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Mat

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Everything posted by Mat

  1. Mat
    Vote tally, I believe: Experience (5) - Elandera, Lahilt, Ventyl, Araris, Experience Araris Valerian (2) - Xinoehp, Drake Karnage (1) - Ashbringer Emi (1) - Karnage DrakeMarshall (1) - TJ Walin (1): Pyro Ventyl (1): Experience I doubt I'll end up voting, as it wouldn't add anything to the lynch either way, with not enough momentum to slow down or speed up the lynch right now with one vote.
  2. Mat
    Oh great, that's the next one Actually tbh, Winter's Heart hasn't been that bad. I am only 150 ish pages in though, so that could easily change.
  3. Mat
    That vote count is the same one I have in my notes accurate Edit: Ninja'd by TJ. Again.
  4. Mat
    Ok, FINALLY had some time to sit down and analyze some stuff. Thank goodness it isn't another 20 page thread. Here I'll go through the main lynch candidates and give my thoughts, though fair warning: I am not casting a vote, as none of them seem enough of anything for me to feel like I should. That might just be my lack of skill at analyzation though. Experience: So, I don't see that much elim from him at all. The only other game I've played isn't over, and Experience isn't dead, so I can't really go off past interactions, but I'm reading village. I don't think anyone really has that solid reasoning for lynching Experience- other then info- but if anyone does, please say, so I can try to understand it. (At this point everyone else has one vote. So here are the most discussed.) Ashbringer: I have to say, this is the one I would be most suspicious of. They discussed nothing but the Kandra early on, and voted on Karnage for no reason I could decipher. This could just be new-player syndrome, but I dunno. Araris: Including Araris here because I voted them D1. Reading the thread it sounds like what I found suspicious was their normal playstyle, so I have no reading on them. Interested to see how the cycle progresses, maybe I'll cast a vote when I feel more solid about a candidate.
  5. Mat
    Yeah, I was just thinking that! Beware the Spiked Cat!
  6. Mat
    I do find it odd the elims let the tie happen with Silber on the lynch- though that might just be that they didn't have any impersonators available.
  7. Mat
    Really? I was honestly thinking the opposite, though that may be from a personal standpoint. I believed Silber to be village, and Kyne and Devotary to be elim. So I got 0/3. That is NOT a good show of what I thought I knew and therefore my elim suspect and village trust lists just got turned upside down. Another tie would be great, presumably there are 3 elims left for the 14 players and 5 dispersal votes, meaning lylo isn't that close. So if in doubt I believe Bugsy is the best choice, but a tie, if possible, would be better. Bugsy to start the tie off. Now if you excuse me, I have some major editing to do in my trust/distrust lists.
  8. Mat
    So, I haven't had that much time to catch up on the thread today, and therefore don't have analysis yet, I'll catch up tomorrow and post then. Thanks.
  9. Mat
    This. Thank you. br (1): mist bugsy (4): silber, sart, megasif, matrim silber (3): bugsy, detess, experience detess (1): emi (Yes, it is wilson-ifyed. Why do you ask?) So, after further consideration, I am moving my vote back off BR and back onto Bugsy, partly because I don't see the Silber lynch and partly because I realized from the elim perspective that having Bleeder as a sort of weapon for them to use is a huge advantage, and in the event of a tie might go as far as to save Bugsy to get that extra kill every cycle. So my vote is moving back to keep Bugsy ahead to preserve the lynch and make sure that doesn't happen.
  10. Mat
    Yes, this would be good. So, initially I was voting you because with the possibility of half the elim team already being gone they didn't seem like such a big threat as Bleeder who just role-claimed. Now with your reasoning and DeTess's logic I'm not sure. As for the roleclaim, I am an impersonator, the one who moved Coda's vote from Straw to Pyro C2. I have done nothing else as I have been escorted thrice I believe, and nothing else really felt substantial enough to do that and as this role isn't really that big of a deal I didn't claim before. (Though when TJ was theorizing I came close) Bugsy, BR in the interest of a tie, subject to change back before the day ends. Also, I believe you are the first person to think this. For good reason. Why exactly...?
  11. Mat
    He's BYU Alumni, has lots of stuff like the squirrel thing. If you do look into him more I would recommend his glitter bomb trap for package thieves video, both version one and version two. Also, as a side note and congratulations, you hit both 6,000 posts and the reputation title of Lord Ruler.
  12. Mat
    Well, Bugsy claimed Bleeder, and the only reason he would do that is if it were true. I think DeTess voted Coda because she believes there are enough elims to win the game if we lynch Bugsy this cycle, which I personally doubt.
  13. Mat
    It was my theory. Basically I figured with the number of roles there were, most people probably were Twinborn, as Devotary, myself, and at least one other that I know are, and those are the only confirmed ones besides Coda that I know. Coda did have two roles, though. (Pyro proceeded to find me suspicious for thinking this, something about me being an elim and knowing more identities for thinking this? Just a theory... A GAME SE THEORY)
  14. Mat
    DeTess has the magical 666 reputation points! Torturer of Heralds
  15. Mat
    Your vote on Kyne doesn't make any sense. Isn't Kyne a Renowned...?
  16. Mat
    Okay, I've seen enough. What is this and how do I join it?
  17. Mat
    @Bugsy Saying there are 5 elims left would mean a 9 elim team which is almost 1/3 of the players, which seems large to me. We've already said that 8 was the most likely number. Anyway, voting you out now doesn't necessarily mean we'll vote you out next cycle. It depends all on the number of elims dead. And if you truly don't care if you win then you could kill elims the two cycles, making the margins 8-0-3 instead of 8-0-5 in the worst-case scenario of there being 5 elims left. The margins would be way different, sitting at 9-0-2 assuming there are 4 left. Even if you don't attack any elims these next two cycles, if there are 4 elims left, the more likely option in my opinion, the current margins would be 12-1-4. A lynch today on you, it would drop to 11-1-4, and then another plus redirect to 9-0-4. Still more then enough odds to win. So I disagree. Voting on you won't cause a village loss unless the absolute worst-case scenario comes to pass.
  18. Mat
    Hmm, you have successfully changed my mind, I knew in the back of my head the math would work out this way but I didn't feel like confirming it myself (though with 4-5 elims left, and the dispersal vote currently at 6 we need to be careful). BR Bugsy
  19. Mat
    Granted. Here is the locked 10-didgit password encrypted phone with the playlist. I wish for a jellyfish
  20. Mat
    Rhythm of *Wins*
  21. Mat
    I was under the impression that Silber sent the PM to Dot early C1, before anyone even could be labeled as inactive. You, Bugsy, just the general ideas. A tied lynch would be great, and now that their cover is blown I doubt the elims would vote manip away from Bugsy.
  22. Mat
    This puts us... in a difficult place to say the least. Now both bleeder and the elims have us tied up. It seems overly-troll for Joe to give Bleeder gambling tycoon, so I'm not exactly certain about that claim, though it probably is true. I agree that we shouldn't lynch Bugsy right now, there are too many inactives and too many elims. So I'm going to put my vote on BR, because if you remember TJ cleared Silber C4 because TJ said that Silber PM'd Dot asking if they were elim, right here: So the elim impersonator is much more likely to be Zillah over Silber, also worth noting is the absence of impersonator moves the cycle Zillah was inactive. Still voting BR, though, at least for now.
  23. Mat
    Already have, it's legitimately the best thing I've watched on YouTube, ever.
  24. Mat
    Now you get to pick a side. All the more fun.
  25. Mat
    Yes, that prod certainly did its job... Well, there are the inactives/>10 post people, such as Emi and ILuvHats. The RP person I was mostly thinking of was Ashbringer, though they might have put some game-related discussion in the first pages of the thread, I don't remember. Dang 20 page D1. Poking someone inactive might not be as responsive as poking me was, as they are inactive and thus won't respond, but Ash does and has had votes on them w/out saying anything Edit: Oh snap, there's Ashbringer. There goes that argument....
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