The Young Pyromancer

I've been going over some old posts, and El actually has a solid-ish reason for trusting them. I'm still suspicious of Mint, but more of Kyne, given the fact that I've seen hem viewing the thread and yet not posting. Would make sense as the last elim, feigning inactivity so we thought that someone else must be the one putting in kills.

It's close to rollover? Kynedath, then. EDIT: Flame on!

Gah. I'm much better at scheming than evaluating people. ...I'll review TJ's old analysis. It's outdated, but confirmed village, and by a good analyst. Also, Matrim posts I found interesting: Also, from TJ:

Right, Ash is NOT up for lynch here, and is still prodding activity. Once would be fitting in, but this is calling others out, repeatedly. That's village. As soon as I call you on it, you immediately back down. Why? You were so sure before. Hmm. @Ashbringer, @Illwei, what are your thoughts on El? Also, I've seen Kynedath viewing the thread occasionally, but not posting, for what that's worth.

Mint, sorry.

@Elkanah why's mist so high on your trust list?

Okay, so here's what happened. My plan going into this game was to conserve usage of the illegal table, as well as hopefully forming some kind of PM dialogue. The latter didn't happen, but, while rolling across the politicking table, I got planning (literally, the passion of planning. Not like 'I started planning'). I sent an anonymous message to TJ the cycle he died (the beneficial action I mentioned previously), then, after checking that planning with the illegal table does NOT roll to get caught/add 20% twice, I rolled on it. I got unlucky, both getting caught and hitting survival and coercion, the two boring ones. I made this more interesting by trying to both emphasize that I was relatively trusted, and by deliberately repeating the fact that I got an unimportant passion, as well as asking for lists, to try to make people think I wanted advice for one of the more dangerous passions, but didn't want to get roleblocked. I then used survival on lotus. Now, since unless some ridiculous things happened Matrim was the elim kill, that tells us that a vigilante tried to kill either Illwei, me, or Lotus. Since, unless I am mistaken, an elim can not both use a passion and use a kill, that can be used to infer that Illwei is not the village killer. Logic below. Note that this only holds if there is 1 elim, something I am not sure of. (part of me is suspicious of an El/Mint team rn, not gonna lie) I also happen to know that I am not the vigilante. This means that the village kill (something not necessarily true if there are 2 elims, but still likely. I'm stressing this because El's emphasis on only one elim has made me a little sus) was made by someone else who was online at the time, probably Elkanah or Ash. It IS possible Lotus tried to kill Illwei and hit themselves by accident ( @Zillah is it possible to redirect your kill onto yourself?) which would be hilarious, but is unlikely. Therefore, El and Ash, if you did make the kill, please confess, as well as who you targeted. This'll provide good evidence towards you being village if no one counterclaims. If it was someone else, you too, as if you hit Illwei, that'll let us know there are either two elims, or Illwei is a mech-cleared villager. Also, @Kynedath, I've seen you lurking. Please engage, as you NOT engaging lowers the minimum activity the elims have to maintain to blend in, giving them more chances to slip up. I meant to write about my suspicions of an El/Mint team, but my internet turns off soon, so I have to cut it short. In the meantime, if you did attack someone and are village, please confess, as well as whom you targeted. Similarly, if you used survival and targeted lotus/someone else who's claimed to use survival on lotus (which is the same here) please confess as well. This'll help us semi-clear a villager, letting us set them aside only to be suspected again if another elim dies and the game isn't over.

Working on a big analysis post. In the meantime, no, I didn't use a kill. EDIT: @Illwei, if you were the vigilante, please tell us. No one will blame you, as I would have probably killed Lotus too. If you are village and lie about this, you will throw off my entire analysis, and give the elims a big advantage by sending us down the wrong track.

I don't know time zones, so maybe. It got delayed by a bit.

K, thanks for all the advice. Here's hoping I picked the right target!

...why?

Thanks. Who do you mean by your top suspect?

I'm trying to get advice. EDIT: Sometimes I need someone to tell me what to do before I can decide whether I agree or not.

Ah, I get your meaning. In other news, since I don't want to reveal which thing I got from the illegal table (even though it's pretty bad), could people list what they would do if they had gotten it for each item of the table? It's a bit much to ask, I know, but I don't want to waste this.

Nope. Just got very unlucky on my first go. Didn't even get anything good either. You're judging your reads on synesthesia? I've never heard of that before. That's brilliant!

Not me? Where'd I go? Also, FYI, I was caught.

Oh, sorry. Read an 'M' in the quote box and thought it was Matrim, not Mint.

That Matrim has a better reason for not being suspicious than you do.

Check the post by TJ I linked again.

I thought it was binary, converted into boolean, but that didn't lead anywhere.

Here you go: Yeah, I find excluding myself from summations of general suspicions is kind of silly, given that the point is to give a reference frame for EVERYONE, not just me. If I made a list, it'd look more like: 0: XP 1: Lotus 1.1: Mint 2: Kyne, Elkanah 3: Ash, Illwei 4: Sart, Silb 4.5: Matrim Sart and Silb I am PRETTY sure are village, but it is unusual that Silb wasn't killed yet. Focusing on more high-profile targets like TJ does makes sense however, and there's also the fact that I don't see Silber pulling this kind of gambit off under his own initiative. I'm just paranoid, since this is very much like something I'd do, especially as I usually only ramp up the chaos as the game goes longer, and I like to switch things up.

XP has gone into troll mode. Ignore them. EDIT: General suspicion tier list, for reference. Tier 0: XP. By going into trolling, they've basically admitted they're an elim. If they aren't, I'd be surprised. Tier 1: Mint, Lotus, due to their interactions with known elims. Tier 2: Me, Kynedath, Ash. Me and Kyne due to lurking, ash due to a mixed bunch of slight suspicions/trusts. Tier 3: Elkanah. Everyone's been ignoring them. Also, Illwei, because of D1. See TJ's reasoning before. Tier 4: Sart, Silber, Matrim. Sart and Silber would have to be in a weird gambit, but it's certainly possible. Silber's above Illwei here because, well, see TJ's stuff. Hope this is helpful.

I've been accused. Not sure why.

Okay, rules clarifications: If a scan is redirected, it is listed as the person who is actually scanned, so we don't have to worry about someone scanning an elim using survival and thinking they're a villager. I was RBed, and not because TJ died. This means XP was RBed and it got directed to me, OR I got rbed twice, OR XP is lying and someone else RBed me. Probably the first or second one. Also because of the fact they used survival last night, which I don't think is weird by itself, but I do think is weird when taking into the context of how they claimed it.

Note to self: Flag for later review upon flip.