Emerald Falcon

Ostrich

Saffron Iguana, Amber Vulture, Violet Axolotl

That is one weird dodo.

There are monsters in the ocean and on the islands, but there's a decent chance they still know how. Doduo?

Rivers in and around Elendel, and he's rich. I'm pretty sure a historical equivalent would know how, and Scadrial is earth analog.

Wax for Tri. Knows how to swim, can make bike go very fast, and can manipulate weight for faster running. Also, hi former me! Hope you're having fun!

Falcon, Ostrich, Elephant As for pokemon, I think sunkern will sweep. Nevermind that it has a pitiful bst, sunkern has the gumption and the chutzpah to pull it off. Ignore speed-form deoxys for the 100m, they are obviously on some performance-enhancing drugs. Blaziken leaping a 30-story building isn't a pole-vault so it doesn't count. Barraskewda is swimming not kayaking, so that 100 knots top speed is worthless to them.

Ostrich, Falcon, Vulture Did anyone ask Steel how he liked the ending of Xenoblade 2? Should we ask him? Will he be playing Xeno3? Has Steel become the true monado?

Woo! I'm excited to win...or to lose. Either's fine by me. --------- I was not a very skilled body-hopper, so it was harder than you might expect for me to make my way among the athletes. I could only hop once or twice per day, so I had to find someone who already planned on going -- I didn't want to set something up very far in advance, and it might not have worked out anyway. But now I was in the general city of the Games; all I had to do was wait for the opening ceremonies. Watch for athletes leaving the arena for some street food or a bathroom break, make sure my current body was somewhere that'd be walked-by but wouldn't be seen-- a dumpster would work, though the smell started to get to me after an hour -- and then strike. Often I'd run into souls that could handle new bodies. It really screws up the area to have a string of disappearances -- well, of people that would be missed, that is, and that's definitely the case at the Olympics -- so I just give them a light shove on my way in. Push them in the general vicinity of the body I just left. If it works out, they've got a body to live in while I have my fun, and I put them back when I'm done using their identity. Usually. Sometimes I can't get a hold of them, and sometimes I get their body killed, which...well, that would be really awkward going to find them, you know? "Oh, hi, thanks for letting me steal your job and connections and all that. I'm done with it but I can't give it back. Really funny story, haha..." Could you imagine the embarrassment? No, when that happens, I just leave. They'll find out eventually anyway. But this time should be fine. It's just a few athletes; they're disciplined enough to have strong souls, and their bodies are resilient. I don't see a way I could be leaving a massive fiasco behind me this time. I shifted in my dumpster. Someone was walking by. Talking on the phone, not to "coach," no mention of "trainer," so this might not be an athlete. I strained my ears. "And the other contestants, they--" well, well, well. Only an hour and a half and I had an in. One jump out, grab the mind and reel myself in, toss the soul into the dumpster with the body I just left, and keep on walking. I made my excuses to whoever was on the phone -- "sorry, just saw something odd, I'll call you back" -- and checked myself for a team ID of some sort. Where was I supposed to be staying tonight? More importantly, what event was I going to be in?

Kasimir. Surely nothing will go wrong if I do this, right? I sort of want you to read and come to your own conclusions atp. Game probably last two more cycles maximum off of numbers I think. Minimum game ends this cycle after night phase, depends on role stuff.

Sounds like a great plan, count me in! How much of the game have you read so far?

I'm lowkey throwing sorry Ivory Dragonfly. Charcoal Hyena probably outted atp.

Ivory Dragonfly. Should be 2-2 on wagons.

And why shouldn't yours?

Ah ok that clears something up (smh me). I would hope not. It's currently 6 players left, and it should be 4 v 2. If it's 3 v 3, lol ggs I guess, but it could explain why town has so many roles. Who?

Time to go through the 5 stages of "did they kill Azure Mouse to set up Ivory Dragonfly as a misexe?". Charcoal Hyena voting me because I'm vanilla and then swapping to self-pres on Coral Swan who was towny and a PR is certainly something. Self-pressing isn't inherently wolfy, it's just hm. Ivory Dragonfly is probably 90% outted off of distro, though. 6 left is 4 v 2. We have 1 misexe, so a pool of 2 to hit 1 elim between them. Mm. Coral Swan said they were Soothing Indigo Weasel. Ivory Dragonfly claimed to have Smoked Indigo Weasel, and claimed to not be responsible for the vote removal on Charcoal Hyena. So that accounts for Coral Swan's wagon staying at 3 votes, and also that is such a questionable target by Ivory Dragonfly. I would maybe tentatively pair Ivory Dragonfly with Charcoal Hyena, because Indigo Weasel being Soothed puts wagons at 2-2 (assuming elim vote manip on Charcoal Hyena wagon), but it's extremely tentative because Coral Swan only claimed their action on Indigo Weasel one minute to rollover, and Charcoal Hyena would have to be a strong role. Elims are most likely responsible for Charcoal Hyena wagon's vote removal, which does look insanely bad for Charcoal Hyena. If wagons were v/v, they wouldn't have a reason to mess with vote manip, but I suppose they could've been setting up for the future. I don't think elims would need to, though, they're likely in a pretty good spot rn. I'm pretty sure Ivory Dragonfly is a Smoker off of their actions, which means either town has 2 Smokers, or elims have 2 Smokers, I think? Idk this could be wrong, I am unfortunately cursed with being terrible with mech. I thought about distro a bunch and I have no idea where a Smoker would fit because town has had 2 vote manip roles flip. It's also possible Ivory Dragonfly is Mistborn, but they most likely did Smoke Indigo Weasel, barring weird circumstances maybe, idk. So that leaves unaccounted for e!vote manip that... hasn't been seen so far? Or I don't remember seeing. Part of me wants to just vote Ivory Dragonfly for distro reasons, and part of me wants to vote Charcoal Hyena for looking bad. I think Ivory Dragonfly is more likely to be a hit, but also Charcoal Hyena looks so bad and there are small things pointing towards Charcoal Hyena, and I also get the feeling I'm insanely wrong right now, though, so idk this is stressing me out more than it should.

That's my bad, I'll try my best to not use my mess of weird terminology I've picked up over time, oops. Smoker claims are e/v most likely. I would bet the game on that atp, just looking at flips. Short of the elims having like 2 Mistborn (which imo could make the game very swingy based on how I assume Mistborn role works), distro does not work for having 2 Smoker claims. Other elim is probably in the lowposters. Stuff happened to votecount that I can't be bothered to figure out at this time of night, but it means something.

Fwiw me being alive and high WiM doesn't mean anything because the NKs have been 2 PRs getting attacked and surviving, and a low info widely TR'd VT kill. Azure Mouse can be elim because of claim, but I don't really expect e!Azure Mouse to claim there when there is no need to because of their thread position. They're also not using their claim in the way I'd expect an elim to (which is to say, pushing the other PR claims). Coral Swan could be fooling me, based off of the PR claims. Ivory Dragonfly's story is believable and their role can be proven by Coral Swan today, though. The lowposting squad (Amber Vulture, Chartreuse Penguin, Charcoal Hyena) could have an elim. Indigo Weasel is highly unlikely an elim I think. Could probably group the game into lowposters and PR claims atp, and there's either 2 elims in lowposters, or one in each group if I had to guess. Chartreuse Penguin has been ignored quite a lot all game and that's probably +elim equity. Lowposters: Chartreuse Penguin Charcoal Hyena Amber Vulture PR claims: Ivory Dragonfly Azure Mouse Coral Swan (with Indigo Weasel excluded because I think they're just town). Imo it's more likely split and not all three PR claims are town, just looking at town's overall power. They'd have to have two very powerful roles for town to have a Lurcher, Rioter, Soother, Mistborn, and 2 Smokers. So chances are high there is still an elim in PR claims. Chartreuse Penguin is probably 75% a hit, looking through their posts this game and the way thread has completely ignored them, vs the way thread has treated Charcoal Hyena who has been voted and focused on instead. I don't think it's clearing for Charcoal Hyena or damning for Chartreuse Penguin, but it is probs worth considering, and at least pressuring there in the future. I would note that if Mauve Crocodile was shot by elims, it does point towards e!Charcoal Hyena (or e!Coral Swan) if I remember Mauve Crocodile's reads correctly, would have to double check. Not sure about Amber Vulture, they've just been existing. Coral Swan/Ivory Dragonfly may be a difference check off of VCA. Anyways that's my legacy. Since game doesn't end at parity (which I forgot about lol), we still have 2 misexes I think. You could vote me for peace of mind if you want, I honestly don't care atp. I would probably vote between the lowposters (edit: actually no, maybe you vote in PR claims. I'm not sure what's optimal.) tomorrow and see if elims NK in PR claims or not, and then probably force a cross in PR claims since they're 99% going to hit an elim between them. Good luck.

Wants It More. And wrt me not dying, uh we've had PR claims dying and low info highly TR'd people die. Shrugs, I am not surprised I am alive since I am getting pushed.

Hope you're ok now, Charcoal Hyena. Coral Swan, I think I posted a readlist earlier. If you care about self meta, I always claim my role early, it's a terrible habit, don't be like me. Ivory Dragonfly. Coral Swan can test the claim and I don't have a preference beyond that.

You can flip me so you can stop being paranoid about me smh. I could towncase myself but I don't really care to. PR = power role / role with abilities.

6 v 2 -> 4 v 2. Meh, go for it. Probably force conflicting PRs to cross in f6, but I don't have high expectations. Atp I'm probably at something like Amber Vulture/Ivory Dragonfly, since I could reasonably see everyone else being town over them, but I wouldn't be surprised if I'm wrong on someone there.

I'm thinking we should mass claim here since PRs are claiming and it would give us an idea of the distro. I imagine there's actually no more PR claims now, but just in case. Atm I'm still at Ivory Dragonfly.

Oops I probably should've read the new day post first, apologies. I would think it's a town shot, but it doesn't really matter imo because it's a great info flip for us.

Kill wolfsiders win game, ez. Apologies - I think I said I was going to switch my vote and then left without moving my vote, not realizing I wasn't available at EoD. Smh wolfsiding... Melon Dingo Indigo Weasel Coral Swan Azure Mouse Amber Vulture Charcoal Hyena Chartreuse Penguin Mauve Crocodile Ivory Dragonfly Would just clear Indigo Weasel atp. They're just not e/e with Mint Heron imo. I still want to flip Ivory Dragonfly off of associatives fwiw. I think about 85% of the time there should be an elim on wagon (so between Coral Swan, Indigo Weasel, Ivory Dragonfly, Mauve Crocodile, Melon Dingo). Crossing off Indigo Weasel and Melon Dingo because I believe both are town, there should be at least an elim in Coral Swan, Mauve Crocodile, Ivory Dragonfly. I would lean towards the latter two being an elim over Coral Swan. The reason for this is that Mint Heron was facing building pressure and barely got through d3, and was likely a planned bus for d4, so no one on wagon actually gets credit (you can check my work yesterday for why I'm clearing Indigo Weasel). In worlds where Ivory Dragonfly is also an elim, Mint Heron was clearly a planned bus (would make Ivory Dragonfly a stronger PR 99% of the time). I think it's important to note that Ivory Dragonfly is not cleared even though an e!Smoker flipped. I would say that v!Ivory Dragonfly should've been possible for elims to misexe over Mint Heron - edit, my thought on it being lylo tomorrow then is wrong when I checked numbers. The only two reasons I would unpair Ivory Dragonfly/Mint Heron is because they claimed the same role (yet didn't vote each other until forced to on d4, which is pairing lol), and because they were pushing the exact same agenda, which is sort of heading into too obvious to be real territory. Unfortunately for them, I don't believe in twtbaw (too wolfy to be a wolf), just kill wolfsiders. Coral Swan is town a lot of the time I think, and fmpov, this should make Ivory Dragonfly an elim a lot of the time. I did also have Mint Heron/Coral Swan as paired, though, so I will double check that. I think I have enough reasons for Coral Swan to be town here. @Coral Swan if you could claim your action, that would help. Same with @Melon Dingo, did you use vote manip? Thought a bit about Azure Mouse moving to Mauve Crocodile as potentially redirecting wagons, but I forgot where that thought went and ended up deciding it's only concerning sometimes - I'll try to remember what specific world this was later. Atp I'd probably write Mauve Crocodile/Ivory Dragonfly as a potential solve I would look at. Can swap Mauve Crocodile out for someone who hasn't been posting a lot.