Channelknight Fadran Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 Question: There are people who can rolescan lynched/DDSO'd people, right? On the assumption that I'm not a dirty liar like Kasamir (the guy trying to incite a civil war, thus completing the nationwide transmutation circle and creating the world's largest philosopher's stone in order to attain God), then I'm a Villager with the somewhat redundant Confirmed Villager role. In this situation, the people who rolescan me read me as villager, and everyone inevitably feels bad about lynching a perfectly sensible human being. Probality: 50% On the assumption that I am a dirty liar like Kasamir (the guy trying to incite a civil war, thus completing the nationwide transmutation circle and creating the world's largest philosopher's stone in order to attain God), then there are several contingencies: I am a Villager without the Confirmed Villager role. This makes no sense whatsoever for any kind of person with common rationale, but I happen to be a Troll and may very well have absolutely no interest in helping out. In this situation, you read my as villager regardless and remain paranoid about further Confirmed roles. Probability: 5% I am an Elim without the Confirmed Villager role. Rolescan comes up as elim, and you can all rest assured that there isn't actually any Confirmed roles - I was just throwing more wrenches into your analysis because that's what elims are for. Probability: 35% I am an Elim with the Confirmed Villager role. Rolescan comes up as villager, and everyone feels bad about lynching a perfectly sensible human being. On the one hand this is unlikely, because I would be giving additional information to the village team - but then again, my partial honesty would be great way to throw suspicion off of my fellow elims; after all, why would an elim give additional information to the village team? Basically, we wind up in a wonderful spiral of reverse psychology. Probability: 10% And uh... that's my two cents.
Ashbringer he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Channelknight Fadran said: There are people who can rolescan lynched/DDSO'd people, right? Well, not anymore...
DrakeMarshall he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 Evil!Mat requires evil!JNV right? Or are you asserting that you believe Mat is an elim Confirmed Villager? It is not impossible.
Mat he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 If I assigned probabilities to those options they’d be different tbh Oh sure Aman, wagon one of the scanned people before the non scanned people Like sure, all good if y’all want to check me later (check as in kill lol) but all reason suggests JNV before me and the non-scanned before the scanned. And fwiw if JNV becomes a serious train, I have no problems with voting there.
Amanuensis he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 24 minutes ago, Matrim's Dice said: If I assigned probabilities to those options they’d be different tbh Oh sure Aman, wagon one of the scanned people before the non scanned people Like sure, all good if y’all want to check me later (check as in kill lol) but all reason suggests JNV before me and the non-scanned before the scanned. And fwiw if JNV becomes a serious train, I have no problems with voting there. TBF one vote does not a wagon make But I just realized if you are an e!Confirmed Villager, you’d still have shown up as Village in the ties (and thus would have been with two more). So I am rethinking.
Mat he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, Amanuensis said: TBF one vote does not a wagon make But I just realized if you are an e!Confirmed Villager, you’d still have shown up as Village in the ties (and thus would have been with two more). So I am rethinking. Yeah, but why vote me this late in the turn if you don’t want to make a wagon? And that’s also true, yes, but it’s as true for me as it is everyone in that tie. Edited February 13, 2023 by Matrim's Dice
Ashbringer he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 24 minutes ago, Matrim's Dice said: Yeah, but why vote me this late in the turn if you don’t want to make a wagon? And that’s also true, yes, but it’s as true for me as it is everyone in that tie. But Archer’s got 2 confirmed roles, I’ve got 2 confirmed roles… Drake could still be one, I guess.
Archer he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 Not a fan of votes on the GM at what could be exlo Drake Fadran
Amanuensis he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 13 minutes ago, Archer said: Drake Fadran 8 minutes ago, DrakeMarshall said: JNV Archer. Mat. Drake. (just felt like continuing the pattern :p)
Amanuensis he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Shining Silhouette said: Drake I'm memeing fam do you really want to waste your one vote now xD
Shining Silhouette he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 Just now, Amanuensis said: I'm memeing fam do you really want to waste your one vote now xD Drake Rip. Am not actually paying attention but would vote here
Biplet she/her Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 Good thing we're not using tallybot anymore ...at least i think kas said no tallybot this turn
Amanuensis he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 Just now, Matrim's Dice said: Is Shining pulling a Tani or…? I'm fairly confident in v!Silho and he just really wants Drake dead for shooting him 1
DrakeMarshall he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, Amanuensis said: Mat. Drake. (just felt like continuing the pattern :p) >:| 1 minute ago, Amanuensis said: I'm fairly confident in v!Silho and he just really wants Drake dead for shooting him Spoiler 2
Amanuensis he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 (edited) Okay memes aside, Drake, Archer. Channelknight Fadran (5): Ashbringer, Biplet, Matrim's Dice, The Wandering Wizard, Archer Archer (4): Araris Valerian, DrakeMarshall, JNV, Amanuensis Kasimir (1): Channelknight Fadran ED1T: @Matrim's Dice I have an idea. Use Tunnel Constructor now on yourself and Archer? With Fadran in the lead, it should prove your role, and we can deal with Fadran in the night while Archer is NK immune Edited February 13, 2023 by Amanuensis
DrakeMarshall he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 (edited) JNV voted for Archer: Vote Tally Channelknight Fadran (5): Archer, Ashbringer, Biplet, Matrim's Dice, The Wandering Wizard Archer (4): Amanuensis, Araris Valerian, DrakeMarshall, JNV Kasimir (1): Channelknight Fadran ...i think its hard to keep track Edited February 13, 2023 by DrakeMarshall
Amanuensis he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 (edited) 1 minute ago, Ashbringer said: But where's Orlok's vote? I missed JNV's. Orlok used his one vote? ED1T: @Matrim's Dice also nvm TC probably won't work on Archer (if what he claimed about his immunity role is true) Edited February 13, 2023 by Amanuensis
Ashbringer he/him Posted February 13, 2023 Posted February 13, 2023 No, just with all the vote counts going around...
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