Emerald Falcon

Ivory Dragonfly

Vote Tally Sapphire Elephant (3): Azure Mouse, Ivory Dragonfly, Pearl Chameleon Emerald Falcon (2): Charcoal Hyena, Saffron Iguana Saffron Iguana (2): Amethyst Scorpion, Melon Dingo Salmon Meerkat (2): Coral Swan, Plum Rhinoceros Amethyst Scorpion (1): Sapphire Elephant Azure Mouse (1): Opal Lion Charcoal Hyena (1): Onyx Flamingo Indigo Weasel (1): Chartreuse Penguin Oxblood Beagle (1): Mint Heron

Vote Tally Emerald Falcon (3): Charcoal Hyena, Magenta Albatross, Salmon Meerkat Amethyst Scorpion (2): Ivory Dragonfly, Sapphire Elephant Indigo Weasel (2): Azure Mouse, Chartreuse Penguin Pearl Chameleon (2): Amber Vulture, Saffron Iguana Azure Mouse (1): Opal Lion Charcoal Hyena (1): Amethyst Scorpion Ivory Dragonfly (1): Pearl Chameleon Salmon Meerkat (1): Plum Rhinoceros Sapphire Elephant (1): Quartz Zebra

Salmon Meerkat

Salmon Meerkat

Did my best with the time I had, sorry for being so disconnected and if I've not responded to PMs. But hey, we've started a village streak!

*sigh* this game...

Yeah, unless I'm double-tapped by the elim, I'll survive. Either way, you'll get your confirmation. And to be clear, Penguin was the one who scanned Croc as red right? Because I'm on Paranoia part 2.

Yeah, ngl. I've been considering paranoid possibilities about Swan with defences in brackets - They are not the Coinshot at all [where is the counter-claim?]. They are the elim Coinshot, which requires another elim alive because both their kill and elim kill went through last Night [Lurcher, Thug, Lurcher, Tineye, Coinshot, ??? - Six member elim team versus Thug, Smoker x3, Tineye x2, Mistborn x2, Lurcher, Rioter is a seriously mechanically mismatched line up]. Uhhh, those are the only scenarios that explain Coinshot kills. I am, however, confused by the whole Swan-Rhino thread-brawl about Swan's claim. I went through the whole thing forwards-and-backwards three times and I still did not understand a thing. Can you elaborate @Coral Swan? Number system go brr but why is the above point even a point under possibilities?

Alright, for me, it's between Ostrich, Toucan, Chameleon and Elephant. Apparently, Ostrich and Toucan could not have submitted the kill, which narrows it down to Cham and Elephant. I'm a village Thug. Which had me confused for half of the game. I was like "3 Thugs, so many Lurches, huh? For sure, there are loads of Mistborn in the game." Anyway, it should be very easy to prove that I am a Thug. Shoot me in the Night. Obviously, Penguin would not be protecting me, and there are no more Lurchers left in the game. After proving that I'm the Thug, we just need to look at the elim team composition, because 2 Lurchers and 2 Thugs is genuinely beyond the realm of possibility for a GM to put in an elim team against this village composition. Also, there's been no other village Thug. 1 Lurcher and 0 Thug is too little a protection for the village. Moving past the mechanical proof and the fact the I was put up for execution in D2, I voted for Flamingo in D3, moving them to the lead, when elims were either preferring a non-exe on Lion or trying to push Cham to the front. I started to consider the extreme paranoia case of e!Swan and then my dumb head realised they would not be able to use both Coinshot and Spiked kill in the same Night (confirmation @Devotary of Spontaneity?). Plan A - D8 - Vote out Elephant (if not yet won ->) N8 - Shoot me (possibility that elim might also double-tap me in which case you also get confirmation of my alignment) D9 - Vote out Chameleon Plan B - D8 - Vote out Elephant (if not won ->) N8 - Shoot Chameleon (if not won ->) D9 - Vote me out (you get confirmation of my Thuggery from my survival) N9 - Shoot ??? (assuming Swan survives N8) Edit: Just seen the Elephant post, was probably ninja'd while typing - but yeah if it isn't Elephant, it's Chameleon. Quite confident of that.

Started the re-read to judge and guess the elim team members' statements - You could weakly argue that most of them are likely villagers to avoid repetition. The approach mimics that of evil AN12 Falcon. Since they were caught early on, I find it unlikely the Spiked embraced the strategy again. Crocodile feels very aware of the evil tactic so it comes off as genuine here. Leaning towards reading this as the truth. Penguin good with votes on them by 2 elims. Toucan good with vote on Scorpion. Hmmm, E/V or E/E? Could be either way. Leaning towards nudging a fellow elim to be more active. Mouse good because of vote from Crocodile? Eventually shifts to Kangaroo though. Notable vote shift. I'll bring to your notice the same Crocodile post mentioned by y'all a while back. It's the one with the apparent slip. In addition to the slip regarding Albatross, the one elim indication I have been observing since a while is that elims are casually harsher/meaner/user stronger language to define their teammates than when compared to describing villagers. This is mainly because the elim teammate being described understands that the poster is deliberately using the words and do not mean them, whereas if used upon a villager, they might bring attention to it, call them back on it and basically put the poster in the spotlight. Here, the words "nonsense post" is unnecessarily harsh and fake, and I believe it's because they were talking about their teammate. Mouse and Toucan engage with Crocodile's reason to read them evil. Interesting to note that none of the flipped elims interacted/rebutted the reasonings given by Crocodile. Inviting everyone to read this post from Flamingo - Elims usually hide one of their teammates in the most suspected tier, here being death list. Swan is apparent scanned village. Heron turned green. That leaves us with Alb. Notice how none of the points refer anything suspicious done by Alb, and their name is just dropped there at the end. Just further down the thread, Meerkat enquiries about Alb. Flamingo gives a reasoning but also semi-backtracks and half-provides a defence for Alb in the same sentence. I think that's all I'll be able to cover before rollover [note to self - pg 8]. Current tier of muddled thoughts is [Albatross, Dragonfly] -> [Chameleon, Ostrich] -> [Mouse, Weasel] -> [Toucan, Elephant] -> [Penguin, Swan] Dragonfly still in the first pool, but their actions (last minute vote) doesn't quite match unless they are teammates with Penguin. I think evidence of evil Magenta Albatross is a lot more than Dragonfly.

N2 - Flamingo survived, possible self-Lurch D3 - Lion survived, Thug/Mistborn N3 - Flamingo survived again ; possibilities - D4 - Crocodile dies (someone made sure Crocodile died over Flamingo, malicious or innocent. Was thinking if it could be an evil person knowing Flamingo would drain another kill in the Night, but why bring attention to Croc who was relatively not under suspicion) N4 - Flamingo survives x3 ; D5 - Flamingo dies N5 - Lion survives Let's look at the possibilities surrounding Flamingo's survival - They were protected by someone else in N2/N4, and self protected in N3. The likelihood of Mistborn rolling Iron exactly when needed in alternate cycles is highly improbable to match so well, leading to a case of a second Spiked Lurcher. They self-protected in N2/N4 and were protected by someone else in N3. Remember, Lion is either a Thug or Mistborn-rolled Pewter during D3, so they could not have protected Flamingo in N3 (cannot roll Iron and Pewter in the same cycle). This leads to a scenario of either Iron-rolled Spiked Mistborn or Spiked Lurcher. Lion claims to have rolled Pewter during D3, D5 and now D6. This still does not exclude the Spiked Lurcher/another Spiked Mistborn who could protect Flamingo N3. But this is likely a fabrication and the most likely solution is Opal Lion is a simple Spiked Thug and was protected by the second Spiked Lurcher last night.

*waits for Night flips before re-reading* *no Night flips* This is getting exhausting *sigh* Flamingo