Stick.

it was a combination of mech and general fatigue - if we went into next loop with 3 of us like semi outed, the village probably keeps burnt for the final day tie breaker vote and exes me/doc/twin during L4, and we would somehow have to dodge bremen, scents, and don gero while carrying the NKs. we cant just not perform the NKs cuz ash needed to be taken out n1 due to having 100 rupees - and burnt needed to be N3K'd at the minimum then coco somehow has to convince the village to vote mist out over her in the final day tiebreaker so also cuz the team went all in the first 3 days we were kinda tired this is probably the 2nd longest game ive ever played and i barely had time as it was LOL

ya tbh I only joined u on it cuz I wanted to split the burnt wagon and it felt like a free unpairing opportunity, i did not think coco would actually ever get exed over burnt but then she did lmao

I’ve been in all the docs this is so sad

goated coco

sorry… accidentally copy-pasted that instead of my analysis yikers gg

but then theyll try to pair us.....smh...

alright, finally finished that post i was working on. hope u guys didnt hammer me yet. pls read it carefully sorry i couldnt post it sooner, the math took a lot of time (spoilered for length):

gimme a min I’m working on laying out the rupee logic

Right and why does he go for that over that resurrection one when we know he had the money

ong none of u are thinking about this mathematically - neither doc nor I could’ve afforded Keaton so these teams make no sense burnt could not have acted under the stone mask sooooo ya. I’m not too bothered cuz we win this either way but face the math pls and ty

so basically it’s got to be Hael along with Drake for the vote manip to make sense- they would’ve won L4 easily but doc’s alignment scan threw a wrench into their plans hence the concession I’m still working on that big post that explains the numbers and mech here in depth, need some more time tho

Oh I didn’t even notice Keaton there, but think I figured out a world where the numbers do add up - working on an in-depth post rn

Drake (good time for distancing)

oh right this came up somewhere in a recent game when discussing SKs, I was e with archer fake claiming medium on D1 and outed at rand by the omniscient Devo

What happened in mr56 again

Cool white text

Literally only ever tried for those blue ones cuz I thought everyone else would go for the expensive ones greed wins,,, messed up….

Cool Burnt btw I had no masks last loop (or any other loop…sad) if it matters

It’s a 99 to 1 to me only because of what I’ve seen across these games, historically. I’ve certainly seen worse opspec and I’ve certainly seen people accidentally getting too comfortable in dead chats especially in a case like this where doc’s codeword would’ve been inconsequential to reveal since we have an outed burnt, can see it happening if ash was asked about what burnt had claimed with her codeword but ya, i think there’s a 1% chance of that and that’s 1% more than the confidence I have in my alignment being e, so there u go, hope it makes sense edit Gtg now but guess I’ll see it when I’m in it

I’ve already stated that as the more likely conclusion by far? u may be misunderstanding me here

no I’m saying i can’t say for certain when this information was revealed to the current dead doc, or who else had access to the information previously edit: I do think it’s far more likely we’ve won it already, but because I don’t know that 100% I can’t just self vote if that’s what u want lmao

sure, I think it’s likely we’ve already won if hael isn’t misrepresenting, but i can’t know for certain what’s happening in the dead doc until next loop, when the info being relayed was shared and how isolated it really was, so anything from hael is unreliable fypov and im pretty sure im gonna trust my own role card over speculations

not quite? most ppl were set to just exe hael today in normal circumstances, I felt like this was projected pretty clearly last cycle as the mechanically correct move. and say, in a world where coco is e, and so is hael, this means the elims were highly likely to lose this loop? so i dunno if it’s accurate to say this is them giving us a chance where we had none - it’s pretty much guaranteeing a win for them in the long run if we didn’t have favourable mech here

GOATED doc he was being weird about the stone mask bid so this explains it Edit: so I guess they are playing the long game…checks out if u think ahead with the number of cleared villagers and the L2 group having 1 max will probably limit a lot

gun to head, u i guess? I don’t think drake NKs himself at this stage, and mist Idrt is e anymore coz it doesn’t make a ton of sense either with e!coco and L3D1. been thinking the last is archer so…might do a rupee count for L1 captains myself as well tmr if I get the chance to and look into other possibilities separate to this