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Kasimir

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Everything posted by Kasimir

  1. Kasimir
    Spelling out some of my earlier thoughts: Divergent - I like the energy of the thread entrance. Happy to be there and easy in a way IDK an Elim immediately feels. I've felt Divergent's second post is more reserved so IDK where to go, but I will stick with the V lean for now because Vibe Economy. Lotus - Hesitate to ascribe a read. Theoretically I like being willing to come into thread and make a no killing joke (?) That's a casual kinda position I feel an Elim would not wanna assume off the bat because it usually gets you side-eyed. But IDK Lotus's experience level and Lotus later asks the vote question and then subsequently votes so I guess I need to rethink this player. (There's a world where E!Lotus says it because Elims have the kill anyway.) I wanted to V!lean based off the subsequent vote question but ngl I'm aware it's very thin basis. Don't feel comfortable ascribing a read, let's move on. KSauce - Pretty measured entrance. Difficult to read. The randomly question in later post feels a bit weird and I'm trying to understand the mindset it comes from. Probably a v. weak negative lean if forced. Argenti - IDK. Storm - I don't want to give too much credit because I think any competent Elim has incentive to vote here. Nonetheless I usually will always accord a lil V credit this early for being willing to get the ball rolling in a tepid thread. We can revise later if necessary. Doc - Great to be playing with Doc again, I kinda like the mood and the joke. Relaxed attitude in the thread off the bat. We'll go with positive vibes for now, so V!lean but Doc is good enough that I'm not gonna expect to see much difference regardless. Won't be ride or die (tbh true of most vibe reads.) STINK - chill but no cigar TUH - I have thoughts about that post. I'm not fully sure how I feel about this and TUH's subsequent, but it's not a V lean, that much is for sure. Exp - Just existing, very reserved. I kind of feel like I'd wanna see more energy from Exp coming in (IDK if this is meta or what) so this doesn't leave me feeling positive, the hanging back feels a tad palpable. That's about it, I don't really feel like anything else jumped out to me and I don't feel constructive going further so this is it.
  2. Kasimir
    I don't really have the energy for serious analysis because somehow I'm still so tired (getting into proper sprammar mode is something mentally exhausting IDEK anymore), I'm just off the benches and rusty af, probably spread myself and my SAN too thin maining two to three games consecutively for a decent chunk of this year hence crashing out in both of Drake's games at once (RIP bro.) I don't think I realised how much I overdid things until I chilled out. I can't full-Kas this so I won't. Anyway the set-up isn't really conducive to it and I imagine there's diminishing returns and I don't recall anyone's meta so soddit we ball Vibes-Based Analysis in 2025
  3. Kasimir
    I know
  4. Kasimir
    this just in: TUH = fossil I agree with this estimate FWIW. Not scientific, entirely vibes-based but whatever we ball.
  5. Kasimir
    I appreciate your vote of confidence for my bid to become GM of this game. I will use such power wisely! Edited to add: I guess you could say this is an over-optimistic projection but I'm assuming they'll have a bit better info at that point due to the Spymaster or just failed kills bouncing around. I at least think expecting a decently-sized voting bloc to happen by that juncture makes sense to me, and also we should generally just make the pessimistic assumption first then scrape around to see how much breathing room we really have ¯\_(ツ)_/¯
  6. Kasimir
    I'm honestly hoping that talking, looking for agenda, vibe reads, and the usual "watch how reads change" will influence this, particularly because Elims will be shifting their reads to try to protect who they now think are their teammates. Like Villagers will do this too, but there's the doc and missed kill thing coming into play later on. I guess fundamentally just agenda drek which dear God I suck at so IDK why I picked this game to come back to except I'm a fool for Star Wars. I'm aware Drake has mulled on running a larger team in this game too so that's another thing to consider I think. Like technically we don't lose at lylo, we lose when the Head Honcho is dead, but if we're outnumbered, that's a formality because they just vote and kill freely until the Head Honcho is dead. So technically the only thing the Head Honcho wincon does is it adds the possibility we can lose before the numbers game happens.
  7. Kasimir
    a little slanted by the fact we technically have teammates on both sides, just that we don't know who they are, no? if not it'd be a ffa of some sort. Edited to add: man bruv u killed it
  8. Kasimir
    what's ur current reads/views of threadstate/path forwards?
  9. Kasimir
    Colour your vote in red and bold it like this as follows: DrakeMarshall You can unvote like this: DrakeMarshall Player or username is fine. Anyway I CBA to pull my posts but we just do it in-thread like this. Man no connectives is a PITA because otherwise I'd be tempted to ask if this is a lost Villager Still low-key wanna v lean a tiny bit because I feel like an Elim might rest confident in the knowledge they have a kill anyway but IDK man I really DK. Anyway: In honour of Araris my bro: Unknown We are not flinching Edited to add: Most GMs count last red vote from you so you don't really need to green it but it's good/useful to know that green is a retraction anyway.
  10. Kasimir
    i voted so did twin it simply appears no one else wants to do the same but also i don't think it really matters since it's a two-vote minimum and i would expect there to be not so many connectives (i've had this argument with orlok before since we're technically just chasing a 'conversion' elim C1: all the spymaster really needs to do is stay alive and find a friend and they have the least support rn, but it also means we ain't got no connectives to work off, but anyway tldr; probably unadvisable to forgo exe, however, analysis is gonna be a little weird. which is probably why i just did the entrance vibe read thing and called it a day.)
  11. Kasimir
    PMs are for the unenlightened. The true sage simply has it out in the thread btw Divergent seems ok. IDK about Lotus. Argenti can be ok for now. technically good look for Twin but we'll see this is very early stages.
  12. Kasimir
    I feel like at some point Drake disappears and starts to GM via ChatGPT as our cyborg overlord. We will then call him General...Devious
  13. Kasimir
    i like this guy
  14. Kasimir
    Korun had been working on refining some long-term leads pertaining to a particularly-persistent Rebel cell that had been raiding Imperial shipping lines in the Raioballo sector. It wasn't an especially glorious assignment, all things considered, but it was what he'd been tasked to do, having been embedded on the Vainglorious a couple of posting cycles ago. The Raioballo sector wasn't an especially prominent one, but shipments of key minerals—not by any means kalkite—went through the Iphikan Way, which routed through the Raioballo sector to avoid spillover from a particularly unstable binary system in the vicinity. That meant the Raioballo raids had a purpose, and Admiral Gallus had been assigned the task of quashing the raids. Technically this should've been Imperial Navy Intelligence's work, but Korun figured it was the usual politicking osik involved: Gallus just wanted to get the task done, before Admiral Foltarn asked about his progress, and Major Natan would kiss the muzzle of his blaster before he let Fleet Intel get one over them, even on something like the Raioballo job. Meanwhile, the ISB had their doubts about Natan's tendencies, and thought they'd rather like to have their own pair of eyes watching him. Which was part of how Korun had found himself part of a small Imperial Intelligence trio embedded on a small, dusty backwater in the sector, with the distinct suspicion that Dejisicz at least had been put there to watch him, he was ostensibly there to figure out what Natan was up to, and Ossen was probably watching at least two other people Korun hadn't yet worked out. This was the various Imperial Intelligence services in their full, intricate, paranoid, and utterly demented glory. All hail the Empire, Korun thought, ironically. His current problem at hand wasn't a particularly daunting one. It was just tedious. The manifest records were pointing to something fishy with Halstead Shipping Services and the field reports Korun was pulling up suggested that the company might be a thin front for some Rebel collaborators. Of course, finding and surfacing the lead was one thing. He'd have to refine them, see if he could get the field agents some targets for extraction, work out how they were linked to the raids, or if he could exclude them from involvement. His comlink pinged, and Korun ignored it. Last thing he was gonna do was draw attention to it. He gave it about twenty minutes before he yawned and got up. "Gonna get a caf," he announced, to the rest of the analysis cell. "Anyone want something?" The other two pretended they weren't interested, even though they were probably working out in their heads the odds they could tail or try to intercept him, and if it was worth the risk. They'd probably registered the ping, after all. But asking them made it less likely they'd try, though Korun wouldn't put it past Ossen anyway. He seemed the kind to screw around and find out. The moment he made his way out to the pantry, turning past the hallway cameras, Korun accessed his comlink, and tapped to bring the message up. The message was simple: a short delivery notification, running on the tight-beam secure channel, the one Korun was pretty sure most people working this ops centre didn't know about. It was a message he'd expected, and also hadn't really counted on seeing while stuck in the middle of a shabla clusterkriff like this one. He memorised the message, and then cleared it off his comlink. It was a standard delivery notification, the sort you saw in those cheap phishing campaigns that seemed ubiquitous on the HoloNet these days. The real message was in the words used. Salvation Run. Korun's blood ran cold. It was the one message you never wanted to receive, really, in a list of messages you could possibly get. There were codes for everything, all sorts of contingencies. Only way you lived, in the cloak-and-dagger world of the Imperial Intelligence services, where you slept with a blaster next to your sleepmat and a shiv under your pillow. Salvation Run was a particularly obscure song by an old Mandacore band in the Outer Rim territories, set sometime when the Mandalorian Wars had set the galaxy ablaze. If it was a Salvation Run, things were really bad. Neck-deep in bantha crap kind of bad. Like the song went, you didn't want to miss a thing. There were only so many things that could mean a Salvation Run and the rest of the message had clarified it. They'd suspected a deep Rebel compromise of a group of ISB cells operating somewhat independently of each other. This made Korun's headache about ten times worse, because of course the ISB would hate it, and Korun figured he'd hear from his ISB handler eventually, if he wasn't already being watched for signs of compromise. Korun filed it away on his long list of problems, chief of which included not actually being ISB and being part of what sometimes seemed like a thoroughly shabla operation to keep Imperial Intelligence eyes on the ISB, while ISB thought he was keeping an eye on Major Natan for them. It was all going to go to hell someday, but figuring out which dikut had ordered this was strictly above Korun's paygrade, which of course meant he had a mental list, annotated and ordered from most to least likely, but he'd also worked out his extraction plans, so all would be well. At least until the osik hit the fan. He turned over the problem in his head at the caf dispenser, watching as the machine whirred and a trickle of black salvation dripped from the nozzle. He whacked it with the flat of his palm. Once, twice. It complained at him, but then finally, a stream of caf poured into his mug. Dark as night and bitter as any veteran Intelligence officer, which was to say, it was nigh undrinkable, but at least it woke everyone the kriff up. Probably wasn't ready to come to any conclusions yet, but he'd keep an eye on Unknown, if he could. Maybe spend a little time trawling through some service records, see if he could find any discrepancies.
  15. Kasimir
    Soddit. Signing up with the alias Korun. Rank is redacted unless you have the proper clearance Don't know what I got the energy for and if I even remember how to play, but well, we'll see.
  16. Kasimir
    Sorry for the further necro because I needed to take a break from the Shard and then you know, COVID/Influenza A whichever the hell it was was whack and I'm still tired as hell three weeks later or whatever it is. But hi ancient Favourite Person of the Month, I'm glad we could reconnect More than fair tbh. 100% get this though. It's a weird kind of disconnect. I wonder if we'll see it more and more over time too because communities age and there might be one more gen of Internet users before us feeling this process out. IDK, I just recall there's a parallel in fandom too. The pre-AO3 gen and the post-AO3 gen divide is pretty strong, with a weaker divide between those who remember mailing lists, geocities collections, and listservs (holy conflation Batman) and those who don't.
  17. Kasimir
    Oshi? And enjoy the Hub! Maybe let us know how it goes? RIP. Grinder waits can be really aggravatingly long for sure.
  18. Kasimir
    Should I Still tired af from COVID or Influenza A, whatever the hell it was man
  19. Kasimir
    I've been watching Summerslam fallout yeah. Damn, those were some solid main event matches. My GOAT still got it Added. Done. Added. Added. Added. If anyone's request is wrong, @ me as I accidentally cleared Aman's request first, so need to make sure people are added correctly and the timeline respected.
  20. Kasimir
    Good job TwinStorm and Elim team. Gonna take a break.
  21. Kasimir
    Okay, but I was offline by the time the three people voted on him, which is the basis of Drake's suspicion of me. Since they explicitly stated no particular reason, you saying I got them to vote him is a connection that I don't really understand. Well, Coder explicitly just said he was sheeping the other two. Okay, so in your view, the evidence was overwhelming or not? If it was, then that's a judgement call the three of them made. If it wasn't, then that's similarly a question I note you are interested in putting to me, but not to any of the three people who voted late and made a decisive train happen, with no reasons given. Why is this? Is there a reason you are not interested in pursuing it with them?
  22. Kasimir
    Urgh. Guess I'm staying on TOW then. K so on this view why push for a Wonko death of the entire group of players I can sus and have killed since Wonko is a returning player who should not get C1ed in his first game back? TUN and Araris may not give a damn about things like this but I certainly do or I would not have been careful about our kills last game, or fought Araris and TUN about it in the aftermath, or upset Gaea with my frustration about Teldris being C2ed. Alongside your previous suspicions is especially egregious when: You offer a nothing statement last cycle, which washes out to theoretically NAI of me, defending me in context given Wonko, slight sus on Wonko ending with a positive on Wonko, and don't defend Wonko/vote in defense of Wonko. It reads kind of opportunistic that you now cite previous suspicions when you chose to leave well enough alone last cycle, which is a convenient place for an Elim to be with regard to keeping your hands clean of majority-Village trains and not carrying an extra vote into the next cycle. Honestly back to where I was: -Sparker can be weak Village for the moment. I could see the question on the votes coming from an Elim but kind of feel it's natural from a lost Village new to RVS. This changes if Sparker has experience. -Coder seems Village on two fronts: I agree with Drake RE: the naked sheep (at some point this becomes TWTBAW) but also Coder not seeming to be afraid of carrying the extra vote from killing Wonko. And if I'm correct that there's at most one Elim between Drake/TJ, that sheep really becomes an unforced error. -Striker kind of keeps the weak Village lean from his opening. But there's a point I question it, and the Drake push is weird to me precisely because I feel there's at most one Elim between Drake/TJ so would not push in that pool first (and also because the Elims may help us by killing there. IDK.) -Drake/TJ - kind of went over my thoughts on not touching this for now. Not so sure RE: Drake. Leaves me with: -TOW who threw a vote explicitly mentioned as random. Never fond of these as these tend to be the province of newbie Elims who struggle to generate suspicions and stating it's temporary feels like trying to shield himself from accountability for the vote. -KSauce. IDK what to make of that Coder read. -Storm. Considerations mentioned but largely not a fan of the hands-off D1 into claiming credit approach today. Agreed that this is a shift from Storm's earlier play and Storm is being more proactive in this game which could theoretically be a plus. If I forgot anyone, they go into PoE too because if you can forget them, that's dangerous.
  23. Kasimir
    Very next line suggests that's not what Coder had in mind... Some of this boils down to how a survival is depicted. Normally it's announced, which adds to the list of questions for @The Unknown Order to address, preferably before I find out that GUNTHER is going to lose to Goldberg next Saturday Even if it were what Coder had in mind, IMO a double kill ( @The Unknown Order - will this be reflected as was both arrested and executed?) is something to watch for because as in MR57, it has solid implications that the Elims weren't on to catch the Wonko train taking off, and this means we can soft-to-medium clear everyone in <Drake, Striker, Coder> which is actually a very solid thing to have early on. D'oh.
  24. Kasimir
    Unless otherwise specified, games usually reveal role and alignment on flip. No role specified here means Wonko was a homesteader, which is why no one has been considering a world where Wonko really was the Target. @The Unknown Order Edited to add: Did you receive a PM last cycle, and if so, did you reply?
  25. Kasimir
    You replied to us in PMs for two cycles so by your logic you should have three too. But regardless, the PM votes don't persist past the cycle they're incurred. I'm counting the single vote for shedding blood, and the added vote for PMing. Voting on the killing train explicitly adds it for the next cycle (so us, which is why I mentioned Coder seemed pretty unconcerned about it, which is a weak positive in my book), and PMs are only +1 per cycle of use. Drake is screwy enough I wouldn't hard-clear off it but I admit I struggle to see him completely forgetting. I've kept my M&M teams remembering to kill but with how sick I was over the past days, it's down to your intuitions as to whether an E!me remembers or not to get a holding kill pre-submitted. It's my one point of mild ? about Drake because he's watched me play with the most insanely forgetful M&M teams (for context, these guys forgot the kill twice after I died and wasn't around to nag them to pre-submit before) but I dunno if he's working off the "Kase is pretty sick" line because I kind of just gave up on something we were gonna do the other day because I was too sick for it. And in that world, yeah I guess I could kinda see myself being sick enough to forget to nag for a holding kill? IDK. Either way this doesn't go anywhere useful for anyone not me. It's just me talking aloud about my thoughts on Drake and trying to work out how I feel I guess. I'm curious if the Elims are kill-shy because: Potential worries of taking out the BH by accident. Don't think either role is Village guaranteed, but it was something I saw when relooking through the rules. @The Unknown Order Just to confirm, rules-as-written, if the Elim kill hits the Target, the BH still gets the benefits? Second question: how does OoA resolve if the target is exed in the same cycle the Elims shoot the BH? There's an alternative thought I suppose that the Elims theorised I'm the Bounty Hunter and I was trying to cash in on Wonko and so preferred me to get the cash in as compared to Wonko surviving and my dying, since this means Wonko receives a good PoE. There's the question of how they feel about the fact I never explicitly claimed BH and Wonko never explicitly claimed Target (and has now flipped not-Target.) Also interesting in light of my being willing to leave my vote on Wonko and just go sleep off the sick. Either way, that world does very interesting things to the <Drake, Striker, Coder> pool if I'm honest. Edited to add: Yeah I forgot: I don't wanna overcredence this and part of this will depend on what happens once Sparker starts casting accusations but rn, am ok with weak V points for this. Edited to add 2: C/ping is fine btw. I've updated it as well to reflect player death to make tracking a tad easier.
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