StrikerEZ

Okay, El, you better follow through. Rae Alv

I’ve addressed this several times this game since I’ve made this post (though I think maybe one of those times was to Fura in our PM, not sure), but I guess I’ll do this again. I wrote my post like that because I’d been banking on Joe being evil. In a perfect world, I wanted to keep both the black market and the PMs around. Is that what we got? No. Was I tunneling on Joe, hoping that would be the result? Yes. Anyway, I don’t think I’d mind an Alv lynch. It does feel a bit suspicious how much he’s commented about how normal it is for him to advocate for not removing the black market. I’ll disagree with you on Fura, but I’ll admit most of the reasons why are because of his tone in our PMs sounding sincere to me.

I panicked when I saw Alv and Fura’s votes and didn’t realize other people were on. Honestly, there’s not anyone I feel solidly enough about to lynch at this point. Besides for the fact that I really don’t want to lynch a constable. We honestly might have a better shot at lynching an inactive and possibly hitting an elim.

@DrakeMarshmallow @RayOfSunshine Would you be willing to vote on Fura instead of Rae? I don’t think we’ll be able to get him to switch his vote off himself, and the Constables’ lynches are way too close for comfort to me. EDIT: Oh, I got super ninja’d

Oh gosh, this is not what I wanted to happen one bit. @Furamirionind please, just vote on Rae. We don’t have enough time to move enough votes over to you right now (assuming Drake would even want to move his vote to you).

I really don’t like how close those votes are...it feels like there’s a setup for vote manip to determine this lynch.

Yeah, that must’ve been what I meant. Sorry about the confusion.

@Haelbarde I literally have no idea why I put Snip there. I just checked and I never made a PM with him. Fura did ask me when I PM’d Snip in the PM between me and Fura, so maybe I somehow imagined that I actually did? Oh, I think I meant to say whoever revealed the result that Lum was scanned as corrupt to the thread instead of Snip. Was that you, Hael?

I dunno. What’s he claiming he knew again?

I never PM’d Snip. And I PM’d Fura...maybe a couple hours before the reveal in thread? I can’t really remember. That day all kinda blurred together for me since I had a bad day at work.

.....man, these rules are hard to remember. Yeah, I don’t think it’s a good idea at all to even attempt to lynch a Constable at this point. At least, not without some very solid evidence towards the corruptness/non-corruptness of one of them.

Oh yeah, I totally agree. I wasn’t trying to say we’d be safe with just one more vote. If we were really confident about which constable to lynch, we’d want at least five more votes. I’m assuming that we started with at least 5 elims (20/25% rule out of 22 is 4-5, and 4 seems too small to me), with maybe a sixth elim since they don’t seem to have a reliable kill method. Granted, we probably wouldn’t have to worry about a situation where every elim bribes votes off their Constable as that would completely ensure that Constable’s lynch the next cycle. Plus, the elims would lose a considerable amount of boxings in the process. Anyway, unless we for sure know the identity of the corrupt constable, it’s probably best to leave them alone for now. Also, I’ll probably be leaving my vote on Rae for now. I don’t think we should lynch Gaea, and there’s not much of a point in shooting a random shot into the dark by lynching an inactive. I am a bit worried that this lynch seems to not be getting much opposition, aside from Rae herself and Fifth. EDIT: I forgot to add that Fifth isn’t so much against Rae’s lynch, but against a lynch on a non-Constable.

That’s definitely a possibility. Assuming we could find out who did the bribing, that is.

It really can’t though. If there’s only one vote more on the right (the corrupt) constable, all it takes is one vote to be bribed on to the wrong one (the non-corrupt) and we get stuck with inactivate lynches for the rest of the game.

@Fifth Scholar I wouldn’t be opposed to lynching a Constable this turn. We don’t really have any leads to go off of anyways. My main concern with that is I don’t think we could get a large enough consensus of people to agree to vote on one Constable, and then leave votes off the other one/other players.

I do agree that we shouldn’t rush into lynching a constable. At this point, I wouldn’t mind lynching either of the Constables though. I hadn’t even thought of Hael’s post that way. I think it’s more likely he was an insightful villager, but it might be worth it to think about lynching him later if we can’t get any leads. With a lack of any better leads, and since I trust Devotary since she passed the PM chain message on yesterday, Rae. @Arraenae

Okay, that’s what I thought. Just the heh, smart at the beginning sounded sarcastic in my head. XD .....stupid autocorrect. If you can’t tell from context, the word Fura bolded should’ve said position.

That’s fair. I’d suspect myself too at this point if I were in your suspicion. I do agree that I’m not the best target for a lynch though. Are you being sarcastic? I do agree that it’s probably a good idea to reveal directly to the thread (my plan last cycle was a bit unnecessary convoluted, I’ll admit), but I just want to make sure before I assume I’m reading your post correctly.

Someone did last cycle, actually. Obviously, I don’t know who, but I was scanned and I now have another ledger. Also, @Furamirionind was right in his representation of what I said in our PM. I was hoping that I could scan Lum as village so we could coordinate in PMs together, but obviously that didn’t happen.

I’ve got some time to respond since I’m super early for this delivery. I agree with everything you said. I came to all those conclusions on my own before I made my post. I was just trying to preemptively counter people who might come try to say that Lum was actually good and that I framed her. Honestly, I kinda wished I was elim so we could’ve done that. Are you saying those pairs of people can’t both be the same alignment, or that they can’t both be elims?

If Lum was good (which she most likely wasn’t, since she never claimed to have bribed the other vote), there was a 25% chance that we’d get the result we got. Would elim!Me risk a follow-up lynch on myself if Lum had shown up good? Maybe? If I had come up with the Lum claim around when the lynch was starting to form on me, I think that plan would’ve made sense. It would’ve kept me around for a little while longer without having to bribe votes off me and elim!Me would’ve lynched a villager in the process (and possibly got some credit if the 25% happened and Lum flipped corrupt when she was actually good). However, one of the first things I did yesterday morning was PM Devotary the result of my scan. Either I suspected a lynch would form on me yesterday, and I wanted a quick way to get out of it, or I really did scan Lum as corrupt. Now, onto some quick, off the top of my head analysis before I go to work in a couple minutes. I’m almost certain that at least one of the people who voted on Lum was also corrupt. And it’s possible that one of the people in the chain (me, Devotary, Snip, and technically Fura since I told him about the scan as well) is corrupt. I’m not willing to bet a lynch on either of those things yet, but we’ll see how things go once I get off work.

I’m gonna head to bed soon too. Hopefully I wake up alive!

Lumgol

I actually almost started laughing and my little brother’s trying to sleep in our room. XD

Hey, at least it’s a fun hot mess!