Alright, I suppose I've been putting this off long enough Be warned, it will be extensive. (Tagging @Illwei cause I think they wanna know too)
Future Mat here: I got ninja'd at least 12 times, no exaggeration. So that's cool.
Farther future Mat here: The links for D2 won't work after the cycle ends, because the threads will be merged. Sorry.
Mat's Suspicions: Episode One - StrikerEZ
Dunno if this will be a recurring thing, I might do a Maill one and a joint Tani/Bard/Araris one. (Little teaser there- I suspect Araris now too [Now being as of a couple of hours ago])
Anyway-
Day One:
First off is this post, which I replied to here. The points here still stand- As multiple people have said, these ideas have plenty of holes that gave/give the vibe of a plan that looks good on the surface but benefits the elims. In this situation I don't think elim!Striker expected those holes to be poked so quickly Something to note is that Striker's original train was also half-fueled by their suspicion of Gears, which is not something I agreed was worth voting Striker for. That may be why no one remembers why they were sussed.
This discussion went on for awhile.
-----Sidenote: Post by Bard lightly defending Striker, early enough on with the votes spread out enough to possibly be e/e. Too tinfoily? :P.
Next: This post. Bear with me here, because this point won't be as universal, but I do not do not like this vote. Illwei at this point (still does) seem(s) perfectly normally village to me- to me this line of reasoning feels extremely forced. Their whole push on Illwei reads off to me. A few pages later is another one of those, here.
-----Sidenote: How worthy of note is it that Maill was also voting Illwei at this point? (About 1/2 through D1)
Third: They were linking elim!me with elim!Books very strongly, here, here, and here, all in quick succession. If Striker was evil they'd know Books was village, which somewhat snuffs this out, but you also have to remember Striker was somewhat leading the votes here. He'd want anything to turn attention away from his exe. Admittedly this is rather tinfoily and my point is more about the repeated insistence of his point than his point itself.
Post from TJ that sums up reasoning against Striker as well.
-----Sidenote: Around here Bard votes Books, which is a turning point away from Striker.
Whew.
Night One:
With Books dead, the night begins.
This from Striker casts massive shade on Reading, which I disagree with. More people did this but Striker was the first. I and the majority are of the mind that the manip doesn't particularly make Reading look like anything, so this is a massive exaggeration. Then Striker seems to shift opinions without saying it outright- post here- backpedaling on the accusation the manip was to save Reading and instead saying that we really have no clue when/how the manip was used.
And then the whole thing with Ventyl- not going to link every post but the first one is here . This could be read multiple ways, but now that Ventyl's flipped village I'm inclined to read it as an elim casting shade on a village Smoker. And who knows- maybe elim!Striker was planning to use elim!Smoker to do just that. Striker made it very clear his stance on this, and that sort of could be what got Ventyl killed. And maybe that was his plan, I dunno. (Assuming he's elim, that is :P. Which I am.)
*Breathes*
Day Two:
Almost done...
-----Sidenote (can I do that at the start of a new section?): Maill links Striker/Illwei together from something I linked Striker/Maill. Interesting.
Not as much of a point against Striker because we don't actually know, but Striker pushes the assumption that the elims are ones to go for low-info kills multiple times. I mean, it's D1 Low info makes sense. I'm more curious of who they'll go for next.
Votes for Stick, my strongest village read. Not helping (Also: I think this is a me problem, but I don't like how Striker words his vote statements. Ever. Regardless of alignment. The whole 'bad vibes because of x, feels like x' thing. Totally a me problem don't feel obligated to change it xD)
Post covering the above points.
-----Sidenote(s): Maill seemed ignorant about how hard I was pushing Striker = evil. Unsure about that. Also, Bard votes Ash and this picks up my goodness. Second time Bard's vote has distracted from Striker. Around here Illwei also says that Striker/Maill might be e/e because Maill had been sussing Illwei and then constructed a team around Striker, and Illwei said that felt like distancing.
I'll finish it around here because I've about caught up. Worthy of note: When Striker voted Tani, it felt out of the blue to me. He said he's most sus of Maill and Tani out of the voters of him, which I read as possible distancing because I sussed both of them already and they've linked to him.
Not gonna TL;DR right now. Too burned out, this took too long :/
