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Salmon Meerkat
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Everything posted by Salmon Meerkat
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[OOC: Short braided string is #ff3366, which is not by a reasonable definition red.] -
Townsfolk were gathering about the market square. Maybe more than Aurelien had seen in a while. The market square was taking a lot of work. It had been the eye of the storm, the epicentre of the destruction that had torn through Tyrian Falls, as though fueled by something more than the rage of a spiked melon merchant. Aurelien shook his head and continued to hammer the nail into the beam. He'd seen worse: manors and fortifications under siege, and the aftermath. He had even been paid to bring about reckonings in steel and fire before. But what was true in the Iron Hawks was just as true, working with one of the many rebuilding teams in Tyrian Falls. Hastler's absence still gaped. Aurelien tapped away at the nail with his hammer. The beam had to brace the half-collapsed smithy on the edge of the market square. Edric and his apprentice had long since moved out. You had to get down in the sawdust and the seasoned wood with everyone. That was the way it worked in the Hawks. You couldn't just give instructions, and detail the work. People trusted you more if you were willing to get yourself as dirty as the rest of them. "Rust," Jurald swore, as the saw bit into the edge of his thumb. But he'd pulled away in time. It was a nick, nothing more, quickly staunched. "Pay attention," Aurelien said, mildly. "Yeah, but have you heard?" Jurald glanced about them, as the rest of the repair team worked on the broken smithy. "Sidor's making an announcement. Word got out before her, though. One of hers," he said that with a touch of distaste, for Sidor's uncanny eyes and ears were rumoured to be this side of unnatural. "Looks like sabotage." "Sabotage!" Keirasti repeated. "Whatever next?" "Aye," Jurald lowered his voice. "They say the Spiked did it. Caught someone, even." "But they rooted out the last of them, last year," Keirasti protested. She set down her own saw, before she would follow Jurald's example. "Sidor killed Scimon Tlag in the market square." Her eyes flicked over to the torn pavingstones, where it was said you could still see the last spurt of Scimon Tlag's blood. Aurelien didn't abide by that foolishness for a second. He could all but hear Hastler's voice. "Or they thought they got them all." Nita said, "You don't think they found everyone?" "Brace the beam for me," Aurelien told her. He moved to the other side, selected a nail, and began to drive it in. "How would we know?" he asked, rhetorically. "If this place was worth killing for once, it's worth killing for again." Spiked in Tyrian Falls. He still saw Keep Uethorn on fire, some nights. Now, he just woke up. "Anyone saw Onidsen lately?"
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Aurelien opened his eyes. He felt the moment of waking panic, like the precarious second before falling. Then the world righted itself. Flavia was still asleep, and he put his arm around her, taking in her warm presence. Listened to the peaceful rise and the fall of her breathing. Still alive, he thought. He had to hold on to that. He missed Livie already, with a fierce ache that never seemed to go away. Eventually, he had to rise. It was supposed to be an early morning and Hastler knew—Ah. He was seeing to the debris in the market square. A year from the day, and they were beginning to undo some of the damage the Spiked had done to Tyrian Falls. A single melon merchant with a spike had done so much damage. Yesterday, they were reinforcing the structural supports around some of the stalls. A year from the day, and still, Aurelien couldn't grasp what it felt to wake up to that empty room, or the empty chair in the office. Gently, he shook Flavia awake, and leaned away as she batted at him. "Go 'way," Flavia mumbled. "Morning," said Aurelien. He couldn't hide his smile. Flavia had never been a morning person. "It's too early." "Bakery's got to be open," Aurelian said, shaking her lightly again. "And I've got to see to the market square repairs." Flavia blinked awake, yawning. "How's it coming along?" Slow, without Hastler. "It's going," said Aurelian. He bent down and stole a swift kiss. "I need to get down to the site. Love you." He picked up the short braided string from the bedside table, and looped it about his wrist until it was secure.
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Why not? Two elims are in bodies they didn't start with and there's still third out there.
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All it takes is one misdirection, and the game is over. Amber Vulture, Oxblood Beagle.
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I'm pretty sure Vulture not hopping because they're Falcon would mean that the D3 vote for Swan to save Weasel was primarily village driven. Coral Swan (4): Chartreuse Penguin, Salmon Meerkat, Indigo Weasel(purple=elim), Ivory Dragonfly, Amber Vulture Indigo Weasel (1): Coral Swan, Melon Dingo If that's true then Dragonfly is a prime candidate to be then-Weasel/now-Vulture's teammate, but also means that no other elims bothered to try and save Weasel and they easily could have died up until the very end of the turn. The vote manipulation here is strange but if an elim tried to riot without voting for Swan it doesn't show. Overall points to a team containing Taken Vulture including someone who was inactive D3 (Beagle, Hyena, Crocodile). Or Vulture could always be a non-Kandra elim. Or maybe we're just completely wrong.
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I'll be able to post more later this cycle probably. I think there's at least two elims in [Vulture, Dragonfly, Beagle, Dingo]. Scorpion is clear. Crocodile isn't a concern until she comes back. Hyena voted Vulture which makes me feel better about them unless it happens that Vulture is village. I can see an elim team without Vulture but it would have been easier for them to go for Vulture yesterday instead of Penguin or Scorpion so I think Amber Vulture is a good choice for today.
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Those votes make me feel even better about Scorpion and make Hyena more likely village. Between Vulture and Dragonfly I think the former is more likely to be evil, but they could both be. Dingo's vote for Weasel was good but now I'm reevaluating somewhat, though they're still not the most likely elim. Beagle's vote is weird. Scorpion doesn't make much sense as a vote but also an attempt to save Vulture should have been on Penguin. That makes some sense as e-e if the intention was for Vulture to switch to Scorpion last minute and then they bailed on that when I voted Penguin, but that's only if they had a clear preference for wanting Scorpion dead over a village claimed Smoker.
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Hooray for hammers.
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How did the votes get like this? I don't think going onto Beagle randomly makes a lot of sense. Scorpion probably isn't evil and would only be so with Penguin at this point. And Penguin was on my shortlist so Chartreuse Penguin.
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Did you actually lose connection and that's why you didn't post C3? @Ivory Dragonfly why did you vote Swan D3? Was it just because they'd been Smoked? Mouse dies today if they don't post, or gets filtered anyway depending on whether replacements are available. Still think Weasel was sufficiently unbothered by the votes they got D3 + Falcon and Ostrich were sufficiently active that there would have been someone helping them by voting Swan. Taking a shot at [Penguin/Dragonfly/Vulture] seems better odds than betting on an inactive or guessing who Weasel jumped to. Both Penguin and Vulture have elim reads on Dragonfly but aren't currently voting there. Don't quite know what that means, except that more than one of those three could be evil. Probably not all three, though it's early enough that this turn's votes can't be confirmed as indicative of who people actually want dead, which also applies to Hyena and the votes at/from them.
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Dingo is probably good as of D3 because they jumped on Weasel early and didn't go back. The exception is if Dingo's vote was removed and they knew that was going to be the case, but since Swan had been claimed to be Smoked Dingo would have known (if they were paying attention to Swan being the countertrain) that there was a decent chance their vote for Weasel wouldn't be removable. You voted for Swan which provided the momentum necessary to save Weasel. They jumped and you didn't even though you were the one getting the most suspicion N3 so I'd say if you're an elim it's likely you can't jump. Dragonfly ignored Weasel to vote for Swan and then didn't show up later, which I don't like. Vulture voted Weasel in a way that indicated they were doing so to avoid a tie while being suspicious of Swan, and then switched to Swan after your vote. You and Vulture were fighting enough that you're doing a good job if it's e-e. Weasel would have been important enough as a jump-capable Kandra and the vote was close enough until the very end that I can't believe Dragonfly, Penguin, and Vulture are all village.
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Even as a Kandra, burning a hop to kill one villager was an expensive ploy for the elims. If it was to protect a teammate it probably wasn't Scorpion. Vulture's bringing this up too much for me to think it's them. Penguin and Dingo are both plausible. I do see differences between C1 and C2-3 Weasel. Not smart enough to be sure of the difference between being replaced and failing to keep up an artificially different playstyle. Although claiming the latter is an obvious way to excuse the former. If Weasel's village the votes today feel like derailment, which would make me look at Dingo who decided this was the first time it was worth voting. If Weasel's evil it swings more to Penguin. I don't know about Swan. Claiming smoker is a good look but they were already been known to be Smoked earlier, so claiming Smoker is safer than saying they must have been Smoked by someone else. No way of guessing how many village Smokers kel would have put in, but Kas at least likes them. Penguin-Swan also probably not e-e which helps. Probably is too late to vote Penguin, and Weasel's flip helps resolve Penguin's alignment anyway so voting Weasel here. Swan did start the votes on Weasel so more likely evil if Weasel's village but better to check Weasel first at this point. But now Vulture has switched to Swan so if I vote Weasel it's a tie. If Swan's an elim that looks good for Weasel while village Swan doesn't say much for Weasel's alignment. Don't want a tie though so Coral Swan.
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What is this about?
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As in looking at you to make sure you haven't been converted.
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Ostrich would always claim to have a source regardless of alignment. Suggesting the claimed source get killed no matter what doesn't make sense. Fuchsia did talk about having a PM conversation with their supposed contact but I would expect a village Ostrich to have more scepticism if the person they were voting for and was then leading in votes claimed to have scanned someone as a Kandra. At least enough to ask more why questions and check the order of actions. I don't know about elim Ostrich setting Scorpion up as a convert though since we'll be looking at them now.
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It also matters how the order of actions works. Sharpshooter/Kill/Perfect Mimicry are all on the same line, so @<kel> If a Kandra attempts to jump to a new body the same night as their current body gets Sharpshot, what happens? Is the jump successful or does the Kandra die? If there's any chance of being Sharpshot, a lie is risky, and even if there wasn't it would waste a hop just to kill one villager, so Albatross.
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Did they say why they picked you, in particular? And why Albatross?
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Why would an alignment scanner claim to you without checking your alignment? I don't think anyone particularly trusted you.
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If any Falcon posts are real it's probably missing the fact that there was vote manipulation D1 and I think publicly stating they'd rather vote Croc than Scorpion D1 is relevant since that would make it difficult to vote in defense of teammate Croc if the situation called for it. From Falcon's PMs, notable reactions are Dingo being upset and making 1 on 1 PMs instead and Swan saying three people was too much in the only PM they responded to.
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I do see Experience doing something similar with buckets in LG 84 so it's not elim-exclusive. And now Scorpion is doing more copying of AG 8 elims with different reads while omitting me for some reason. I didn't suspect Crocodile. I thought that by leaving her alive we'd be able to get more alignment information and that Penguin was a better choice than her or Scorpion.
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That you were able to come up with details for so many people that formed into a coherent tiered reads list. Comparing to and with 15 minutes in the day.
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@Chartreuse Penguin "I feel this way" is a great way to put players wherever you want without needing to provide details. Certainly people have posted full D1 reads before, but the examples that come to mind immediately are Hyena in AG 8 and Striker in QF 59 as elims.
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Not wanting to get converted possibly? They abandoned that tactic pretty quickly so they must not have gotten the desired results. An elim being suspicious on purpose, getting suspected, and promptly bailing could make sense but in a game that could have village scanners and shooters it's risky. I'd rather keep Mauve alive for longer to see what else we can get out of them. At least find out why they voted for Penguin. Honestly I'm going to vote Chartreuse Penguin as well. A fully populated tier list D1 strikes me as knowing too much, even if it's claimed as tentative.
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Had to do other things but I'll be around more possibly. I think page 1 Scorpion was being suspicious on purpose, especially re: quoting elims from AG 8 " Especially D1, when votes are made up and reasonings don't matter." Or maybe Scorpion is Elandera. Verdict: unlikely. Who told Scorpion that Kandrafication wasn't a body swap? Or was it a misreading of the rules? I can't see what Falcon accomplishes by opening so many PMs. No discussion has happened in the ones I'm in. Having a difficult to imitate style makes one less likely to be impersonated but not less likely to start as elim, unless villagers try harder to be unmimicable.
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