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Araris Valerian

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Everything posted by Araris Valerian

  1. Araris Valerian
    Nevermind. I guess I was thinking of AG rules.
  2. Araris Valerian
    @Haelbarde Question: Player A is a Rioter and uses their power, so their own vote is canceled. Player B riots Player A. What happens? Also, if a rioter targets a Smoker, does their own vote still get canceled?
  3. Araris Valerian
    So after Wilson gave up your game, you are trying to back off? You should have known that she's a troll and would do something like this.
  4. Araris Valerian
    Okay, so my first couple of posts were there to help the village realize what was really going on this cycle. I don't know about Smokers, but I bet the elims have some, and with Wilson's vote on me, and Flash's rioting, that's enough for them to win unless any villagers with vote manip powers make sure to use them.
  5. Araris Valerian
    Smokers can target themselves and one other player. That's the standard Smoker role. Edit:
  6. Araris Valerian
    I'm not claiming elim, necessarily. I just know a group of 4 people that control the lynch vote.
  7. Araris Valerian
    I was dealing with some IRL stuff during the Yitzi lynch. I don't know that I even checked the thread once votes started on him. This game has a somewhat inconvenient rollover time for me, since its a few hours after I usually go to bed. I also usually don't spend time right before bed posting in these games. That meant I wasn't around when the Jondesu lynch happened. All that aside, I think the game is already over. I'm in contact with 2 smokers, which is enough to prevent your vote manips for an elim team of 4. Also, I'm a Rioter. That means that in the small chance that some of the inactive villagers do come on and vote, 5 votes loses to 4 and a riot. Worst case is a tie I think, and then somebody would have to die during the night.
  8. Araris Valerian
    I helped vote on Ecthelion, if that counts.
  9. Araris Valerian
    I say we should lynch Flash. He's directed us onto villager targets for so many cycles now that the game is practically over. I know I said he was painfully village before, which fits his pattern of posting. But the results from his actions make me sure that he's an elim.
  10. Araris Valerian
    Ah, I see it was hidden in the last paragraph. Okay, that makes a lot more sense.
  11. Araris Valerian
    I feel like a lynch on Cloudjumper is kind of always hard to justify. He's rarely around enough to get a read on him or his potential teammates. So I vote on Straw because I didn't really consider Cloudjumper as a possibility. Also, I'm not entirely sure I understand the format of this game. I've heard that it's a blackout game. Does that mean the last man standing wins? But there are also alignments. The intro post was kinda skimpy on how we should actually be playing this game.
  12. Araris Valerian
    But I make sure to post and contribute enough that people should be able to get reads on me. And I'm pretty good at responding when people ping me. I think I just have a reputation that far exceeds my actual tendencies.
  13. Araris Valerian
    I'm going to switch my vote from Alvron to Straw. Inactivity/Lurking kills, you know.
  14. Araris Valerian
    It takes all the fun out of the game to kill all the active players though. If you died, then Stick and I would be the two most active players left. When I'm in the top 2 most active players for a game, something has gone horribly wrong.
  15. Araris Valerian
    Well, if was was an elim, I wouldn't kill you tonight.
  16. Araris Valerian
    Well, we are at 15 players left, so 5 neutral, 4 elim and 6 village. One villager dies tonight, so that makes it 4 to 5. One mislynch and this game is over.
  17. Araris Valerian
    @Clanky I didn't know how long the Night Turn was. So basically I didn't get around to sending the order in.
  18. Araris Valerian
    Aralis sat on his chair. Or, he supposed, the memory of his chair. The memory of Tyrian Falls was strong in this place. Off in the distance, Aralis saw Rent digging a hole. Even with an endless amount of time, that man couldn't figure out how to extort people. Some things never changed. But last night something did change. A note found under his chair, and a strange object. He could choose to ignore it, but it would be a long time before the town woke up again. Maybe tonight he would see if he could beat some sense into a new group of folks. If worst came to worst, he would come back to his chair. I'll vote on Alvron. Any self-respecting Shadow would never allow themselves to get kicked in the face.
  19. Araris Valerian
    Well, I'll switch my vote from Drake to Ecthelion. If he flips village, then I'll be suspicious of Dalinar next. If he flips elim, then I want to lynch Stick for sure.
  20. Araris Valerian
    Well, based on the participation so far in the thread, it doesn't look like we ware going to get much discussion out of this cycle anyways. If things are still this quiet by tomorrow then I'll switch my vote on to Ecthelion, and hopefully things will get a little better once he's dead.
  21. Araris Valerian
    I know why you are suspicious of Ecthelion. I want to know your thoughts on Drake and on me.
  22. Araris Valerian
    Okay, for starters I would like to say that with Flash leading discussion, there would probably be a bandwagon on Ecthelion, and we wouldn't gain anything from the discussion today, just information from the lynch outcome. That's why I opened with a vote on Drake. I'm pretty sure I demonstrated with my vote switch last cycle that I thought lynching Ecthelion would be more useful than Joe, with plenty of time left in the cycle for the villagers voting on Joe to follow me. @The Flash Why does Ecthelion being a smoker make you more suspicious of him? There has been hardly any vote manipulation this game, and that sort of thing is way more useful for elims, since they can use it to win the game sooner. But if we need vote manips to control the lynch then the game is already over. Also, your call to lynch Ecthelion isn't productive for discussion. We have 48 hours. What are your thoughts on Drake, in more detail? I am suspicious of him because he both hasn't been brought up in discussion, and hasn't really participated himself. That is the perfect place for an eliminator to hide. Here's what I posted about him last cycle: Also, aside from me disagreeing with you about Ecthelion, why are you suspicious of me? @SeonidHow am I "casting doubt on Flash's methods?" I mean, I oppose a total bandwagon today, something you agree with. But I think anyone can see that he has been acting painfully village this whole game. @_Stick_ I am suspicious of you for a couple reasons, starting with the lynch on STINK that switched to Straw. You both pointed Straw out as a target and then were the first to vote on him. Then, last cycle, you voted on Joe, which doesn't really make sense for a villager to do. I mean, Seonid's argument about keeping the neutrals "neutral" was okay, except that they hadn't interfered with the game at this point anyways. But aside from that sort of approach, lynching a neutral is the same as no lynch at all, and the lynch is how we get information. PK is suspicious for the same reason, but he has been way too inactive to be worth focusing on.
  23. Araris Valerian
    Well, my top suspicions are Drake and Stick. I was leaning elim on Dalinar too, but his post encouraging mass votes on Ecthelion seemed really village last cycle. If Ecthelion flips elim, that would make me more suspicious of Stick and PK. I think since we spent an entire cycle of discussion around Ecthelion last cycle, it would be somewhat worth it to lynch him. But my vote is going on Drake for now.
  24. Araris Valerian
    I've come across a weird class of functions, where the overall growth is polynomial bounded above and below, but there is some periodic behavior. One example is the following sequence of numbers: 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 13, 17, 21, 26, 31, 37, 43. The 1st, 3rd, 5th, and so forth entries correspond to the function x^2+1, if x=1 corresponds to the value 2. The other entries correspond to x^2+x+1, if we match x=1 to the entry valued 3. Has anyone seen functions/sequences like this before? I'm trying to prove that certain sequences always have this sort of periodic polynomial behavior, but I haven't seen these things before, which is making it hard to prove that an infinite set of functions falls into this category.
  25. Araris Valerian
    I didn't defend any rioters. I just pointed out that pursuing a lynch based on roles is silly in a game like this, designed to be pretty straightforward. I honestly don't think Ecthelion is an eliminator. But other people do, and to counter the neutrals, we needed to vote together. Between Flash and BR though, I'm more confident that Flash is a villager. But regardless, I have stronger elim reads on Drake and Stick than on BR. I think this lynch is just like all the other ones; we targeted a villager, so nobody really comes to their defense, and the elims get to sit back and not participate. Edit: So I guess a straightforward answer to your question Joe, is that the result of this lynch won't really change my reads on Flash and BR, particularly to the extent that I would vote on them in the next couple of cycles.
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