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Ivory Dragonfly

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  1. Ivory Dragonfly
    (Fifth, that cycle close deserves all the upvotes.) Interesting choice in kill. I have my doubts that came from the Lews Crew, considering there was just enough suspicion on Vulture to cause a distraction. More likely, it was another village/neutral taking advantage of the fact Vulture was going to be roleblocked. If my theory is correct, it would also mean either the Lews Crew didn't take a kill action, or their action failed. I'm inclined to trust Tuatara a bit more because of their action with Vulture, unless Moraine happens to be part of the game. But still, a hypothetical role is not enough cause for a lynch. The low vote count is not a good sign moving forward. We need to get some more activity going. @Azure Mouse was the only player that did not post last cycle. What are your thoughts on the game so far? Also, I want to point something out in regards to clearing someone based on actions. From the original game post: Bolded is mine. As we know all players have access to some actions, this would suggest some players can take more than one action per cycle.
  2. Ivory Dragonfly
    I disagree with this and can think of several reason it would be prudent to not claim. First, it won't exactly help solve much. We know there are 13 Forsaken total, and one player has already flipped as not one of them. That means those who aren't actually Forsaken can wait until everyone else has claimed, then pick the names that have been left off the list. It might be suspicious that they waited, but they could feign inactivity. Second, what does knowing their names actually do? I can't think of much it helps the village figure out, other than maybe a canon timeline, but that won't help us find Lews. It does, however, help the Lews Crew a lot. If they have knowledge or the ability to Google, they can easily figure out who may be more dangerous based on canon. Third, consider one of the Forsaken win-cons of killing Lews. What if they have a similar condition of finding specific roles to eliminate? We'd be handing them a win on a silver platter.
  3. Ivory Dragonfly
    It seems a majority lynch doesn't make any difference, unless @Coral Swan can confirm otherwise. Anyone willing to claim those kills? Though, if the write-up was to be considered accurate, Ostrich killed Albatross and was then killed by Lews' Crew. Even without the write-up, I'd still suspect Ostrich of being dead as a result of Lews because of their claim as a female Forsaken, and thus less likely to draw suspicion away from him. We should get the voting started early to avoid the same last-minute choice as last turn. I'll vote on Amber Vulture. They have been active and involved with hypothesizing, but has avoided taking the lead in a lot of ways. Also, can I just say how difficult analysis is when I don't feel I have a good grasp of rules/roles/alliances? Now that we can be comfortable knowing it's a roleblock only, I'm more willing to lynch on a gut feeling.
  4. Ivory Dragonfly
    With just a few hours left in the turn, we should start getting some votes down. I will place a vote on Coral Swan. The reason for now is nothing more than instinct. Also, we still need input from the following players: @Melon Dingo @Fuchsia Ostrich @Emerald Falcon @Cream Tuatara @Coral Swan
  5. Ivory Dragonfly
    Mouse would have have been able to take an action last cycle, as they were roleblocked C1. That's also the turn where the only kill was carried out by a claimed Forsaken. While this is not condemning on its own, it does provide some reason to not discount Mouse as a possible Lews candidate.
  6. Ivory Dragonfly
    Our conversation was mostly regarding our roles and abilities. I shared my role/alignment/win-con and they shared their abilities. They had access to two Balefires, as well as a few other abilities. If anyone else in the Dark One's retinue has similar powers, it would be incredibly powerful. Also, after learning more about the Balefire abilities Weasel had, I suspect the win-con to kill Lews may be more difficult than it first appears. Which is another reason I suspect Lews has allies.
  7. Ivory Dragonfly
    My thought process was that we know there aren't 13 Forsaken (with how Crocodile flipped), and after discussions with Weasel in PM, those aligned with the Dark One seem very powerful. It would be a little unfair to expect one person to survive alone against 13 very powerful players. Therefore, this is probably balanced similarly to a standard game with around three people on Lews' side, hence Lews' Crew. I don't know WoT well enough to hypothesize within the bounds of canon. Instead I am using what knowledge I do posses of SE and Mafia.
  8. Ivory Dragonfly
    Weasel's death was likely a result of Lews' Crew, considering they were probably the most trusted so far. At least we know when someone's killed with Balefire rather than by other means. I can also confirm the lynch was a roleblock.
  9. Ivory Dragonfly
    In the interest of self preservation and hopefully finding out what a tie does, Albatross.
  10. Ivory Dragonfly
    The implication of this post (and the general sentiment so far this game) is that we should lynch someone for not providing a provable claim. That is the beginning of a very dangerous road. I understand it can help solve the game, but since when has this community ever expected a mass claim D1, even in a blackout format? Such a thing tends to ruin the fun for anyone not aligned with the masses. It's also patently flawed, as not all village roles can be proved. Please move forward cautiously and find real reason to lynch someone, not based solely on their desire or ability to provide a claim.
  11. Ivory Dragonfly
    Is there a harm in having a tied vote and end up with people only roleblocked? In the case of a tie, it either does nothing different and we have 1-2 people roleblocked (or 3 if we want to get adventurous and have a triple tie), or it does something entirely unique and we reveal another aspect of the game. I expect Fifth may have planned for the latter. As for the suspicion on me, I won't refute it much beyond what I've already said. Weasel was kind enough to open a PM with me and I have talked with them some regarding my alignment and goals in regards to the Forsaken. They do not conflict with one another.
  12. Ivory Dragonfly
    I'm down for either a tie or a majority. However, I'm not down for a majority on me. As for roles/balance, I'm inclined to believe this is closer to a normal elim game. There are probably 3-4 (depending on their abilities) players aligned with Lews, a neutral or two, and the rest being aligned with the Dark One.
  13. Ivory Dragonfly
    Probably a GM mistake, considering Swan already had a vote on Mouse.
  14. Ivory Dragonfly
    Interesting. Very interesting. I don't think we should all try to kill Mouse just for surviving the lynch, especially since we don't exactly know what a lynch does. If anyone has roleblocks, though, it may be beneficial to keep them controlled? At least until we know more about lynch mechanics. Mauve appears to have been attacked, but the wording makes me think it may not be totally permanent. As for why, maybe it was the Lews faction or another Forsaken hoping for confirmation.
  15. Ivory Dragonfly
    There's a little over an hour in the turn. However, I'm okay at this point with a Mouse lynch, as it would at least be something.
  16. Ivory Dragonfly
    Two claims do not a confirmed alignment make. Especially when the middle post by Swan ignored the first claim entirely, almost as if the claim was a ninja'd post. I doubt we have 13 Forsaken vs 1 Lews, even if Lews was an SK. If it were, Lews would have to be incredibly overpowered, especially since my own abilities seem over powered. Also, in the interest of the game balance, a mass claim could be a problem. If we all claim and prove it, it breaks the game. If we can't prove anything, there would be better ways to find our target than revealing that much information. Especially if there are more on Lews' side than just him with win-cons to kill specific Forsaken. I will concede, though, that Dingo doesn't need to be lynched for the claim.
  17. Ivory Dragonfly
    Agreed, but there seems to be some amount of mystery regarding who is actually village. If I'm elim, I'd rather the village not know. If I'm an important village, I'd rather the elims/SK not know. Considering I know neither for sure, I'll just say I'm in the game, have some actions available to me, and have an alignment of some kind.
  18. Ivory Dragonfly
    It is probably one of these things... Or it was an intentionally crafted response... Either way, it seems this game somewhat hinges on secrecy, and I'm not much inclined towards the idea of revealing anything unnecessary simply at the whims of other players who choose to reveal their identities. Not that what they're revealing is bad or problematic in any way, but that I am personally apt to err on the side of an overabundance of caution.
  19. Ivory Dragonfly
    Well, this is an interesting turn of events... Two people claiming roles that might be elims, or at best SKs? That vote was probably just an effort to get me to post more than a "what you're all saying sounds interesting" kind of post. Speaking of which, it's time I remove my vote. Mouse. I see no reason we should lynch Swan over anyone else, so I'll refrain from joining that wagon. I'm curious as to how Dingo knows so much.
  20. Ivory Dragonfly
    There aren't many to be explained at the moment with so little information to be had and PAFOs being passed out like candy on Halloween. I don't know quite enough about the world to theorize about other aspects of the game based on canon, so that's even less I can contribute until some rules/roles/etc. start getting revealed.
  21. Ivory Dragonfly
    What do I have to say about what? Because poke votes on an anonymous account won't really work, since the player, theoretically, has not opened their anon account yet. And as for the effectiveness of my current vote, it's rather implausible to believe it'll stay there through the rest of this cycle, considering it was placed in the first couple of hours of C1.
  22. Ivory Dragonfly
    Heyo! All players probably don't have Balefire. Those who do should be careful. Best not to lose it for everyone. There's not a lot to say at the moment. Definitely should be a lynch. By the power of the die, it should be Azure Mouse.
  23. Ivory Dragonfly
    Vote Tally: Gorilla(0): Penguin Penguin(2): Gorilla, Toucan Toucan(1): Tuatara, Penguin Chameleon(1): Swan Zebra(1): Chameleon Flamingo(1): Crocodile By my count, Penguin currently leads the lynch with two votes. Krask eyed the assembled crowd. Accusations were flying everywhere; it would be easy to hide beneath all of the commotion. He began to scan the faces of those just beyond the arguing people. Those are the ones to watch.
  24. Ivory Dragonfly
    I don’t trust it. Aurana is a member of a secret Shin society that hunts Shardbearers. I can tell because of how she eats with her left hand.
  25. Ivory Dragonfly
    This Urithiru was massive, larger than anything that Krask had ever seen before. The tower--well--towered over everything, reaching up into the sky. Yet despite its magnitude, it had never felt so small. A man had just been murdered. The thought wiggled in the rear of Krask's brain. And the evidence confirmed his worst suspicions: there was a plot among them. Not that this was surprising, no. But Naihar? The man was only #16 on Krask's list of likely cult members. Krask gave a passerby the evil eye. She scurried away. The cogs were starting to turn in his head. If Naihar was a cultist and got murdered, then there must be another enitity at work... one willing to kill. The two know each other and are trying to stop each other from... doing what? Krask scratched his stubble, scowling. His face must of have been reminiscent of an Unmade, because a child nearby ran for his mother. He paid the boy no mind. He had to get to the bottom of this plot, because surely these cremlings around him couldn't see the bigger picture.
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