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Everything posted by Experience
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Hi Salad!
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Long Game 64: Choose Your Own Sanderson Adventure!
Experience replied to little wilson's topic in Sanderson Elimination
@Sart I think your forgetting that the knights only convert on odd numbered nights(I'm pretty sure). So they can't convert the next night, they would have to wait for two nights.- 421 replies
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- coughaonarcough
- dontbreakthegame
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The only limit is the people's imagination. Literally. They just need to have enough emotions or other things that can be spren.
- 12 replies
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2
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- knights radiant
- surgebinding
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(and 3 more)
Tagged with:
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Hi back!!!!!
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Long Game 64: Choose Your Own Sanderson Adventure!
Experience replied to little wilson's topic in Sanderson Elimination
@Zillah @Shqueeves We haven't see you for a while. It would be sort of nice to hear your thoughts.- 421 replies
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- coughaonarcough
- dontbreakthegame
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Long Game 64: Choose Your Own Sanderson Adventure!
Experience replied to little wilson's topic in Sanderson Elimination
Hey, @Straw. Do you think that @Sart is more likely a Knight then @Shqueeves and why? As of now I would need to move my vote on to you, because I feel like Sart is slight librarian lean to me.- 421 replies
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- coughaonarcough
- dontbreakthegame
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Long Game 64: Choose Your Own Sanderson Adventure!
Experience replied to little wilson's topic in Sanderson Elimination
I do think that Straw is the Smedry, but it might not be best to Lynch them just yet. The knights could have converted someone last night successfully. If so, there would be 2 knights, 1 Smedry, and 2 librarians. If we kill the Smedry, then next day, the two knights have at least a tie lynch. Worst case scenario, librarian is lynched. Then they win. If a Knight is lynched, then they still win. So if there was a successful conversion last night, and we lynch Smedry, we lose. There is a 0% chance we win(even in the best case scenario). Now, if we kill a Knight today, then it's probably 1 Knight, 1 smedry, 2 librarians. Worst case scenario, During night, Smedry hits librarian. This makes it one of each, then if librarian is lynched, Smedry wins, or if Smedry is hit Knight wins. I can't do the calculation in my head, but it's around 9% I believe. I'm pretty sure the only way we can win is if we kill a Knight today, Smedry kills knight the next night, then we lynch Smedry. This is all assuming that there's two knights. If there's 1 Knight(which would be if they tried to convert kidpen as well, I'm pretty sure) then there's 3 librarians and 1 smedry. If we lynch Smedry, then during next night nothing happens. Then, next day worse case scenario, we lynch a librarian. That's 1 Knight and two librarians. Next night Knight converts and wins. There is a 25% chance we win this way at this lynch. Now if we lynch a Knight, then it's three librarians and a Smedry. During night a librarian dies. Then there's a 33% chance of lynching Smedry. In both cases, it's better for us to Lynch a Knight. Of course theres the chance that we hit a librarian, and there's also that small chance that Straw's not even the Smedry. This is why I'm going to place my vote on Shqueeves because I'm pretty sure they are a knight. Sorry about the long rant. Edit: Also, the chances go higher because I'm pretty sure Straw is Smedry, so if we kill the knights we can feel pretty good about being right about them.- 421 replies
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- coughaonarcough
- dontbreakthegame
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No, they're Doomstick
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The Longest Thread (Misadventures)
Experience replied to ElephantEarwax's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
From a hoard of coconuts.- 111834 replies
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- longest thread
- butt venture
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(and 2 more)
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Seers
- 44 replies
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And false
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Except not.
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Years
- 44 replies
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The Longest Thread (Misadventures)
Experience replied to ElephantEarwax's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
It was rolling down a hill.- 111834 replies
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- longest thread
- butt venture
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(and 2 more)
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Learn
- 44 replies
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Dream
- 44 replies
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barge?
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Bring Edit: I don't want to double post. Are you able to do more then one word at a time?
- 44 replies
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I'll take a truth.
- 1771 replies
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I guess there is a chance. It would have to be different spren for each, and I dont know what the chances are that a new spren bonds someone and it does something like that.
- 12 replies
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- knights radiant
- surgebinding
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(and 3 more)
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Grime
- 44 replies
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The Longest Thread (Misadventures)
Experience replied to ElephantEarwax's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
Ok. That's allot. And I would be splendid to learn from the mimes.- 111834 replies
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- longest thread
- butt venture
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(and 2 more)
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Being. Does the order matter?
- 44 replies
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Sure! 207
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I could. It would include you being in the PM's and have access to all the clues. Would you want that?
