Jump to content

Araris Valerian

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4724

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Araris Valerian

  1. Araris Valerian
    Good game everyone! Thanks to @Kasimir and @Wyrmhero for running things. This game did feel a bit more chill than the recent LGs, which I appreciated. I think the game and teams were quite well balanced. If things had played out slightly differently, we could have had a 3-3 election cycle, which would have been fun. I think collectively we as elims could have put a bit more thought into finding @Matrim's Dice, but I'm not sure we could have done it reliably. I think we'd mostly boiled it down to Szeth/Steel/Mat, but like Kas pointed out, I at least was biased toward earlier events (also I got a little burned out rereading the thread, and skipped the last 8-10 pages). Overall, I really enjoyed playing with my team. Everyone was active enough and willing to go for some fun plays. Kinda would like to be village with Fifth again at some point, but it seems like I'll be trying for a record elim streak again. This makes 3, maybe Kas can stick to his old RNG if I decide to play his QF.
  2. Araris Valerian
    Szeth.
  3. Araris Valerian
    Him and me both I guess.
  4. Araris Valerian
    I'm definitely an elim. You saw me try to hammer there at the end, right?
  5. Araris Valerian
    Mat
  6. Araris Valerian
    I figured as much :P. I sort of trust Fifth. I'm not sure. Elim!Fifth could have proposed a winning plan for the village that started off with getting an elim elected, so that people would avoid the obvious path to victory, and still give the elims a free person on the council. I do very much like his thought process behind the plan, though. I'm still going to stick to my guns unless someone I really don't trust ends up leading things.
  7. Araris Valerian
    I'm in the game. I haven't really done any campaigning, but I'm here, if you want to vote for me for some reason.
  8. Araris Valerian
    I just don't have a good reason to trust Liranil. My vote is on Bip, since I still think it doesn't make a whole lot of sense for Striker/Bip to be e/e. I have more confidence in that judgement than in my ability to read people in this sort of game.
  9. Araris Valerian
    Lira seems like a solid option next cycle instead of Bip. I mostly support Archer/Bip because of the interaction with Striker a couple of turns ago, as opposed to anything they've actually done.
  10. Araris Valerian
    I can get behind a vote on Archer as planned.
  11. Araris Valerian
    I am going to vote for Fifth for WL. And I agree with Fifth on Striker, who has taken some concrete action to help the village, whereas it's a bit harder to tell with other people. In particular, if one of Archer/Biplet is elim, then Striker is almost certainly village. If Striker is somehow elim, then Archer and Biplet are likely both village (the hammer would be a ploy to gain trust here). I think I've ended up just restating Fifth's post from above, but Striker/Bip/Archer should only contain 1 elim at most, so we just elect all 3 and win. Fifth is the WL candidate since he isn't any of the three people from above, which means there won't be any weirdness where we want the WL to vote for themselves but they can't. And I like his plan, since I can pretty much reach the same conclusion on my own. I'd also like to request that Striker remove his vote from Archer if Striker wants to get elected this turn. That will make a switch later on less likely, if he is comfortable with this plan of attack.
  12. Araris Valerian
    Oh yeah, I'm going to vote Alvron for WL.
  13. Araris Valerian
    Um, whoops. That was an honest mistake. Mat. I'll come back to my WL vote later I guess.
  14. Araris Valerian
    But if there is only a single elim in the inactives, we have basically no chance of actually electing them. Last cycle there was almost certainly a single elim that voted for Elandera, possibly more. And some of the rest likely voted for other players to distance themselves. We can also look at people who didn't vote last cycle, but did C1. Szeth, Dannex, Lotus, TUO, Ash, Liranil, Illwei, and Biplet didn't vote for the election last cycle. Of these, Szeth, Lotus, and Biplet all voted for the election C1, so there's potentially something to go on there. Biplet voted for WL last cycle, so she wasn't totally inactive. I know this is somewhat repeating myself from last turn, but I think we should elect Biplet. She was around last cycle, but didn't vote either to secure the Elandera election or to gain credit by joining another train. There might be someone else that fits this profile, but she's the only one I can see from the votes. I'll put Mat as WL. I don't have any super strong trusts, but we don't want to pick an inactive for this and he seems like a solid bet.
  15. Araris Valerian
    I'm not going to vote right now, but I'll point out that roughly half of the players voted last cycle. If we are going to take Alvron's advice about looking for villagers among the inactive players, now might be a good time to do so.
  16. Araris Valerian
    I'm going to vote for Biplet for worker leader. She stands out as the only person that voted for Tani but not for TJ. Seems to me like elims would want to avoid sticking out, althought I'm still not sure how elims would try and play this game. My experience with Resistance hasn't helped me figure things out at all. I'll vote Elandera for the election. She voted for TJ, and despite the elims easily being able to bus this game, I think the votes on TJ are the best place for us to look. Also, other people seem to support Mat, who supports Elandera, so that makes me feel a bit better about this vote. I should be around again before rollover to change my votes if necessary by then. Current vote counts are pretty low, so it would be nice if some other people throw out their opinions before cycle end.
  17. Araris Valerian
    Hey everyone, sorry for my low activity. I was in a tennis tournament over the weekend and also needed to prep for a class I teach that started today. Should be back to my regular activity levels by later this afternoon.
  18. Araris Valerian
    So, first of all, making a list like that based off of an off-handed comment a revealed eliminator made seems counterproductive. Especially Illwei, who is an unrepentant troll. There's also the issue where, if by some insane chance Illwei was being honest, that the person in the doc just wasn't in the Shard. And even if Illwei was both being honest and the person in the doc was also online, one elim in 11 people is worse odds than the starting ~1/5. I posted somewhat early in the cycle saying that I would change my vote the next day with the intent to consolidate. And then I did that (after a failed attempt, but that was partly your fault ).
  19. Araris Valerian
    Okay, I'm going put my support behind Striker and Fifth. Not too much behind these votes, but I'm a little uncomfortable with the early push for Striker. Still, the reasoning behind the votes on him is decent, so that's why I have him for WL. And Fifth already put Striker as WL, so I like his thinking there. Szeth feels a little overeager to me. I'm not sure what to make of that.
  20. Araris Valerian
    My thought process last cycle was to bump someone from 1 vote up to 2, in order to create kill pressure. But I was working off of Matrim's vote count, since the thread was really long, and apparently that was somewhat flawed. I was trying to concentrate votes on you, I just failed. As for Drake, I think I mentioned him as a candidate for my second vote at some point, and I think that's all I said about him. Until I go back and look at Illwei's posts, my vote is on Ashbringer. Those lists look like smoke and fluff to me. They don't actually help, in my opinion, but they are an attempt to look helpful.
  21. Araris Valerian
    Illwei=Badwei, Badwei=Deadwei. And Beedle is retiring early, most likely.
  22. Araris Valerian
    I guess I retract my request for a PM with Kas .
  23. Araris Valerian
    Hey! Listen! I put full responsibility for this one you. And I'm going to switch from Azmine to TJ. I'm as confident as I've even been D1 that TUO is village, and I find it suspicious that anyone would stick to a vote on him for this long.
  24. Araris Valerian
    Okay, so I'm going to change my vote from Ashbringer to Azmine. I mentioned consolidating votes in my last post, and going off of Mat's VC, that doesn't leave a ton of options. I read TUO and Illwei as being their normal selves. I pretty strongly disagree with what TUO's plan is, but I also think it's exactly what he would do as a villager. Similar thing with Illwei, although my disapproval is a bit less strong. Two of the folks with votes are new, and TJ already has 2. So that leaves Azmine and Drake, with Drake being more active than Azmine.
  25. Araris Valerian
    I wouldn’t mind a PM with Kas. We could use it to grouch at each other until I get the GM PM for the MR. Hey! Listen! I have no idea what’s going on with the roles, but we probably should start thinking a small bit about consolidating votes. It’s late here, but I’m likely going to switch tomorrow to someone that already has a vote.
×
×
  • Create New...