Mat
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Everything posted by Mat
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Hmm... yeah. I like this Archer exe a lot better. I don't need to echo everything James said... but suffice it to say I agree with all of it. Not to mention very similar thoughts I've had about things Archer said in our PM.
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Ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok ok It's Breaker and Archer, no? Now I'm actually gonna read all that. I haven't yet, but... yeah.
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Philico wordlessly follow behind. He was somewhat interested in where this was going. -
@Channelknight Fadran
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I’m left wondering why I’m still alive. Order, or Connie? We could tie between them :/ Edit: That’s actually a good idea, right? Worst-case scenario is two more elims and neither of Order and Connie are one. We’d lose 3, taking it to 3-2. At that point... it should be obvious, no? I doubt that will happen but it’s still fine if it does. Condensation @TJ Shade
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I don’t like the idea of a tie It’s not going to go well Edit: Half an hour and I won’t be on again
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To clarify: I relented with how hard I was pushing it, but didn’t disregard it.
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Snowy gasped. What was that thing? It wasn’t a Kippy. At least, not one like Snowy had ever seen.
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I mean The only situation in which Dannex is evil is if Devotary (or... you, technically) are also evil. So I don’t really want to rely on Devo’s manip. Even if that tie would be the best case scenario. I haven’t dismissed it. I’ve put it aside to focus on the Dannex/Devo issue. I’d still be perfectly happy to exe you
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Connie, I was attacked. This makes about as much sense as me saying you’re the last one. Maybe you are because you suggested this Not to mention me starting the Quinn train and pushing the Lotus one.
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I have soooo many times but I will
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Yeah I've thought about it. I honestly think, whether I like it or not, that a Dannex exe is our best bet. If he flips vil, we have two cleared people, and elim gives us a pool of two. I... know that's been said a thousand times by @Gears and I now agree. We need more information if we're gonna crack this one. I don't even think we should try to tie it.
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Did you even read my megapost? xD I thought you did. Yeah, that's my biggest issue with this.
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Remember. Based on the roles of the elims already dead, the only distribution of remaining ones that makes any sense are either two Aes Sedai or a single Warder. I don't feel comfortable exeing any of the Aes Sedai we have as it stands.
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...What do you mean? I thought it was clear. Look, everyone is so obviously village to me in so many ways that I don't know who to vote. I can clear everyone who is remotely active in ways that make sense, ways that you and a bunch of others have mentioned, logically and mechanically. What I'm doing is the only viable option my brain can logically process right now. You all can exe Dannex or Devotary solely for info- but they all have enough reasons they're village that I don't really want to. The same with Gears, Breaker, Archer, and you.
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Maddy followed Colonel and the others back to the boat. She had to admit, looking back at the beach, that she wasn't sad to leave this place.
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The Unknown Order
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:eyes: What about in regards to SE?
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Just let me Like I have zero elim reads. None. Aghghaghahahag Ok, so we have Order, Connie, Orlok left. Basically those. Orlok is too early to tell (please catch up, much thanks) Connie was attacked. Order? (Question I don't want to ask: How likely do you all think it is that the elims had 2 reds to start with?)
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Gah! Devotary. I may vote Gears. I'll really have to think about it.
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why does everyone have a billion reasons to read them as village. I honestly might abstain from voting for like the first time ever.
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Aight, so I read your posts from last cycle, and I'm a tad annoyed with myself for skimming them earlier because they make a lot of sense, especially the one regarding the lack of a Quinn self-pres vote. If he's evil he's got me in a deeeeeep pocket and I admit I've let that cloud a lot of my views on reading you. I'm talking myself into believing a Dannex/Devo team now. How bout that. My only issue with the above is that they would be being... pretty obvious about it, something I'd think Devotary wouldn't do. But that's small enough that I'm fine to overlook it for the moment. I think killing Devo first is smarter, because if we get Dannex first Devo technically could use manip away, and I'm still clinging to any hope he's village So I'll stay on Devo for the cycle, though if Devo flips elim I wouldn't be opposed to a Dannex exe. It has to happen eventually.
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Uneasy truce it is May we solve this thing well. Yeah, if Devo flips elim I’d be okay with clearing all Warders. If they flip vil... idk. And... yeah, Dannex wouldn’t look to good after an elim flip. I might not support you but I won’t try to stop you at that point.
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What would that make the team, though? 1 lone Aes Sedai - Quinn or Striker. 1 externally bonded Warder - Lotus 1 internal Aes Sedai/Warder bond - Quinn or Striker, and who? Someone we haven't even thought of? There legitimately are not enough Warders to make this possible. We've had enough role reveals that we know who all the Warders are. The only ones still alive are me, Connie, Order, and Gears. Me and Archer are both village, pretty darn provably. Connie is not an e/e pair, Illwei flipped village. Order and James' relationship is strange, and then you and Gears. So if there is an e/e Aes Sedai/Warder, it has to be either you and Gears or Order and James. And James has defended enough that I read him as tentative vil. We cool I hope no tensions are raised. But I still am gonna try to solve this. Aight, I'm gonna try to work through this. The way I see it, the remaining elims are one of two possibilities. Just One Warder. This is because, with two Warders on the team, it effectively creates extra lives. I don't see a five person, two warder team happening, but a four person, two warder seems more reasonable. Just Two Aes Sedai. This is because if there are two elims alive, the previous reasoning doesn't allow for a Warder. Five person, one warder is a team I find possible. Let's work through the options. Just one Warder: If the remaining elim is a Warder, it has to be one of Me, Connie, Gears, or Order. Me: I am not evil. Reasoning in a previous post, if it isn't clear already Connie: I realize that a WGG is unlikely. Exe if it's down to the wire, and not before that. Gears: Out of everyone here, I find Gears the most likely lone elim Warder remaining. That's because of Order: because of Order. I don't see elim!Order voting James without a prod from a teammate, and as such, Order is less likely. Just two Aes Sedai: If there are two Aes Sedai remaining, it has to be two of Archer, Devotary, James, Breaker, Orlok, or Dannex. Archer: My Aes Sedai, a Red, of such I doubt the elims would have two of. Very unlikely. Devotary: A complicated one. I have a gut reaction evil to their vote which is really confusing because I voted alongside them. Would be evil with... James? Dannex? James: I'm still uber-paranoid, but Ockham's Razor. Confused at who they're pushing though, so I'd kill James before Dannex, Archer, and maybe Orlok. If evil, would be on a team with... Breaker? And an outside chance of Devotary Breaker: I don't see it, to be honest. I don't know why I was voting them. Breaker. If evil though, probably with Dannex. Orlok: Hard to say since they haven't caught up yet, but based on the distribution predictions they're either Yellow or White, both roles I would put in a villager's hands. Unlikely. Dannex: *Sigh* here's the hard one. I really want to reread their posts and relook at all the connections, but I wearily stand by my village read of them. If they are evil, it's probably with Devotary or Breaker. I'd like to hear thoughts on this, as I'm pretty confident after another look at the distribution that the elims don't have an e/e bond pair still alive. As I'm unsure which of the comps is left, as it stands now I'd like to tie it between Devotary and Gears. Though maybe not a tie, because Devo can manip away :/ I gtg now. Sorry if there are typos, I won't be correcting them :P.
