Ashbringer
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Well, that’s pretty much all the analysis I have. Now it all rests on Emi’s post. I’ll try to do some RP tomorrow instead of analyzing every detail. In the meantime... (Part the Thirty-first, in which someone forgot that THE COFFEE MACHINE’s new capabilities allowed the part titles to contain numbers, and so defaulted to the old letter-based organizational system.) Confident Indecision Maker: I've got my rotation ready to go!!! But since I just already double posted I'm going to hold off on posting it until somebody else posts to avoid making a triple post!!! By the way!! I did not know!! That BANANAS were FIREPROOF!!! THE COFFEE MACHINE: The COFFEE MACHINE quickly relabeled its coffee as "BANANA-FLAVOURED!!!", although on there was the FLAME-RETARDANT coffee which had the natural flavoring. The COFFEE MACHINE was able to quickly seperate the banana flavoring and banana fireproofing, to create a great banana-flavored coffee that WASN'T fireproof and a great fireproof coffe that WASN'T banana-flavored!!! Confident Indecision Maker: EXCELLENT WORK, COFFEE MACHINE!!! We must send the samples to DOC GOOGLE at once for ANALYSIS!!! This could be the makings of an IMPORTANT SCHOLARLY DISCOVERY!!! The Intern: COFFEE MACHINE! It is your turn to implement the RBP with Part the Fourteenth! INDEED! THE SHOUTY-SHOUT AGENCY!!! must analyze the BANANA and FLAME-RETARDANT COFFEE! CAN SOMEONE DISABLE THE CLAXONS AND FIRE ALARMS?!? (The rest of the page is filled with drawings of the SHOUTY SHOUT AGENCY!!!’s members searching fruitlessly for an off-switch)
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... well there goes that part of the theory.
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Just to clarify, I think it's less that Ventyl isn't a Leecher than Ventyl directly lied about who he was going to Leech. Although with Steel Traps it will be harder to prove... (Moved into a spoiler box, because Striker confirmed that I was (probably) wrong, and there’s no strikethrough on mobile) On another note, to everyone saying that it's just the first day of D3, I'm kinda trying to avoid another last-minute lynch. That and I wanted to give Emi a chance to clarify and Ventyl a chance to respond.
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Okay, I was out for an hour and I come back to this, and I don't have much time to post, so let me sort through it a bit. Spoilered for Length: ... I was about to be upset/suspicious for you outing my role, but that actually makes a lot of sense. But if you didn't recieve a message saying you were roleblocked/pulsed, it's a moot point. Yes, I am a Pulser, although Ventyl will probably Roleblock me into oblivion for this if he lives. However, this is kinda why I created this situation. Assuming that Emi confirms, one of us "must", according you you, be an Elim. Which means it comes down to who the village trusts more. There is another option: we're all Village (or pretending to be but still complying) and Emi never submitted an action, and thought that's what I meant. And for "proving your innocence," that doesn't really help in this situation. For one thing, that's kinda what I've been doing, just with only Pyro as my kinda-witness kinda-insurance instead of the whole village. For another, any Elim would take an action as ordered by the village if the penalty for failing was a lynching. It's not really the fact it was after the fact that bothers me, its that you didn't log in until then. Which is NAI, but strange. Just saying, I have no idea which takes precedence, Steel Trap, Leeching, or Pulsing. If we both survive this lynch, I won't Pulse you the night cycle. But again, compliance with a Village order isn't proof you're Village. As for you figuring I would try something like this... I mean, I suppose I wasn't being very subtle trying to get you to pick a Roleblock target. But if you suspected me before all that, enough to found a society to accuse me (?), I'm not sure why you didn't say anything before now. I still am suspicious of Karnage. I'm not sure why he's helping me. But I think whether Ventyl or I flip Village or Elim, it will help lead to Karnage's alignment. Lastly, I agree that we need Emi's say in all this, but she's been tagged plenty and and she hasn't visited in 5 hours. If she can clear this up as a misunderstanding, then I am truly very sorry for all the accusations, but its a lead I have to follow through with. If Emi never posts, then I don't know what to do.
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Fair enough Matrim, but I still think it’s enough for Ventyl to need a long explanation. @Ventyl And @Emi, some in-thread verification would be much appreciated. Edit: Pyro, what Matrim said.
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Wait, what? First whisper whisper is trying to ally with the SHOUTY-SHOUT AGENCY, and now they want to frame one of its members? This is why I start so many conspiracy theories... Well, you asked for my advice on who to roleblock yesterday and soundly ignored it while lying to me, so it seems.
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Fair enough Pyro. I thought I said to wait and see other suspicions, but it was kinda buried in a lot of PM’ing. Well, time to spill the plan. I was going to wait a bit to see how suspicions settled, but since A) It’s fairly obvious I have a plan and B.) You were willing to say you never lied and that you’d roleclaim if asked, here it all is. @Ventyl PM’d me to say that he was a Leecher with no other Feruchemical role, again without much prompting on my part. Since I was in a similar position as a Misting, I thought it would be a good idea to work together and try and create disruptions. (I don’t want to out my role, but a Misting that goes well with a Leecher should allow you guys to guess at it.) However, due to more suspicion in-thread and me realizing how unusual a sudden, unrequested C1 roleclaim was, I began to suspect Ventyl and so enacted my plan. We swapped targets last night, and Ventyl said he would Roleblock @Emi last night. After reset, I PM’d Emi to ask if she got Roleblocked, and she said that she wasn’t Roleblocked last night. Pyro was my backup in case I ended up dead last night. He should be able to confirm that I did this plan, and Emi should be able to confirm she wasn’t Roleblocked. I suppose we could have mutually misunderstood that Emi hadn’t done an action, and therefore would recieve no indication that she was Roleblocked, but she didn’t say anything beyond a “nope, he didn’t”. Ventyl highlighted this after the plan became evident. Emi, if you could clarify this, that would be greatly appreciated. (I’m also not sure where the “he” came from, but I doubt that is very significant.) Other suspicions include the ones I’ve listed previously, and the fact that in PM Ventyl seemed to be asking a lot of questions as to who he should roleblock and who I was acting against. I recommended someone who wasn’t incredibly active in thread but active enough to be submitting actions (to be precise Emi, Lahilt, and Xino). He also claimed that Araris PM’d him that he (Araris) wasn’t going to submit an action after I said I was going to disrupt Araris last night, and convinced me to change my target. Since Araris was the Kandra, this isn’t as incriminating as if he’d flipped Elim, but it’s still... very odd. So there you all have it.
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Pyro, didn't I tell you NOT to say anything yet? I'm still trying to make sure I'm right. But I think I am right in this one.
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(Althea is an Elsecaller) Oh, this is going to be hilarious and also very nervewracking for me.
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Well, hmm. I'm still suspicious of Karnage, but I'm also a little suspicious of @Ventyl. He roleclaimed to me really early in the game, which seems very odd. I'm still hopeful we can work together, but... I don't know. What happened was: Ventyl was suspicious of me for talking about the Kandra so much but then not wanting to go hunting for it, at Thursday at 11:18 AM. He then PM'd me less than 15 minutes later saying he read me as village and was willing to Roleclaim to me. I replied saying that I didn't think that role claiming C1 was a good idea, but that a mutual roleclaim could be a good idea. He later replied, otherwise unprompted, with his claimed role, and I responded with mine. He's also still suspicious of XP, which is a bit interesting. I still think XP is Village unless there were a lot more subtle manipulations C2 than C1, and it seems like XP and Ventyl are mutually suspicious of each other, even though Ventyl moved his vote and swung the lynch to Drake in the very last minute (last 3 minutes). Not posting a vote yet, but... I'm curious to see what you all think. Interesting tidbit: Xino never Rioted anyone, because he always had a vote. Which means that the Elims felt confident enough in their lynch to only manipulate using their possible Soother and their own votes. Edit: FIRE! FIRE! FIRE! WHY IS EVERYTHING ON FIRE! FIR- oh wait, it's just a new page.
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Tyrian crouched in an alleyway. He still couldn't see the Radiant, although he could hear her shouting at the others. Cinder had said she would follow, but he was still keeping an eye out for her. He checked his supplies. He'd recovered the sickle that Silas had left unused, as well as some of the Skybreaker's spheres. Many were smokestone, which made it all the better for him. But he'd lost that blasted spike. Hopefully he'd be able to recover it. Cinder whisked over to him. "Don't say anything, your voice is too loud, but she's still coming. She's an Elsecaller, and she definitely has a Shardblade." He paused, probably seeing Tyrian's dull expression. "She can teleport and Soulcast things into other things. Very dangerous, but generally not warriors. She's about fifty paces down the road. And closing." Tyrian waited. She would come to him, and he would destroy. Cinder looked at him. "I'm not convinced that she's evil. She seems concerned about her friends, and she was only trying to see what was going on." Tyrian stared blankly. "And she called for authorities. She wants to destroy me," he tried to whisper. The pavement below him grayed and cracked under his power. "I will destroy and not be destroyed." He looked at Cinder. Cinder folded his arms. "If you think that's what your Third Oath is, you have a long way to go as a Radiant." Tyrian rolled his eye, growling. He could hear the Radiant approaching, slowly, cautiously searching for him. Searching for a fight. Just a few more steps, and she would have the fight that she desired. @bees?
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Cool to see another Skybreaker! Please do not introduce him to Tyrian. It will not go well.
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I'll get to work analyzing what Xino did soon. I'd be fine to try and lynch Karnage again, but I have a different suspicion today. ... (Part twenty-seven, which is a number mostest most fortunate as it is three three threes, and three is the number of sides in a triangle, the most stable shape, and three threes is the most stable of the most stable, and so this post is the most stable of the most stable of the most stable) THE INSANITATION OFFICER: THE REPLY TO THE QUESTION OF THE CONFIDENT INDECISION MAKER, IS THAT THE INSANITATION OFFICER STICKS BANANAS TO THE CEILING!!! Doctor Google: Ah! The doctor noticed the Confident Indecision Maker was lit on fire while delivering the hour to the printer! He rushed to grab some flame-retardant coffee from THE COFFEE MACHINE! Confident Indecision Maker: AN ENLIGHTENED ANSWER MY GOOD OFFICER!!! You know it's legitimately helpful to put the transcript in the thread because I think some people legitimately were curious about the contents of our PM after it was brought up in conversation a few times. They just got A LOT MORE THAN THEY BARGAINED FOR!!! Stick: ( @The Intern your turn) The Intern: Thanks! The SHOUTY-SHOUT AGENCY!!! has enacted its budget proposal! (The Narrator smiles at this, as the self-referential nature of the SHOUTY-SHOUT AGENCY!!! becomes apparent to the general public.) (The COFFEE MACHINE wonders why it had no posts in this part... perhaps it was inactive)
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I think the elims killed Reading, the Kandra killed Xino, and who knows who hit Araris. Maybe he did the Kandra self-destruct or maybe a Coinshot got him or something. @StrikerEZ, is the Kandra body swap once per game, or once per game per player? Ie if I’m right and there’s a new Kandra, do we have to kill it just one more time for it to be gone?
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I KNEW IT! The kandra IS a body stealer!
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Well, not JUST, but I think it's a little wierd we have multiple secret organizations that want to move around lynches.
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Wait, so there's an organization that devoted itself to saving XP like how SHOUTY SHOUT devoted itself to saving Coda? This game has more secret organizations than Roshar! Edit: Either I ninja'd XP or XP ninja'd me. I can't tell.
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This is the night turn. And which thread is the Whisper Whispers? Is is the one I think it is, or one I'm not in? Also Araris, you haven't seemed to answer anything I asked of you in my last analysis post.
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I just noticed that Experience ninja'd me AGAIN. (Part twenty-three, in which THE COFFEE MACHINE malfunctions slightly, making blue milk from Star Wars instead of coffee for the Agents of the SHOUTY-SHOUT AGENCY!!!) Doctor Google: The esteemed Doctor speaks up once more. "Good thing I brought both my literal and metaphorical earplugs then!" THE COFFEE MACHINE: THE COFFEE MACHINE has a sudden flashback toward a Ruined inbox. The COFFEE MACHINE is happy that it's inbox is now only used for coffee. Definitely only coffee. Nothing else. Only coffee. Doctor Google: The Doctor turned to the Confident Indecision Maker. "I believe it is your turn to publish the minutes!" Confident Indecision Maker: I see!!! The minutes must be published!!! Confident Indecision Maker: The minutes have been updated!!! Stick: The Stick prompts the intern to deliver the minutes to the publisher! @THE COFFEE MACHINE At this rate, the minutes might even become an hour! THE COFFEE MACHINE: The COFFEE MACHINE activated it's speaker. "Is there an ORDER to the *bzzt* publishing of the minutes?" The COFFEE MACHINE decided to pour some coffee. It updated its screen to let its associates know to disregard the slight bluish discoloring in the liquid. (The Narrator interjects, saying that the coffee tasted unusually good when slightly blue and requests more of the mysterious blue substance.)
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Raow the kitten stared at the working man. He seemed to have been in very deep concentration, but once he had noticed him sitting there it was as if his notes meant nothing to him. Raow tilted his head. How intruiging could a kitten be to someone to abandon all else? He'd seen people drop what they were doing to pet, play, and pamper him, yes, but never start scribbling furiously into a piece of written-over paper. Maybe he's drawing a picture of me, Raow thought, striking a thoughtful pose. Then the candle went out. Raow's eyes scanned the dimly lit room. The human was fumbling about - to him the room would be pitch black. But for Raow, the light from the cracks in the window coverings letting in moonlight and the lamplight from under the door allowed him to see, although it was like peering through a glass, darkly. "Mraow?" he asked, hoping the human would re-light the candle. He still couldn't see well enough to see the paper the man had discarded. Then again, he doubted he would be able to read it anyway. So, he batted the paper over behind the man's desk. Perhaps today would be a good day to learn how to read.
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Some analysis of my own: Pyro:... man I feel bad. I'm confident in saying Pyro is Village at this point, because he'd have to be a really sneaky Elim to pocket Coda, Drake, and me altogether. Although I am worried about how quiet he's gotten... I don't think he's very happy about this. Experience: the lynch yesterday was fairly close between XP and Drake for all the time Drake was rising, and was the main lynch target for the entire Day. Yet, nobody bothered to do any vote manipulation. I think the Elims have a Soother since they used one D1, but nothing on Experience or Drake. I think this indicates the Elims didn't care about this lynch, which would indicate XP is also Village. Hats/Kidpen: It would be very odd to lynch Kidpen for Hats' crime of inactivity. It's hard to tell whether the Elims wanted Hats to die or not D1 due to the late voting, but they certainly didn't go out of their way to rescue them. Analysis is Neutral with slight Village lean. @Karnage: Karnage has only made three posts in the game: the first post where he stated he wouldn't be active much and poke-voted Araris, never to post again D1; the post immediately after D1 ended where he attempted (and failed) to move his vote from Araris to Hatz/Kidpen: and the post the beginning of D2 where he plead innocent, poked Emi for inactivity that cycle (which was fair)... then never posted again D2. From what it looks like, Karnage only signed on immediately at reset D1, or he would have noticed the votes pilling on him sooner and changed his vote sooner. I feel like being inactive most of the time isn't condemning, and neither is the vote train, but the fact that he stab-voted twice only for inactivity and never seemed to bother to change the votes is something I've never seen looking through older threads. It's also probable that the D1 Soothing was targeted at Karnage's lynch, not Hats', even if the Karnage lynch was a natural vote shift. Analysis is Neutral with a slight Elim lean, and I would like to see him active more. @Araris Valerian: While I don't have much worthy of suspicion for Araris, he's the other possible target of the D1 Soothing, if Drake had been targeted while he briefly voted on him. You were the stab-vote target of Karnage on D1, which seems an odd manuveur even if Karnage is Village. You led the Experience lynch last cycle, which would likely have been another mislynch. And, you've been suspected both cycles but never enough to be in danger of lynching save for about 15 minutes of D1. My analysis is still Neutral, but I'd like to hear your thoughts. There are one or two others I'm suspicious of, but I have no real analysis or reasons for them so I'll avoid {Insert Metaphor Here} any longer. Also, either some posts from last round have been hidden/deleted, or there were a lot more double posts than I remember. And my text is still tiny. Help. Edit: Now THAT'S a ninja and a half right there, Experience! Drake mentioned in the SHOUT PM when Coda died that Pyro had someone claim seeker to them. So that's probably true.
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Faleast slouched into his chair. Another PRE and SHOUTY-SHOUT AGENCY member was gone, dead. He had been so sure he had found the traitor, the Loyalist with a silver tongue. But the only silver present was in the boxings in Lorena’s pocket and the tears in everyone’s eyes. Oh Harmony, why do they have to die so young? But this isn’t Harmony’s fault, is it, Faleast? It’s my fault. All my fault. Faleast had suspected Lorena. True, many people had. But it had been Faleast and the man called Reginald who led the way to the mob’s action. If not for him, then Lorena would still be alive, and the one called Shard and XP would have died in her place. He knew that Lorena’s death would help them find the real traitors. Pyria and Shard were now likely to be innocent, and Faleast had his own private suspicions he would investigate. And he had learned a valuable lesson: Before today, Faleast had thought the only person he could trust was himself. Now he knew he couldn’t even trust that far. Oh Harmony, why do they have to die so young while this miserable carcass persists? Ah well. Perhaps I can use what I’ve learned. Perhaps Lorena won’t have died in vain. Or perhaps someone will send this miserable carcass to the Beyond, where you can finally say “I was wrong”.
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(Part nineteen, the part which was spelled correctly again) The Great and Mighty Game Master: I don't think I'm going to do the anonymous posts from this PM for boxings. I will absolutely be posting some screenshots from this at the end of the game, though. Confident Indecision Maker: Can't we just post things in rotation by ourselves and reap the rewards within the ordinary activity rewarding system?!!! I don't want to ask the Great and Mighty Game Master to give us special consideration, all things held equal!!! Confident Indecision Maker: I apologize for my HEINOUS OVERSIGHT!!! The lack of SHOUTING in the previous message has been addressed POST HASTE!!! Stick: The stick shakes its leaf in consternation! That's one strike! Also, the GM misunderstands! The stick was suggesting the PLAYERS post the PM, not him! The only thing the GM would be doing is dividing the boxings among the players evenly, so they don't have to do maths, or cut off replies in the middle to not waste words! Confident Indecision Maker: Oh!!! I misunderstood the Stick!!! (Will the Stick be offended? Will they not care? Will the Stick’s final leaf fall out? Find out on the next episode of SHOUTY SHOUT AGENCY Z!!!)
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This is a mini-character sheet for Poller, Cassie's assistant.
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Dang it Matrim! I wanted to do that. ... I think we need to make an agreement as a Village to NOT to do the last minute voting thing again. It doesn't really help anyone. For one thing, the accused really has no chance to defend themselves. Drake had been defending himself over the past thread, but he never really had a chance to defend himself when he was actually in danger. For another - bear with me here - it makes it almost impossible for anyone to use vote manipulation to properly affect the lynch and for the Village to read anything for it. This is fairly null in the XP>Drake lynch where there was no manipulation, but in the Coda>Karnage>Hatz lynch someone Soothed a vote off of one of Pyro, Drake, Mist, or Ash (me). I doubt it was Mist, because Mist didn't vote until the last minute (literally, the last 9 minutes). Pyro, Drake, and Ash all had votes on Karnage in the last hour and had changed to Hatz within the last half hour; Pyro and Ash went Karnage>Hatz and Drake went Karnage>Araris>Hatz. (Note that Hatz is now Kidpen, and hopefully active.) So the Soothing could have intended to prevent Karnage's death, Hatz's death, or very briefly Araris' death (He was briefly at a 3-way tie with Karnage and Hatz). And we have no idea which one was the real target the Elims (or some Village Soother); we can only speculate. If I have 1 post that's 200 words of RP and 200 words of analysis, does that give me 1 boxing or 2 boxings?
