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Stick.

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Everything posted by Stick.

  1. Stick.
    What is the thing that Hael found?
  2. Stick.
    My problem is I’m straight up reading his posts as village. But I’m reading the rest of the group more strongly village. So yeah, PoE. I haven’t played with E!Hael in probably like 3-4 years or something so I don’t entirely trust my own read of his posts.
  3. Stick.
    Perhaps Hael wanted to frame me .-. But he backed off very easily. Edit: Ngl I considered this while making the list of possible Xino kill explanations (4. Mocking the village) but…this means they’re very confident in their place as a trusted villager and also that they probably know who Winzik/remaining ICs are. I don’t think it’s impossible.
  4. Stick.
    Ah yes, I actually have Winzik pinned down and will be delivering the final strike today, just need to wiggle my way out of this one >:} Hopefully all ICs are dead. For legal reasons this is a joke But I fear the real elims probably thinking like this rn
  5. Stick.
    Okay my memory’s crap so I had to actually pull up the LG90 dead doc to see if we talked about Mat’s tunnels there and we did, multiple times. Except - did he tunnel on a villager in your MR? Because to me his tunnel here felt like overkill for E!Mat, especially the cycle 4 vote and the following retraction/admission of fault reinforces my V read. Mat’s tiebreak is weird as elim because he explicitly did not do this C1 - doing it then in C3 is asking for suspicion because he did it while abandoning his tunnel and also staying inconsistent to his past self, which is way too many risks to take just to interfere in a v/v exe. Weirdly a lot of us are village reading him for it though and that goes in to IKYK territory.
  6. Stick.
    My point was that insanity voting V!Aman and basically not providing any justification for it (not even ‘gut’) and instead saying they had a reason they can’t remember seems unlikely for an elim to me. I think an elim would make something, anything, up. This is not a huge thing though just a minor observation, for this reason I have a mild village read on them
  7. Stick.
    Rollover should be 1 pm your time right? So 6:30 am today should mean cycle 4, and 6:30 am yesterday should mean cycle 3 no? Or is my math not mathing here.
  8. Stick.
    Welp. I did say it was tinfoil. If it’s not Kas then the only pragmatic option left for me in the active people slot now is Hael. Nerdy’s comment about them finding Aman’s response being suspicious and the subsequent post is giving me pause. I don’t mind going Bookwyrm either
  9. Stick.
    No, I assure you people don’t want this But I’m curious - you thought the Aman train was suspicious C3?
  10. Stick.
    Interesting. TUN voted Nerdy in the hopes of their elim flip clearing him (not sure what led him to that conclusion but well). If he wasn't on at EoD, he might've assumed Nerdy was getting exe'd, going off the present VC. e!TUN votes e!Nerdy off and gets a clear for the rest of the game - good trade off? He also said he'd been village reading Nerdy which is weird. 1. Gambit There is an elim among <Kas, Hael, Aman, Mat> Other elim could be Nerdy/Insanity/wtv 2. Elim not present at rollover The elim team must contain Nerdy. Because if not, Nerdy's flip always leads to a xino exe. Other elim would have have to be TUN, and maybe Almond as a fourth 3. Mistake Who is likely to do this? lmao. I'm having trouble seeing his posts coming from anything but a villager's perspective. Might be because I'm having a lot of the same thoughts as him too (I promise I'm not trying to pocket you Mat) - and I empathise with his vote switch to Fifth C3. Speaking of that vote, E!Mat simply does not do this. Especially given xino's flip. Edit: @InfiniteInsanity what do you make of xino's village flip? Edit2: Quoting myself from last cycle: (edit3: He was so strongly committed to the Aman exe that the switch was not necessary in the slightest.) Mat is more or less confirmed village for me. Edit4: I've just realised something. Xino was slated to die to the inactivity filter right up until he posted at 12:22 am - Nerdy was not around to see that happen as they haven't been online since 7:14 pm. As far as they know, xino dies to the filter. So I think I can say with 100% certainty that Nerdy did not submit that kill. BUT THEN WHO DID. Edit5: It's possible Nerdy wasn't paying attention to the inactivity filter? I feel like I'm conf-biasing my way into a Nerdy tunnel lol. Kas explicitly asked Szeth about xino being on activity warning, but Szeth's reply only came at 11:08 pm, which is after Nerdy had logged off. Edit6: TINFOIL THEORY BELOW. Open at your own risk.
  11. Stick.
    Was TUN on during EoD? Also, what if this wasn't a gambit?? What if it was a...mistake? This has happened before. Perhaps they meant to kill, idk, insanity or someone else in that range, and accidentally typed xino. I don't think this is the likeliest scenario but it's possible. Edit: I will point out that Almond has not been online since Cycle 3, so they could not have submitted the night kill. Doesn't clear them since we're looking at least two other elims but I'm inclined to village-read them for this maybe ;-; So where are the elims?
  12. Stick.
    E!Stick is more sympathetic and does let Aman die (or steps back to let the village handle it), and also because losing a villager, while not furthering the elim win con, does always aid in eventually giving the elims the advantage of numbers. And since the vote state was uncertain then, it was possible that my hypothetical teammates get exe’d instead, so it’s risky. Also as elim I’d have my NK to use to further my wincon so I wouldn’t care too much about weaponising the exe as well.
  13. Stick.
    I just went over the C4 thread smh My guess from last cycle is that there’s Almond and perhaps Hael, but I’d like to flip Nerdy first. It looks like Hael was around at EoD so im not too sure if I want to stick to that theory anymore
  14. Stick.
    They are clearly allergic to killing talkative ones
  15. Stick.
    I think that my defending Xino a bit too strongly might’ve indicated to the elims that both of us are in the IC doc. I talked a bit about xino’s doc activity vs thread activity and I wonder if that played a part in this.
  16. Stick.
    I- I overslept IMO the Xino kill means e!Nerdy cuz we wouldn’t have flipped Xino if Nerdy is E
  17. Stick.
    I don't think I'm going with E!Mat ever probably It's looking more and more plausible, yeah. See I'm not as opposed to e!xino as it might seem to the thread, I'm just more about flipping nerdy. However, like I said I'll help out with the xino exe if it means we get to resolve nerdy one way or another. TUN flipping v leaves us right where we are now doesn't it? Whereas a xino/Nerdy exe clears/condemns the other. edit I NEED TO GO TO SLEP U_U
  18. Stick.
    It's very odd that he hasn't put out a single statement as such this game. You're one to speak xD Yass thank you for conforming to my team hypotheses Bookwyrm voting xino would have crumbled this
  19. Stick.
    Okay I don't intend to stay up till 5 am again so I'm gonna go maybe and but if xino flips village can we all agree to consider Nerdy next? I might consolidate the exe on xino at EoD if the vibes say yes edit: wait never mind I dont think the votes are tied anymore due to TUN's vote. In that case I might tie them by unvoting.
  20. Stick.
    I buy this But I don't think this means you can't be an elim with someone else making those calls edit: LG90?
  21. Stick.
    He did say he'd move to xino @The Bookwyrm have you made your decision yet?
  22. Stick.
    If xino flips village, what's the next move? Nerdy? edit: Why should Nerdy be village?
  23. Stick.
    Oh I see yes, this is a possibility with E!TUN or E!Bookwyrm I think - my experience with e!xino suggests he doesn't do this but I'm unsure about the other two. tbh I did ask for a good/bad bucket but they pulled up with the 'unsure' on Almond xino is just............I know from being teamed with them in LG91 that their activity in-thread reflects their activity in the doc so I don't think xino is being all inactive n cute here and going all out on the evil strategising in their doc. Which means someone is making these careful decisions. edit: I'll laugh if it turns out these kills aren't calculated at all but entirely random and that the elim team is all lower active players that have insane luck.
  24. Stick.
    I mean sure we can flip xino and if it's red we can flip Bookwyrm and then we're done probably but xino's absence from last cycle is bugging me. I know, I know, Dingo and apathy clears but Dingo was there for self-pres always. edit:
  25. Stick.
    What- Oh are you talking about the Devo animal army? yea let's flip nerdy
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