Mat
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I’d ask you to flip your sacred coin for me except there’s no way to tell me what it rolled without putting it to the whole thread
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Oh yeah xino
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Okay and I didn't think about this either .-. I should reread So it is down to xino/Az, but Kas said the ratio is 4-2. So wouldn't that mean it's just xino/Az? Another reason I should reread; get a feel for the wagons and xino/Az's posts. Luckily I don't think either of them have a huge amount of content to ISO. Edit: Does it have to be 4-2 for any reason? Like, say Mint missed a convert, that'd make it 5-1, right? And there's no way to know until we exe and the game either ends or it doesn't. Or I guess Kas was saying that Sja would have had 2 charges without another convert, but that would mean that multiple Unmade were converted, which obviously isn't true unless it's like Archer/Tani or any number of those left which just... doesn't make sense at all. I guess Az is probably the safest vote here but I'll look through some things before I vote. Edit2: Forgot Az is an Unmade. Lol. So that does make even more sense, theoretically. Well- 5 charges, Elan 4 charges, Az 2 charges... yeah Squirrel would have survived. So we are 4-2. Good job Kas, I should have trusted your math :P.
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Yeah, I know No pressure, right? :P. Was about to @ Archer but I just saw Kas' edit
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Oh, right, that's true. Huh. I suppose a confirmed is pretty important at this point though, so I think it still makes sense. Exeing in Tani/Az/xino today, right? I guess Archer in there too but I want to somewhat limit the PoE lol
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…Why am I alive I suppose that TUO was more of an immediate threat but I’m still surprised lol
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I’ve liked Squirrel’s posting, as opposed to a nothing from xino. Ashertmarn?
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I like this list minus the fact that I’m in it I don’t think that lowers the credibility of it though. I was lowkey kinda shocked I was in the weak category until I thought about it for a second :P. I’m good on xino; I like Squirrel more.
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Oh didn't see the claim. Hmm. xino.
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Tani Seems fine to me. I don't know if it'd be worth it to look at a kill that also could be Sja, but in a way this is better since it's more likely Sja has 1 charge than zero.
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I guess if I'm assuming worst case then Sja probably doesn't have enough charges to survive an exe... Option B probably is better, yeah.
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The whole point of me voting xino was because Tani had two (three?) votes. I'd rather vote Tani over xino, both because of the difference in what happened with my duplicate and since yknow, xino hasn't actually done much in thread. I like this idea, but we'd need to be decently confident. It's worth killing Sja imo. This is probably safer, though, especially if the Sja exe guess is virtually a RNG out of a pool of three/four.
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Because I forgot to take myself off tbh I like your thoughts, Archer. I'm still curious why you felt the need to claim but we need a successful exe and something tells me yours won't catch on :P. Tani's is catching on too fast and that makes me nervous, but I'm probably just getting cold feet... idk. I'll propose Az for an alternative. Edit: Oh right, this is probably a good idea :P. Az is more likely to be a convert than Sja. Az What'd you say? A Sja pool of xino/Tani/Squirrel? xino
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…convenient much? :P. I feel like at this point there has to be a converted Unmade just based on probability, if that makes sense. A pool of Archer/Az/TUO isn’t one I’m super unhappy with but I also don’t love the assumption because it’s just an assumption. I feel like Archer had no reason to claim, which I instinctively suspect, and I’m not a fan of how he came out shading me immediately either. TUO, if they’re evil and we don’t kill them, we definitely lose, and I touched on earlier that Az not making an action is a bit convenient and they fit the low-profile. Or I guess they have no reason to lie about C1 since they would have been village then, though it could be Sja!Az who converted the real Moelach. I wouldn’t be against any of those three for those reasons, and I think Tani is an alright kill as well. I’m curious what their role is since they were tracked onto Illwei but then didn’t do anything last night, which my tinfoil brain makes her be Chemorach which only works if Az and TUO are both evil I think and is a bad theory that doesn’t hold up lol Edit: I guess I’m assuming worst case because I don’t see a reason why we wouldn’t be in worst case. Sja converting two unmade right off the bat would mean she probably holds on to the last charge but that just makes the pool I mentioned more likely. I could see the delayed Araris kill being a product of his lateness in claiming. I don’t remember who that would implicate. I mean I could see you as a convert choice simply because you’re a guaranteed one charge convert for the same ratio swing, even if it comes without an extra ability. I wouldn’t bet the game on it, though. I don’t think I was converted because I’m the kind of player who is expected to be, I guess? Like see everyone here assuming I’ve been converted. I think that’s why I wasn’t converted last cycle, either (assuming Sja even had enough charges for that)- the elims would rather use me as a misexe and then kill me if that doesn’t work out rather than convert me and have me likely be exed anyway. I’m 99% sure I’m dead this turn regardless of what happens though :P. And I think it’s reasonable that team evil saw my claim and not Araris’, since mine was three/four hours prior to rollover and Araris’ was closer to twenty minutes iirc.
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I mean. Didn’t do the kill does not equal not evil at this point, especially since Team Evil could have up to four members at this point. Which reminds me- I was thinking about it, and I actually can prove to y’all that I’m still Loyal. If I, Re-Shephir, were evil, nothing would have stopped me from duplicating the elim kill. So far there is no evidence that Sja doesn’t have three teammates, and that would make the current ratio 5-4. An extra kill takes that to 4-4. Basically, in an evil!me world, the village has already lost. Which like this seems rather obvious to me but hey maybe it doesn’t to someone else See above- again, in a RS!evil world the village has already lost. More so if RS were the first convert. Have you read the game? (I know the answer is no btw) but the exes so far have had a trend of killing off the people voting them as well. Doesn’t give much to go off of because it paints the whole cycle’s influence as villagers killing villagers. That in turn points to the inactives, which there’s no difference between them.
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Oh ok
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What I don’t understand lol
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I had little to no opinion on Chantara which at this point might be incriminating by itself. Chantara was one of the only people I had literally no info on whether that be scan or redirect or whatever. xino/Tani I’ve redirected to themselves, Elan were cleared not Sja by Araris, and that leaves Chantara and Az as (haha) sort of the leftover under-the-radars. So I don’t like suspect you but I certainly have no reason to trust you. I doubt flying under the radar is something you’ll do so hopefully I’ll have an opinion by EoD PMs are only created through Di-Gonarthis (I know I butchered the spelling) so that can’t happen. Again I haven’t been in any PMs so idk how many there have been. That’s a completely unfair accusation; I ‘shouldn’t’ anything at this point in the game. I think I have about as good of a suspect pool as anybody does.
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I assume that just means Drought was in a PM…? Idk I haven’t been in a PM or anything this game so I’m not thinking about those at all lol Wasn’t converted, meaning I can only assume I’m next for the elim chopping block. Fun. I don’t think the Az train was fueled by elims since the Drought one is almost always completely pure and there’s no reason for them to do so. I would think this leans village for Az a bit but that could just be completely wrong. I successfully made Tani target herself, by the way, but that clearly did nothing useful. I think I’ll poke Archer to get us started.
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Snuck in a check TUO Drought but I don’t like it
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Last post of the turn @Araris Valerian @Droughtbringer Kas, I was told I was not roleblocked.
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I made xino target himself, hoping to hit Sja while attacking There are a few ways to interpret his vote being gone. Either he's manip and self targeted (making my ability useless) or he's Sja who someone else manipped off of to prove they have a role. (Edit: Or he didn't take an action and someone manipped off of him to prove they have a role) I didn't take this as clearing since there was room for doubt, and he's a low-profile conversion target.
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TUO Reads: Village: Kasimir- A for effort at this point lol. The Illwei/Kas thunderdome I still believe was v/v and there's no reason to have converted Kas at this point. Squirrel- Maybe it's stupid to put them so high but I read a pinch-hitter coming in willing to read past cycles for analysis very village. An elim would have zero incentive to do that. Drought- I don't know what 'gut' dislike people are having with Drought tbh, their posts seem jsut fine to me. Maybe I should sus whoever said that most recently? Wasn't it Squirrel? Hmm. Araris- This one is light light because I don't like his push on me (I suppose the same could be said for Drought because I know I've given thoughts since his last post) but in a way I don't think an elim would push me as hard as he is with the reasons that he has. Everyone else is varying levels of null/elim. Nothing anyone has said has struck me as elimmy or partnery or whatever but I don't like the people just hanging on to the edges. TUO and Elan are probably worst for me, with xino and Tani close behind (there is no specific reason for this) I won't be on for the rest of the cycle, I have things irl starting in ~30 minutes that go till rollover. I'm Re-Shephir. Please don't kill me.
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Always What do you think about xino’s vote being missing from C1?
