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Everything posted by Wahrheitswächter
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Yes I know double posting is to be avoided but I had only now time to do the Analysis and felt like it warranted its own post: So the leading Trains in both directions probably contain elims. Especially since another Prefect who got Extra Credit was murdered today: Active in 3 of 5 trains were: Grass (Doc, TJ, Coco) Twin (Doc, TJ, Qian) Aman/Drake (TJ, Mint, Qian) Wahr (TJ, Coco, Qian) Active in 2 of 5 trains were: Miss (Doc, Coco) Emepror/Aeternum (Doc, Coco) TJ (Coco, Mint) Active in 1 of 5 trains were: Coco (Doc) TUM (Mint) Mint (Qian) These do not include votes from dead Players. Since they were revealed to be Village. Now lets Crossrefrence it with the Data from Last Cycle. Grass and TJ were both active in 3 leading trains yesterday Aman, Ink, Coco, Mippo and Mint were active in 2 leading trains yesterday. People that were active in leading trains on both Days: Grass (3, 3) TJ (3, 2) Aman/Drake (2, 3) Coco (2, 1) Mint (2, 1) Now from those five I am most Suspicious of: Grass he was active in many leading trains across both Cycles and there is the wierd situation with the Hufflepuff Prefect. I am also not a big fan how active Aman/Drake and TJ were in those trains. Also Hopper continues to not Vote at all. Current VC (1-3) TJ: Wahr (1-3) (1-3) Grass: Wahr (1-3) (1-3) Hopper: Wahr (1-3) I will hold of on Voting the PHs this Cycle since I dont want to judge them solely on the actions of their predecessors.
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So time for my Daily Analysis on who was misleading with their claimed Votes So most of the Vote Claims were true. Miss claim on Hopper and Amans claim on TUM were misleading, but because they each claimed 4 negative votes, 1 misleading was expected. Against her Claim, Coco didnt vote Hopper but that might have been due to Amans claim that anyone voting Hopper would be evil. Aman was also very misleading about his positive votes but that isnt suprising seeing his original vote claim for them was extremely vague so I will not hold it against him/his PH
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Updated VC with Miss Fallens Votes: (4-12) Coco: Wahr (1-3), Qian (1-3), TJ (1-3), Miss (1-3) (3-9) Miss: Doc12 (1-3), Aman (1-3), Qian (1-3) (3-9) Qian: Aman (1-3),Wahr (1-3), Mint (1-3) (3-9) Mint: Doc12 (1-3), Aman (1-3), TJ (1-3) (2-6) TUM: Aman (1-3), Mint (1-3) (2-6) Ink: Doc12 (1-3), TJ (1-3) (1-3) Doc: Mint (1-3), (1-3) Hopper: Miss (1-3) (1-3) Grass: Miss (1-3) (1-3) Aman: Miss (1-3)
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Thats the possible negative values each of them could have. Since we didnt show the exact distribution of our Votes there are multiple possiblities how much negative votes they recieved. I made a small error, your total is also 2-6. I have now fixed it in the original post.
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Adding my Own negative Votes on Qian and Coco to the list (2-6) Mint: Doc12 (1-3), Aman (1-3), (2-6) Miss: Doc12 (1-3), Aman (1-3), (2-6) Qian: Aman (1-3),Wahr (1-3), (1-3) Ink: Doc12 (1-3), (1-3) TUM: Aman (1-3), (1-3) Coco: Wahr (1-3), My current positives are still TUM and TJ
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(Well technically I should be working right now) If I were elim, which I am not. I would avoid Votes that would seem strange to the Generall thread, depending on the situation, I would try to avoid voting teammates but depending on the situation could do it to not stand out to much.
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I dont care that much about the Votes cast last Cycle, since my retrospective count of them seems somewhat inacurate, which makes it not particualarly usefull. But this Cycle I will keep Track of them so I can make a more usefull comparison next Cycle. But the amount of people that have shared their votes so far is not very big. (You and Doc)
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Yeah, you are probably right that I shoulnt continue to vote for you without any reason. Will remove my Negative vote on you
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I tried but they only include the negative votes, I wanted both for my list, also it was a lot easier to use Docs Vote count since it listed the placed votes and not the recieved votes like yours, but I believe I did use yours to gather some of the numerical values, the other ones I got from searching the thread. Which is abusrdely hard if everyone represents their votes diffrently and I had 11 pages to search. well that is something I coulnd have known. Also what were your reasons for that conclusion
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So apparently we have already abbandoned the idea of sharing vote and having accountability. I unfortunately didnt take notes on who claimed to vote for whom But scanning the thread and using Docs last Vote count I have created an hopefully accurated Table regarding who people claimed to vote and who they voted, if I missed something please let me now (and link the relevant post) Things to Note, Aman apparently lied completely. I dont like that since he is the one that proposed it. He warned us that there was Missinformation in his posted Votes but I had assumed there would be truth to it none the less. Grass lied about 1 of 3 votes (10/30) Coco lied about 2 of 5 votes (12/30) Twin lied about 1 of 6 votes (5/30) Qian lied about 1 of 2 votes (15/30) TUM did not lie about any Votes, if hed did it would have been an instant red flag for me. I could see an Coco / Twin e/e pair considering they lied about voting each other So in order to get the Vote sharing back on here are my current votes Positives: TUM and TJ (appreciate the honesty and TUM sticking to the acountability) Negatives: Aman, coco, Doc (dont like how much Aman and Coco have lied about their votes, Doc is still under generall suspicion) Now if anyone points out mistakes I made, I will gladly correct them and depending on the Mistake am Open to changing my current votes
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Beware it is I "HALVING THROUGH WITHER"
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So I hadnt timeb yet to do a large scale analysis of the Vote distrobution but Mist was by far the most popular choice for + and Hopper, Araris and Coco were by far the most popular for the lowest. So it stands to reason that there are Elims somewhere in those trains. Grass (Mist, Coco, Araris), Doc (Mist, Coco, Hopper) and TJ (Mist, Araris, Hopper) were active in 3 of those trains Aman (Hopper, Coco), Ink (Hopper, Araris), Coco (Hopper, Araris), Mippo (Mist, Hopper), Qian (Mist, Coco) and Mint (Mist, Coco) were each active in two of those From the 3 that are active in 3 Trains I am most wary of Doc (my experience playing with him as thought me that he will inevitably backstab me) I like Amans Analysis so far and would lean V on him. Coco and Ink were not part of the Mist train but I think there would need to be more on Mist than just Doc so I would give both Coco and Ink a slight V lean. Mippo, Qian and Mint were all part of Mist. I have the feeling that Mippo and Mint have been relatively quiet so far, so I wont give a read on them. Something about Qian does runb me the wrong way, but I can not say what it is I am also not a fan of Hopper and Comatose not submitting any Votes, but that could be due to C1, but definitely something I would want to keep an eye on.
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As I said before, I am not good with social reads, so I will be able to give more Analysis once there are mechanical Informations for me to Analyse. I do not like that we only know who each Player voted for, once the Day is over, so anything that is said in thread regarding Votes is unreliable. Though I do agree with TUM that having acountability would probably be usefull for the village. My curent Minuses, are Twin and Araris (I do not understand their suspicion of me) a well as Doc (experience shows that he is not to be trusted 100% of Games, not ounting this one, has had him as an elim who took advatage of my trusting nature) For my Pluses I am thinking TUM (because I like the idea of acountability) the other Pluses I am not sure about yet. Still need to figure out in what order I would place them
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Guess That Cosmere Character! Forum Edition!
Wahrheitswächter replied to Kidpen's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
Odium? -
Why does C1 always starts with People trying to kill me? I am a bit cautios in the Moment because I would like to survive C1 for once. Also I am better with Mechanics than Social Reads. The thing is that with Votes Happening secret, we have no clue if any votes that are posted in Thread are actually true until the next cycle, so there is not much reliable Information for me, thats why I struggle with the Analysis right now
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Nightwatcher Boon/Bane (Game)
Wahrheitswächter replied to killersquirrel59's topic in Forum Games & Random Stuff
You get the Sandwich, but all members of the Thread still hunt it and by extension you, they also gain the ability to sense the Sandwhich at all times. I wish that Brandon will be able to realize all his Plans for the Cosmere and that I will live long enough to enjoy them all.
