this. Something feels pretty off about some of his posts. Feels very posting without contributing very much to me on a lot of them (not all, but many) I might also go back and read some of those. Also, I’ve directly questioned him on some stuff in the past and he either didn’t answer or answered without really answering (does that sentence make sense? I don’t know) and that felt like a very strange move. So for now, Araris 16 hours ago, coco.pudding said: Right, so I’ve been going back through previous posts and while I was originally only going to include those whose names are mainly being tossed around right now, I decided to just put in everyone, because idk, maybe that’s helpful. Since this will be very long, I’m going to put it in a spoiler box Hide contents TUM - Hard cleared due to last loop. Hasn’t been super active. Asked to be exed for the sake of a rupee reset, which was obliged. Araris - He’s been very safe with his posts so far, not posting too much that’s a new idea or specifically driving conversation (until this cycle). This has been noted by others as well. He has also changed his reads on people multiple times (going from saying Archer and Wonko and probably both village to now it seems like Archer is one of his main suspects) in rather drastic ways, which I understand is how the game works, but still. He also has been saying he’s “wary” of myself and Archer but hasn’t actually offered much explanation as to why and did not answer when asked about it. He also started the Divergent train and then at the end of the day decided he didn’t like it, but did not remove his vote. He did something similar with Wahr, starting the vote because of a misunderstanding but then not removing it when that was cleared and it gained traction, although he then proceeded to call suspicion onto the people on that train. Araris is my strongest elim read at the moment. Wahr - Hard cleared due to last loop. Has been decently active. Was exed because he was acting kind of strange and very defensive. Sorry about that, Wahr. But hey, at least you’re hard cleared now! Ashbringer - Hard cleared due to last loop. Hasn’t been very active in discussion, mostly doing rp. Got NKed, presumably because of low activity? TJ - Has not been very active. Stuff seems to keep coming up? That could just be an excuse, and he’s trying to fly under the radar, but I’m inclined to believe him because I haven’t seen him in the “recently browsing” section very much and it’s brought attention to him, so if he was elim I don’t think he would stick with that at all strategy. While there is a chance he’s both actually busy and an elim, I don’t think it’s very high. Kind of concerned about how many votes he’s getting right now. Light village read, but mostly neutral due to lack of posts. Honors Ghost/Stick - Seemed to actually be inactive rather than just faking it since they needed to get Stick in to pinch hit. Stick seems to be participating in discussion fairly productively and bringing up some good points. There was a train starting on them about halfway through D1 but I don’t remember anyone fighting particularly hard against it or really anything that seemed like a counter train, although the votes were a bit of a mess the whole time, so I may have just missed something. I had a thought at one point that maybe HG was elim and realized they weren’t active enough to do well, so decided to just call in a pinch hitter and be done, but Stick’s posts since then have changed my mind on that front. I also targeted them with Bremen N2 last loop (for that reason) but that didn’t do anything. Village read. Hael - I feel like Hael is one of the more inactive players, but upon looking back at the last cycle, that’s just not super accurate. I’m just not getting much from his posts. But it does seem like he’s contributing at least a little bit, and has been giving important PSAs. He was tied with TUM to be exed D3A but wasn’t really ever in danger (unless someone had added another vote, of course, but that’s didn’t happen) because of how ties work. So while that does give him some village cred, I don’t know that it means as much as we want it to. Pretty neutral read, maybe very light village. Wonko - NKed last night. Probably postman? Seemed very against the idea of blowing up the postman. Was briefly sussed for bringing up elim strategy stuff D1A but most people agreed it seemed pretty genuine. Has been fairly active and contributing to discussion quite a bit, bringing up good points. Started the Mistfallen train D1 which seemed a bit weird, but did offer some explanation, and did later change their vote. Got Bunny first loop but didn’t get much use out of it. Was maybe trying to get enough rupees for a higher tier mask? That’s not really going to be possible anymore though. I guess that’s a potential reason to kill them. Light village read. Doc - Was postman last loop and used that pretty well. Offered a list of all PM senders/receivers, which was fairly helpful. Also gives us an idea of people who might not be elims together, as sending PMs to each other doesn’t make a whole lot of sense when they have a doc for that (haha silly pun) and we didn’t know the postman was told who sends/receives them until later. Has also been contributing to discussion, posting some reads and analysis, etc. After the last game I feel like I shouldn’t trust him, but I feel like he’s been doing fairly villagery things. So light village read. Burnt - I’m kind of struggling to get a good read on Burnt at the moment. She has been decently active, but not a crazy amount. Maybe bare minimum for rupees? Lots of rp. The train on her yesterday was pretty large and it seemed to be switching back and forth between her and Divergent quite a bit. I thought she might try to cram in more posts for extra rupees, but didn’t see that happening, although Divergent did end up pulling ahead anyway. I also thought if she is elim they would have maybe tried to defend her a bit more, but that didn’t happen. I’m a little confused about what was going on with all the vote trains D1. I would have been fine with her being exed then, and I still would be now, she’s just not the top of my list. Light elim read? But also fairly neutral. Coder/Drake - Coder was decently active but doing more rp than discussion from what I remember. Nothing really stood out to me from their posts in either direction. Drake has also been quite active, and doing more discussion than rp. I like what he is saying and he’s bringing up good points. He also needed some clarification on rules and such when he first joined in, which I feel like an elim would have just asked the other elims about. Village read. Mistfallen - Has consistently been the most active person here. Contributing a lot to discussion and often leading it. Had scents mask last loop, but didn’t learn much from it. The train on them yesterday gained a lot of momentum very quickly and then lost it very quickly, which is a little bit concerning. I found that train a bit odd since I feel like most people have been mainly reading village from them. It’s possible that they are elim and the elims decided to start/hop on to a counterwagon on Burnt and/or Divergent to stop them from being exed, but I kind of doubt that. Village read. Divergent - Has been consistently active. Contributing to discussion and bringing up good points. Had don gero loop 1 but unfortunately didn’t find anything with it. I did find some of their posts slightly off, and I feel like I don’t have as much of a read on them as I should for how active they’ve been, which is slightly concerning. Also concerning to me is how quickly the train on them grew and all of the chaos at the end of the day. I voted on them to tie it between them and Burnt, assuming it would probably stay that way since it was close to rollover, and I wasn’t sure which would win in a tie and was fine with either being exed, but the amount of change that occurred at the end of the day makes me think one of them is probably elim. I just don’t know which. Light elim read. But if Burnt ends up being elim, then village, and vice versa. Archer - Consistently active and adding a lot to discussion. I was a little bit suspicious D1 since they only decided to start discussing elim strategy and all that after Wonko already had, meaning it was already on their mind and they just didn’t want to discuss it until someone else had already started that conversation. There was also the code stuff with Mistfallen, but I don’t really think that’s an issue since we did find out what they were talking about and they were very open about it once the loop was over. They wanted to know about who had which masks and what was discovered at the start of this loop and were sort of leading conversation around that. I was (and am) still a bit suspicious of them towards the end of the first loop so I did use Bremen on them. I guess they could have sent in the kill and I managed to block it, but I honestly don’t know. I really can’t get a good read on them, which I feel like is kind of a problem considering how active they’ve been. I’m leaning village, but it could really go either way. Hoid Slayer - “Inactive” but not really. Not contributing to discussion for the most part and throwing in random votes for the sake of chaos. I did have an elim read on him, assuming that he was kind of faking the inactivity and using it to go under the radar a bit since he was actually posting quite a lot and looking at the thread a lot, but he has requested a pinch hitter, so that theory is out the window now. I’ll wait on a read until the pinch hitter gets in here. Wow that was a lot I just spent like 2 hours on that post, yay effort I guess I definitely agree on the Burnt train, it was pretty big and now has just immediately vanished? Very odd. Especially since it’s pretty clear TJ is inactive due to irl stuff, I’m not really sure why people are so sus of him. So Araris Burnt ——————— Amora helps people get settled in, finding food and blankets, just as she had done the last time. As she is assisting a small family get settled in to finally sleep, she sees Thistle running by in distress, and follows. “Thistle! Hey! What’s wrong?” 2 hours ago, coco.pudding said: Oh cool, people are actually willing to vote Araris it seemed like that wasn’t going anywhere earlier. Burnt TJ: E!Read: Burnt, Coco, N!Read: Archer, Hoid, Stick Spoiler 7 hours ago, |TJ| said: From this cycle, I think I am comfortable to read Araris and Mistfallen as village. There was a lot of movement when Archer was in the lead but not that much when Wahr was in the lead. I am not comfortable reading Archer as evil just yet but interesting to note that Coco and Hoid Slayer moved the votes essentially leading to protect Archer. Doc's EoC movements then, read as village. EoD1 reads -> Village - Araris, Mistfallen, Doc ??? - Archer, Hoid Slayer, Burnt, Coco TBC... (TJ ninja'd this because going through a lot of posts takes time) (Edit: Okay fine I'll adjust) 46 minutes ago, |TJ| said: If we are assuming the v/v case, then Burnt is added to the above list, which leaves me with Coco, Stick, Archer and Hoid Slayer... That is not a good list imo. It's likely someone on my village reads is not village and the first to drop out of it would be Araris but it still does not make a good 5-person pool. This is my likelihood tier -> Case (b) > Both Evil >= Both village > Case (a) Case (b) and Both Evil required e!Burnt. Further, Case (b) also required e!Coco. Both Evil would absolve Coco, but the question is 'where is the attempt to save both?'. There was a moment where I was on 2 votes and would have been a viable counter to both of them so what happened? If Both Village, then my first vote would be on Coco and then leads to me revaluating my village reads. All the roads lead to Burnt and most of the logical roads lead to Coco, for me. TBC... need to read Day 2-B and then I'll vote. 21 minutes ago, |TJ| said: Thoughts about this cycle so far, Araris and Mistfallen are absolute NOs. I am looking mainly between Coco and Burnt. Coco is connected to Archer [D2A vote], Coco is connected to Burnt [D1B vote], Archer is connected to Burnt [D1B vote]. So, [Coco, Burnt] with an outside chance of Archer. ed1t: after that, it's stick and hoid slayer. Stick: E!Reads: Mistfallen, Burnt Spoiler 22 hours ago, Stick. said: level 1 take here would be that it means divergent was e, but it could also mean Mistfallen is e and the kill was a preemptive response to them receiving pressure the previous day. also for lying about me lurking and never rly acknowledging it and their train basically becoming inconsequential by eod despite the number of ppl that expressed suspicion on them throughout the turn im also willing to vote Burnt for being an obvious teammate with mistfallen (plus my logic re: Mistfallen and the wonko nk applies to burnt as well, though maybe a tad less so for being somewhat “too on the nose”) 5 hours ago, Stick. said: the way i see it the burnt and Mistfallen wagons formed independent of each other (the mistfallen wagon reached its peak before the burnt wagon but they started forming pretty much parallel to each other), and the timing of the divergent wagon was more in line with a “counter wagon” so to speak. Tho imo if divergent is v there’s max two e on the wagon. there is a world where all three of these ppl are e and the elim team just had a crap day but that might be too optimistic Tagging @The Unknown Medallion cuz u asked as well coco is probably a bad train @Ashbringer i am like 90% sure that’s a villa Hael: E!Read: Idk Spoiler crickets (Okay you had one post but it wasn't game related) ( @Haelbarde some insight would be appreciated) Wonko (Back one Turn): E!Read: Burnt Spoiler Doc: E!Read: Burnt NE!Read: Araris, TJ Spoiler 20 hours ago, Doc12 said: don't know what to think of TJ - I know he hasn't really been here. I remember giving him a quick catchup when he asked L2D1, but I don't think we've seen him since? If e!TJ, who would his teammates be? Feel similarly null about Araris - Archer does have a point that they've been sparse. He's definitely more engaged than TJ, but has a similar level of presence for me. It's funny that he's lampshading that he is within his own suspect pool given his parameters. Lastly, surprised that we're not just exeing Burnt from last cycle. Burnt: E!Read: Idk Spoiler 8 hours ago, Burnt Spaghetti said: I do find it interesting how there were so many voting me and voicing suspicions, but then not getting the same thing today, its been some different players, some overlap, but yeah. I don't really know how to respond to this, i'm not sure i've been given much to respond to? /shrug I can't decide if this feels more like confused villagers voting me or elims looking for potential easy vote targets to distract from others. Its been mostly the same names in circulation pretty much every day it feels. Makes me feel like there's definitely elims who are being discussed and scrutinized. So I feel like we're on the right track? But also don't know if we got it right or got successfully distracted. Drake: E!Read: Araris, Hoid, Stick, TJ NE!Read: Mist, Archer, Coco N!Read: Doc, Burnt, Dive Spoiler On 3/3/2026 at 1:56 AM, DrakeMarshall said: TJ, Hoid, Stick, Araris are more likely evil. source: trust me bro Combine that with some of my personal credences and I suppose I'll vote TJ. On 3/3/2026 at 10:45 AM, DrakeMarshall said: Honestly I think everyone except the cleared 3, Hael, and Wonko is sus rn I'm sure I could come up with a bullet point list for others but I choose TJ to go at the top of the list sorry friend 12 hours ago, DrakeMarshall said: I'm spiraling hard into tinfoil and tunnels land rn the elim team is TJ/Mistfallen/Araris with idk Coco or Hoid as the last everything makes so much sense now we've cracked this case wide open we should've probably just listened to Stick yesterday yeah I'm not optimist enough to seriously believe in it, I'm going to take a break and come back to it later Mistfallen: E!Read: Burnt, NE!Read: Araris N!Read: TJ Spoiler 17 hours ago, Mistfallen Soldier said: I feel like Doc had a pretty good point about how there was a train on Burnt D1B, but now it’s not there(it’s why I waited) and that makes me feel like we need to continue it. I know people have shifted to TJ, but I haven’t seen anything from the people who voted Burnt on why they aren’t now, aside from being sus of TJ. As such Burnt I’m not sure I want to exe TJ, as most of his inactivity was from real life stuff and I don’t want to exe him over that. There were some good points, but I think the Burnt train needs to reappear because it vanished immediately after D1B 13 hours ago, Mistfallen Soldier said: Well for one, as far as I could tell, no one had good reasons for voting me. But if you want to go ahead. The reason I find this suspicious is because no one who’s voted Burnt has posted anything reevaluating it. There’s just been a switch to TJ. Which actually says more about those people rather than Burnt… hmm, I’m gonna go look at who voted her again. 12 hours ago, Mistfallen Soldier said: Obviously disagree with myself, but I’ve been coming around to Araris, and as I’ve mentioned, I’d prefer not to vote TJ. I look forward to seeing what you have post next cause so far you and Archer have been saying I’m Elim cause vibes. Dive: E!Read: Burnt Leaving Dive out for now just from Distance Archer: E!Read: Araris, Doc, TJ, Mistfallen Spoiler On 3/2/2026 at 7:55 PM, Archer said: So why not shoot confirmed villager Wahr, who claimed vanilla? Educated guess about the postman and a desire to shut down PMs? Want to avoid giving them 50 rupees? You've got to think Ashbringer was a more subtle target if it has to do with the Burnt vote, although he wasn't very committed to it. I'd like to zero in on Araris (who keeps giving very safe/correct analysis sparsely) and Doc. On 3/3/2026 at 8:31 AM, Archer said: It's tempting to vote Araris to get out of paying rent... Might come back to it. Still bothers me how precisely they've played, which fits the mindset of someone who knows they need to maintain cover for a literal month. For now, I'll plus one Absolutely TJ Doc 15 hours ago, Archer said: My gut is screaming Mistfallen after his last two posts. I need to pinpoint why 7 hours ago, Archer said: TJ is fair game, imo. If you're playing, you're a valid target. (Speak of the devil...) I can't get over Burnt trying to PM me. It felt villagery. Doc PMing their suspect list felt village as well. And I'm hard committed to v!Coco for saying pinch hitting is sus. I feel like Mistfallen has had a tonal shift this round, presumably because teammates are threatened? There's definitely been a change. I'm hesitant to throw away my previous village reads over it, since I think most of the time they're probably just village, but it's worth reevaluating once in a while. Edit: TJ fills out my theoretical elim teams quite nicely now, much obliged. Vote for me, you know you want to... 4 hours ago, Archer said: I've probably tortured Mistfallen long enough. I'm realistically never voting them today. I could be talked into a TJ vote, but Araris is my preference. Edit: wahr, this is very inefficient Hoid Slayer E!Read: Idk ( @Hoid Slayer I know you said you're busy but some thoughts would be appreciated) I'll write up some thoughts on this later but coco TJ. TL; DR is there's a lot of overlap in E!Reads that I'm not seeing play out in votes, and that makes me suspicious. Edited March 4 by Ashbringer TJ
Araris Valerian he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 (edited) I feel like this day has done nothing but muddle my reads even further. Drake has a good explanation for his e!read on TJ, but I agree with a lot of what TJ said. My main points of disagreement would be less confidence in Mistfallen as village and less willingness to exe Burnt. Since we’re closing toward the end of the day, I’ll switch from Archer to coco. I find both suspicious, but I still think Archer fits the elim profile a bit better. Still, I think they could be teamed and ultimately am happy exeing either. Edit: For folks voting me, could I get some concrete examples of how I’ve been “too safe” or whatever? I’d rather not get misexed on misplaced vibes, so please just double-check that you actually think what I posted is suspicious. Edited March 4 by Araris Valerian
|TJ| he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 A small example for Mistfallen's villager-ness - This post at the very end of N1B about Wonko, I don't think an elim ever makes this, commenting about their kill just before it happens. If they do, they are doing it deliberately to get village-read. Seeing that Mistfallen has not really brought it up to 'show' they are village, I am good with moderately reading them as village.
Stick. she/her Posted March 4 Posted March 4 28 minutes ago, |TJ| said: A small example for Mistfallen's villager-ness - This post at the very end of N1B about Wonko, I don't think an elim ever makes this, commenting about their kill just before it happens. If they do, they are doing it deliberately to get village-read. Seeing that Mistfallen has not really brought it up to 'show' they are village, I am good with moderately reading them as village. tj why would they bring it up yet they are not in any actual danger rn - and besides they will prob get a teammate to bring it up (ahem) if that's the plan also ya it tracks with the elims having probably connected the dots to wonko's stance on using postman to trigger blast = he has the postman hat, so obviously.... i am maybe tunneling but i dont think im wrong edit: a huge part of why i cant shake my e read on mistfallen is that they have basically no reaction to me constantly pushing them. i feel like a villager will push back or question it/cast doubt on my motivations or something, they are just ignoring it the way they did last game as e because they have enough ppl v reading them. historically when players dont address/minimally engage with my pushes on them they are e
|TJ| he/him Posted March 4 Posted March 4 15 minutes ago, Stick. said: tj why would they bring it up yet they are not in any actual danger rn - and besides they will prob get a teammate to bring it up (ahem) if that's the plan they have had quite a few votes on them no? or so it feels. I don't really care about the content of the post except for the fact that he sussed Wonko. it's just really had to think of an elim doing that in the last moment before it was revealed that Wonko is dead. and it's just one of the examples that I found them to be village. valid about your edit and how you feel about his reaction to your push. we found mistfallen together last game, no? i donno they feel quite a bit different in this game comparatively.
Amanuensis he/him Posted March 4 Author Posted March 4 (edited) 6 hours and ~30 minutes remain in the Day! (3) Araris: Archer, coco, Wahrheit, (2) coco: TJ, Araris, (2) TJ: Drake, Ashbringer, (1) Burnt: Doc, (1) Mistfallen: Stick, (1) Archer: Araris, Edited March 4 by Amanuensis 1
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