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Scarlet Octopus

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Everything posted by Scarlet Octopus

  1. Scarlet Octopus
    There are a couple of options for what those manipulations mean. He have at least two vote manips, that is true beyond doubt. They could be two soothers, one soother and a rioter who moved on to a smoked target, thus canceling their vote and having no other effect, or two rioters who went on to smoked targets. I have opinions, but little time. More in an hour or so.
  2. Scarlet Octopus
    The consensus is off Chameleon, and I won't be back for any considerable amount of time until after rollover, and I'm null on Hyena, and null with just a hint of lime on Swan, so Gorilla it is. If I get time and the exe moves to Pearl again I will vote them.
  3. Scarlet Octopus
    "Both, and none at all." I'm not a big fan of pizza in general and don't like pineapple, so I have no opinions.
  4. Scarlet Octopus
    "Down with the heathens!"
  5. Scarlet Octopus
    "We must purge ourselves of those who do not follow through with their offers of sarcastic commentary!"
  6. Scarlet Octopus
    "Down with the Ja! The world must be cleansed of evil! We must preserve that which is pure a Ruin that which is corrupt!"
  7. Scarlet Octopus
    "The world must be purged of false gods! Cleansed of their unholiness! We must Preserve the true faiths and eradicate the false religions!" Considering the fact that that almost always happens, ya I'm not so optimistic. Village has been winning more often lately though.
  8. Scarlet Octopus
    That isn't the best reasoning, but it is valid. Might refute it later.
  9. Scarlet Octopus
    My initial vote wasn't very thorough, mostly a gut tone read about bad principles that was strengthened by subsequent posts. And I'm not going to do reads due to bad memory and lack of time to reread thread. Might eventually.
  10. Scarlet Octopus
    I am armed to my beak. Pearl just feels... slimy. Not outright elim, but very evasive. I do understand that they are trying to conceal their identity, but the way they're responding feels just backtracky enough but also overly defensive. Might just be tunneling here.
  11. Scarlet Octopus
    "We must cleanse ourselves of those who bog us down!" Tyrus yelled again. "Cleanse ourselves of those who would think the true servants users of Ruinous magic! Banish them from our ranks, down with the fools!"
  12. Scarlet Octopus
    Lurchers are pretty useful in my opinion. A thugs better, but lurchers can definitely turn games and a kill is blocked by one roughly every other game. I'd say it's more of an equivalent to an elim Tineye.
  13. Scarlet Octopus
    But what about exlo? Isn't it important to have a consensus on when we lose if we make the wrong choice?
  14. Scarlet Octopus
    Btw, if there is an elim coinshot, exlo is four rounds away. Yes, I was wrong earlier, we get five rounds until exlo if there are seven elims. I don't find the existence of e!coinshot likely, but it could be done with a couple lurchers and thugs to balance.
  15. Scarlet Octopus
    "The world must be cleansed! We have evildoers among us, we must purge our ranks of the Ruinous magic that gifts them power! The Koloss are a sign! We must Preserve ourselves in this time of crisis! Purge ourselves of evildoers! Rid this world of their taint." Tyrus stopped when he realized no-one was listening. Grumbling, he stepped down from the crate full of shining metals that he had hoarded when he heard the Koloss were coming. Hello, fellow humans. I, through intense and complex calculations, have determined that there will be 6.5 elims. Due to a lack of half players, I believe that number will be rounded. While six is most likely, it seems safest to assume that there will be 7 elims, which leaves 4 turns until exlo. This leaves nineteen villagers. Of those villagers, I believe that we will have 1-2 thugs, a single tineye, 2-3 smokers, 1-2 seekers, 0-1 coinshots, 2 lurchers, 3 rioter or soothers, with any combination being possible, as for the mistborn, I doubt there's one, but it is possible. If the Spiked have a vote-manipper, I think there will only be 2 village ones. I doubt the existence of any elim thugs. I don't think there will be an elim tineye. I do believe that at least one elim will be a smoker, maybe even two. Unless this is a trick ruleset, there shouldn't be elim seekers. No way there's going to be an elim coinshot. Lurchers also seem unlikely, but if we have a coinshot it is a possibility. That means that roughly half the elims would have roles. @Pearl Chameleon, why do you think five is more likely than six when that is below 20% (barely, but below)? Why too do you think a seeker would be a powerful role for them? They already know alignments. How confident are you in the presence of both a coinshot and a mistborn? First of all, why do you wish to spurn further discussion rather than spur it on? I also find that reasoning lacking, so I'll give a loose vote. Pearl Chameleon Edit: Thanks for the cool pfp Burnt!
  16. Scarlet Octopus
    Adieu
  17. Scarlet Octopus
    Edit: Caaaaaaaat! Edit: Opal I thought about it. Am still. Wilson Can I get a vote count?
  18. Scarlet Octopus
    Octopus
  19. Scarlet Octopus
    PAFO. I doubt you'd believe me
  20. Scarlet Octopus
    What about before this point?
  21. Scarlet Octopus
    Edit: wait wait wait did that not load? If it didn't, I said I'm happy to wait to end the game for the neutrals. In fact, I want to.
  22. Scarlet Octopus
    I don't know why I haven't been attacked. Ostrich said they were hoping the filter would get me. That could be why? I have also been interested in who is also unconcerned about Odium's domain, although now, of course, Odium is free. I'm not exactly sure what's going on here. Rephrased: I think I'm missing full context. Ruin is planning to destroy a planet where Autonomy has already Invested. They also threatened Elephant in thread for info. However, I'm guessing killing Ruin is a bad idea (although we'll still have the removal), although we certainly have a good start on finding the elims. This is certainly applying pressure... Prudence, dear Prudence, may I be honored with a private conversation with yourself? (I'll go find the form if your esteemed self wishes it.) (I'll be back before the end of the cycle) (I drafted this earlier) Drat posting this now
  23. Scarlet Octopus
    Ostrich That's a lot of spoiler boxes.
  24. Scarlet Octopus
    I thought the original looked like a kangaroo. I love all of these. What has happened to this thread?
  25. Scarlet Octopus
    "You're trying to kill me? Why would you do that? Especially if it's your parents." No, but really. Edit: sorry, I was saying why are you trying to kill people, not specifically me. Edit 2: I mean no duh but huh.
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