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Everything posted by Szeth Pancakes
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Nightwatcher Boon/Bane (Game)
Szeth Pancakes replied to killersquirrel59's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
Granted! Your couch grows to an enormous size I wish for infinite wishes with no bane. -
Tani for thread demon - officially seconded.
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The LiViNg is not quite the right person but it’s a pretty cool idea for the people who have the right idea and the idea that is a pretty cool place for me and the people that in person and people that don’t want people that don’t know who is there and that don’t want people that don’t know what if you guys don’t think that you are going on that it would happen if they are not there for the past two days I have to go read the books for a few weeks now but they have no one to read it to them in a few weeks I have no one who has met them them but they don’t want them in there a little too long lol I don’t think I can get it lol I think I have some stuff that in my room and I’m just trying not a big deal but I’m just really tired of the clothes and stuff. Edit: the LiViNg part was natural. I just started with “The” and my phone filled in from there.
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Mister Kindly, grotesque abomination, can finish Sharding or just consume a new potato. (I made it into a reference! Probably no one has read the Nevernight Chronicle here.)
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*posts here so that the FGaRS page just has my avatar on it* edit: idk why I did that
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who keeps giving me reputation staahp it i cant take the reputation
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- very fun game
- danex
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Yes, twice! Canada and France (I live in the US). Has eaten a banana pancake
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*plays "Alice's Restaurant"* When you're eating a pizza
- 1120 replies
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- here we go again
- this ones real fun
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The Longest Thread (Misadventures)
Szeth Pancakes replied to ElephantEarwax's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
Unfortunately, the citizen was then hit by a car and died.- 111830 replies
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- longest thread
- butt venture
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Rank the Member title Above you
Szeth Pancakes replied to Shard of Reading's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
ye Also, mildly uncreative - 7/10- 1486 replies
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- i dont know why this tag is here
- thats a long tag
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... wrong Who do you have a crush on?
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2
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- very fun game
- danex
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The Person Below Me
Szeth Pancakes replied to The Awakened Salad's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
I am eats food currently! TPBM has made more than one sanderfan. -
Go kill that dog! blargleargh
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The Last Post Wins!!!!!
Szeth Pancakes replied to Vargo Seldon's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
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It's the big question. How long will the cosmere take to finish? There are so many books he needs to write, and we don't know how long they're all going to be, so how can we even make a definitive estimate? Well, it gets a lot simpler if you consider something important - Brandon Sanderson's sanity. Let me explain. - 1. 2019 State of the Sanderson When I first started thinking about this problem, I wrote down the full cosmere books that I know Sanderson is going to write before the cosmere is finished off with Era 4 Mistborn. But then, I was browsing Arcanum, and I found this WOB from SOtS 2019 (spoilered for length, but I suggest you read most of it). Wow, I thought. He gave us a list, and even an estimate of when he thinks the cosmere is going to be finished (28 years, if you subtract two)? This is awesome! However, his method of approximation is not quite rigorous enough for me. However, earlier in this very WOB, he says that his side projects should be taking less time from now on, since he's thinking about doing more collaborations, audio originals, and graphic novels, which take much less of his time. Because his method hinges on the fact that he'll complete the cosmere at the same rate as he was originally, this doesn't quite add up. But we have a list, and that is most definitely a start. Ok - back to it, then. This list seems overwhelming, but in actuality, it can be narrowed down quite a bit. First, let's get rid of all the finished books, and condense each of the series into one bullet point. Elantris: #2-3 Stormlight 5 The Lost Metal Warbreaker 2 Mistborn Era 3 (3 books) Stormlight back half (5 books) Dragonsteel (3 books) Untitled Threnody Novel Untitled Aether Books (3) Mistborn Era 4 (3 books) That looks much more manageable, doesn't it? Next, let's get rid of Elantris and Warbreaker. - 2. Wait, What? Firstly, Brandon is going to write the Elantris books in between the Era 3 Mistborn books, so we can safely include those in our estimate. Right now, Brandon's schedule looks like this: Stormlight: 1 year, 6 months Other Projects: 1 year, 6 months Stormlight: 1 year, 6 months and et cetera. According to Dragonsteel's Adam I-can't-remember-his-last-name-right-now, this schedule is designed to protect Brandon's sanity and ensure that he keeps writing quality books - "We know many of you would prefer for Brandon to stop writing other series in the Cosmere—and outside it—but Brandon has developed this schedule intentionally," he says in the RoW release post on brandonsanderson.com. "It’s at a pace that allows him to get new Stormlight books out fairly quickly without taking away his sanity or seeing a diminishing level of quality in the story-telling." I think we can safely assume that Brandon will stick to this schedule for future Stormlight books. And that "other projects" section is pretty big. In the four periods between the back-half Stormlight books, surely he can get one lesser novel (as well as any and all novellas he needs to write) out then. After all, he's projected to get four books published in between RoW and KoW alone. Alright, so here's the final (?) list. (We can also remove tLM using the same logic). Stormlight 5 Mistborn Era 3 (3 books) Stormlight back half (5 books) Dragonsteel (3 books) Untitled Threnody Novel Untitled Aether Books (3) Mistborn Era 4 (3 books) 3. Making an Estimate So now that we have a list, let's get to estimating. Stormlight 5 will take approximately another 2 years to come out, assuming there are no delays. Mistborn Era 3 and Elantris will take 5 years, according to this WoB: The Stormlight back half will take around 15 years, with Brandon's current schedule. That's a total of 22 years, already. As we still have 10 books to go, things are not looking good for our original low estimate of 28. But we forgot something - Brandon could write the Threnody and Aether novels in between the back half Stormlight novels. Allotting an extra 2 years for bonus projects, in case some of the Threnody/Aether books end up being Stormlight length, those only bring us up to 24 years. Now, all that's left is Mistborn Era 4 and Dragonsteel. There are two options for what Brandon's going to do for Era 4. He could write them all at the same time, like he did for Era 1 and is going to do for Era 3. Or he could write them using the same schedule as the Stormlight books. The former would take 4.5 years, while the latter would take around 9 years. For the latter, he could write the Dragonsteel books in between the Era 4 books, which would result in a final time of 33 years. If he does the former, the final time would also be about 33 years, assuming the Dragonsteel books take about the same time Stormlight books would. There might be one or two years allocated for bonus projects during this time, so an upper estimate would be about 35 years. 4. Conclusion So, there you go. The cosmere will take around 33 to 35 more years to finish. A Mistborn Era 3.5 cyberpunk series would take around an extra 3 years, leading to a total of 36 - 38. If you take out the time I allocated for bonus projects (assuming the Threnody, and Aether books would be closer to Stormlight-length), then you get 31 years. So our final estimate is anywhere between 31 and 38 years. Phew. Brandon's 46th birthday is just around the corner, so this model puts him at anywhere between 77 and 84 by the time he's finished writing the cosmere. Stay healthy, Brandon! I'm aware that this kind of thing has probably been done before, but I don't care, since I'm doing my own take on it. I didn't reference any other theories or posts while writing this - these are all my own thoughts. I'm going to bed. Edit: This is my big 500th post! I hope you like it. I was pretty rushed writing the last part, since I wanted to get it done before I had to go to sleep, so sorry if it seems a bit rude or abrasive. Let me know if I did anything wrong, missed any books, or generally flubbed up in terms of math. See ya! Edit the Second: I realized that I forgot to include publishing delays here. So, if you want to include that, you'd get an estimate of 32 to 39 years. Which isn't much different than the original.
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- big 500th post
- cosmere or crem
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What do you want to eat? wait wat
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@The Ward's Guard
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The Last Post Wins!!!!!
Szeth Pancakes replied to Vargo Seldon's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
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The Person Below Me
Szeth Pancakes replied to The Awakened Salad's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
No, cause I never had one. It was a stuffed Pikachu for me, and it is gone now. TPBM is okay. -
Mike. what in ash's eyes are you doing with that poor dog
- 3987 replies
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- very fun game
- danex
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I'm going to eat the banana damn girl
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I loved the show! I felt happy with all the changes they made, except for one - the attack on the Two Rivers. It ruined the pacing of the opening section of the book. The slow burn-style opening is one of my favorite parts of EotW, and it lets us acclimate to the characters and their environment, so that we feel what the characters have to go through to be ripped away from it all. The show just didn't allocate enough time for that. What they should have done is follow each of the boys at their respective farms (after having Egwene sneak over to Rand's house so she's not left out), and have the attack happen on Winternight, not on Bel Tine. But that's about it. Otherwise, I loved it. I can't wait for Episode 5!
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The Person Below Me
Szeth Pancakes replied to The Awakened Salad's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
no but i have stolen my title from them TPBM is not a bird -
The Longest Thread (Misadventures)
Szeth Pancakes replied to ElephantEarwax's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
@Ookla the unintelligible!- 111830 replies
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- longest thread
- butt venture
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Rate the Avatar Above You!
Szeth Pancakes replied to Silverblade5's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
no it isn't this is my first season and yes your selfie is TRASH GET REKD LOL LMAO (that was ironic) 0/10 horrible crem stormfather why did you even pick that it's the worst profile picture ive ever seen (Just kidding, I like it. Solid 9/10)
