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James Brafin

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Posts posted by James Brafin

  1. 17 minutes ago, Quinn0928 said:

    I... jeez I'm discovering that I don't like QFs very much. This is actually exhausting. The exe was solidly for Dannex when I left to eat lunch five minutes before the end of the cycle and then when I got back suddenly it was for Ash. Or, rather, it was tied between Dannex and Ash. This is... disturbing to me, given this is the second time this has happened. Following along with this game is exhausting, both because of the large amount of posts (which are partly my fault, I know) but mainly, for me, apparently nothing happens during the first 23 hours and 55 minutes of the cycle actually matters. I just... y'know, I actually try with my posts analyzing votes and vote-manips and what people are saying but it's getting harder and harder to convince myself it's worth it when no matter how much evidence or how strong a case I can find against someone, in the last five minutes of the cycle the vote unexpectedly shifts to someone else on whom we have nothing. I mean, I know QFs are supposed to be more fun and chaotic but I'm finding this pattern really frustrating.

    I'm... gonna put my thoughts on Dannex here, since I feel like if there isn't enough evidence to exe him now there never will be, and then I think I'm gonna go offline for a while.

    - he is one of two confirmed Brown Ajahs in this game, and we assume the elims have at least one. 

    - both cycles, whenever it's looked like he might end up exed, a countertrain on someone with virtually no evidence against them has miraculously sprung up in literally minutes, which is just... astonishing even on its own.

    - after C1, two votes had been removed from Dannex, and after C2 one vote was.

    - there are also all kinds of things in terms of reads that people have pointed out at various times: possible scumslips, risky plans, agressiveness... idk whether those are AI, and I thought they were vil-indicative for him if anything at the beginning of this game, but the more I've seen the less and less I've thought that.

    None of this in and of itself is enough to exe Dannex, but when you take it all together it shows a clear pattern. Just... please, think about it for a second instead of voting off of slight gut reads again. I'm... yeah, I'm gonna take a break from this for a little while. I'll probably be back before the end of the cycle, but...

    Adding onto this, It has occurred to me that every time Dannex has scan, it's been a pretty useless scan for town. There were loads of better scans last night than I, and there were loads of better scans D1 than Liranil.

    I don't want to vote yet, I'm still unsure if Dannex is town or not, but that's something else to take into consideration.

  2. 1 minute ago, Breaker said:

    Alright! An excellent point! Let’s settle that, then. It was my plan from the start: my guess was that the eliminators likely had a blue or a white, that would try to pick up a yellow on Liranil, or find if they had a Warder, for future efficiency. Alternatively, they’d attack Liranil. It wouldn’t make sense to do both, since they’d waste the blue/white. My objective was to grab anyone who targeted Liranil, figuring we probably didn’t HAVE any more yellows and, that, if we did, I’d have a good guess whether I grabbed a yellow or an elim based on the results of the day. Therefore, I figured I had a 2/3 odds of catching a black ajah. I discussed the plan with Gears to begin the cycle, and submitted my target on Liranil late. Sadly, the one to declare the kill was the one Liranil killed, potentially, but not likely, indicating that they predicted a strategy like mine, so they sent the doomed man to do the dirty deed. 
     

    As a solution to your concern, however, how about I submit my scan to be used by popular vote? Or some other way you request. I’m happy to assist someone who wishes to receive reads. I’m not especially good with reads yet, though I hope to develop the skill. By the Light, and my hope of salvation and rebirth, I do swear to the veracity of these words. Make of that what you will. 
     

    As for the other, I will ask: are you indicating that Illwei claims Grey, and Burnt verifies? I think I can tell, James, what your role is, from Dannex’s statement, but I’ll respect their wishes and keep quiet. 

    That is not what I am claiming at all. Also I don't think you know what my role is lol.

    Edit: Or maybe you do. It's def possible. Don't out me :)

  3. 2 minutes ago, Illwei said:

    Oh hey! we have flips! I can do...whatever this useless thing is!

    C1:

    Lotus (6) : Matrim's Dice, James Brafin, Illwei, Dannex, Flyingbooks42, Devotary of Spontaneity
    Dannex (4) : Ashbringer, Breaker, Lotus, Liranil, StrikerEZ, Condensation
    Gears (1) : Quinn0928
    StrikerEZ (1) : Archer

    C2:

    Ashbringer (6) : Matrim's Dice, Breaker, StrikerEZ, James Brafin, Illwei, Devotary of Spontaneity
    Dannex (5) : Gears, Ashbringer, Quinn0928, Lotus, Archer, Liranil
    Quinn0928 (1) : Dannex

    I'm going to go back and look at Strikers posts in a minute, but just for people to see. I'll talk about this after I look at striker I think.

    EDIT:

    Uh, see, I really have no clue who you think I am :P. I didn't intend to imply a role at all, but I have been figuring that maybe the Elims will think I'm a strong role and wanna kill me for it or something :P.

    Honestly interested into seeing what you think. I'm not a Yellow.

    I... What?
    That is, in fact, what I thought. Okay hmmm ahhh that's not good augh

  4. 2 minutes ago, Dannex said:

    I don’t know what I should reveal about my scan. It’s not super relevant, not a huge reveal, but it might be important. I could reveal the result, or I could reveal the target. I don’t think I want to reveal both. 

    Well, just revealing the result doesn’t actually tell the rest of you anything, so I’ll just say that I scanned James. I considered switching to Burnt but you all seemed to think that would be a waste so I didn’t. 

    Oh hey! Yeah, this pretty much tells you anything you need to know right here. If you can't parse it from this you aren't even trying.

    6 minutes ago, Breaker said:

    I broke from my default tactic in an effort to save Dannex. I REALLY don’t think they’re elim. 

    I think that's fair, but I also don't think your "scan" tells us anything, as you could tell us the exact same thing as an Elim.

     

    1 minute ago, Dannex said:

    Wait have you roleclaimed? What action are you talking about?

    I thought it was pretty obvious. Burnt confirmed the role, and Illwei and I have been joking about it for a while now. This does pretty much confirm everything I thought though, shame on the mistarget.

  5. First post

    Okay, so this definitely sucks, but we do have some info. Also, judging from Breaker Striker and Liranil targeted each other, which is not helpful but not surprising.

    sigh Sorry, Ash. I'll run through your posts to see if you crumbed anything, but my guess is based on site meta you didn't.

    With Striker on this wagon, I'm hedging a bet we had at least one more Elim. I realize this makes me really, really sus. At this point I'll gladly be lynched, even though I really don't want to. But I also would suggest looking at Breaker, Dice, and Devo as they all have been really sus. If we find much more here I'm guessing Dannex is more or less confirmed town.

  6. 4 minutes ago, StrikerEZ said:

    What does this even mean?

    Right now? One of Illwei, James, or Mat. I was a little suspicious of Ash back before I got really busy this cycle too. That one post where they’re trying to figure out who could’ve attacked Connie felt like they were just looking for something to do without helping too much. 

    I'm getting the vibe you missed the post where I realized I'd been a fool in grammar.

    Also, we all need to agree right now if this is gonna work. I'm seeing a lot of Oks with Ash, I say we hit them. Dice Ash

    I swear to all the Cosmere, y'all had better back me up on this or I'm going to look a fool.

    Edit: The ninjas I swear

  7. 1 minute ago, Matrim's Dice said:

    it's not an official claim

    But shooting me would both

    a.) be useless

    b.) be shooting a vil

    So it's a bad idea. 

    Your playstyle and Archer's are very very different though. May I point out Archer's first game?

    BECAUSE I DON'T THINK DANNEX IS EVIL BUT IF PEOPLE ARE SO SET ON KILLING HIM LETS JUST GET IT OUT OF THE WAY XD

    Yay Striker Quinn

    I also don't have TMI on Dannex.

    I don't think Dannex is evil either. But I am at least providing reasonable alternatives instead of jokesheeping.

  8. 2 minutes ago, Matrim's Dice said:

    Killing no one is looking smarter and smarter tbh

    Heres an idea: Liranil, kill Dannex

    Everyone else: exe someone else

    Ties kill all

    This right here is the behavior that looks so suspicious to me. Why are you white knighting Dannex so hard? because like Illwei, that's exactly what you're doing.

  9. 1 minute ago, Matrim's Dice said:

    Ash of those three cause Striker is who we're voting rn

    Twould be useless. And Archer is also very village seeming? Why?

    Archer is only because others seem to feel that he is sus, I really don't like it honestly on second thought.

    Lil, shoot Dice (unless this is a claim to warden, Dice?)

  10. Just now, Illwei said:

    Huh. man, If only the Elims would serve up themselves on a silver platter by trying to save the same teammate two cycles in a row by hard defending them and trying to conjure up a CW out of thin air :).

    Yeah, the more I look back at my notes, the more I realize Dice has been "participating" in a way that is not participating at all. None of their posts are actually contributing, have been high-effort/low-value, or just been weird? Dice just feels off, they've been sheepy and feel odd and I don't like it.

  11. Just now, Illwei said:

    OKAY WHAT

    is going on.

    We need to clear some things up so I'm going to try and recap really quick where we're at.


    Danex Vote:

     - Pushing Wierd Agendas D1
     - Danex Voted Liranil for Bad reasoning
     - Killing Danex would give us info
     - Danex elim slipped.

    Counters:
     - He was pushing for things he believed in, strongly, something that Elim!danex, or really most standard Elims don't do.
     - That was a self-pres vote that he didn't feel strongly about. of course it was wishy washy or whatnot, he was only doing it to survive. NOT AI.
     - INFO KILL BAD it wastes a cycle and is more often than not USELESS tell me what you're going to do with that info huh
     - There was no slip. this was the basis of the Danex push today, and once it was cleared up people still found a reason to stay on Danex.

    Striker:

     - Striker hasn't given any opinions yet still posting like someone posts normally. QF games usually don't have a lot of posts, so calling someone inactive relative to the activity of the thread right not is understandable but I disagree.
     - Has stayed out of voting.

    Not good reasons but I don't think that Danex is the right kill. at all.

     

     

    Might I suggest Dice then?

  12. Just now, Matrim's Dice said:

     

    I have not been trying to fly under the radar this game >:(

    never try to fly under the radar

    And you're suspecting me for ran wagoning when my intention of randwagoning was to not exe someone you agree shouldn't be exed?

    I think I saw TJ post but if not sorry for the double :P.

    You're right about Dannex, but I support shreking at random even less. That is not the proper option here at all.

  13. 1 minute ago, Lotus said:

    I mean if anyone wants to make the case to me in the next ~5 minutes who else I should vote for....

    Dice has been trying to fly under the radar this whole game. His behavior reads someone with a kill to me. And now he just random-wagoned. This is the counterwagon to Dannex we've all been waiting for.

  14. 2 minutes ago, Illwei said:

    I think you give too much credit to that post. useful? ye, very very useful? eh, debatable. (@burnt I still love u tho pls don't hurt me ;-;)

    :P.
    Someone should know my role, in my opinion. you know, maybe everyone should know my role. I've been hinting at it since D2 but that's a lot more fun than outright claiming lmao

    INFO. KILL. BAD.

    how many times will i have to say this

    INFO. KILL. BAD

    look I know we want info, and if we do then the best action here is to NK danex, because we have already voted on him, and doing so again wouldn't change how people feel about him.

    There has been so little kill discussion this turn imo that it kinda concerns me. but Danex should not be the shrek just because you want to know his wagon. Because it was a day 1 vote. You can't trust them. Say Danex does flip Elim, or village. what are your next steps from there?

    My point was that @Ashbringer was on the thread after all those pages were up, so your point of him "not being awake for the past few pages" was false.

    ;-;

    I mean, is that not what happened there though? no offense or whatnot meant, but what are these other people's reasons for voting Danex? He's an easy kill? He gives us info? both of which are not great reasoning.

    Yes which is why I don't want Dannex dead. It seems like a bad idea to me. Looking for an easy powershrek

     

    Edit:
     

    1 minute ago, Matrim's Dice said:

    Why

    Infokills are typically bad and the suspicion on Dannex doesn't make sense either

    This is a bad plan

    Who's Illwei voting on? We need a counterwagon.

    Striker? Sure. Quinn Striker

    You know what? Screw it. Chaos.

    Dice

  15. 5 minutes ago, Illwei said:

    Danex feels like obvious town for me, and the push on him was led by someone who misinterpreted and no one else had backed off

    Danex feels like he was accidentally turned into an easy opportunistic mishrek and that's how I see everyone on him currently.

    Meanie.
    As to my two choices for watching, Dice has been bothering me on and off all game. I have some suspicions on their alignment, but I'd like them followed. Archer is just a big question mark for me, he reads hard town, but I know others don't like him as much so it might be wise to do so.

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