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Shallan

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Everything posted by Shallan

  1. Shallan
    Ah. I left out a not, and it reversed the meaning of my post. From Seonid's early attacks on Hero, I am sure he is NOT a conspirator.
  2. Shallan
    The only reasoning I have is that he was not active during the time a conspirator would have needed to be not active. Besides, Ven is being lynched even without my vote. I am sure Seonid is Edittofix: NOT a conspirator, so I'm willing to follow up this lead rather than tie it.
  3. Shallan
    I was going to vote for Ven, but with two votes I don't think I need to. I was thinking it was almost the end of the cycle, but since I'll have time to take it back if need be I will go ahead. Ven
  4. Shallan
    No, I did not, Orlok, and welcome back to the circle of trust. Orlok I will also vote for Alvom to prevent any Worldsinger vote shenanigans(if there is a Worldsinger) Alvom
  5. Shallan
    Before he died, Lopen sent me a PM last day saying he suspected Gamma because he wasn't dead yet. The Eliminators have killed all the experienced active/semi-active people(no fair, eliminators ) except him. However, he always was sure Adamir was evil so I don't think I'll put a vote on him. Instead, I'll go with Orlok, and hopefully he will read this. The most interesting part about the write-up to me was the assassin kill. I think it is pretty well determined that the Eliminators don't have an Assassin/Guardsman since this would have to be the first kill from them in 10 cycles, so if we have an Artifabrian and a Guardsman/Assassin left, we can get a protection. That is desperately needed. I'll ask that either of those roles PM either me or Seonid. Please include whether you're corrupt, because only 6/8 of the possible combinations work for a protection.
  6. Shallan
    I suggest you reread the rules, Maill and Hael. (Hey, your names rhyme in my head!) I have a track record of nothing things you don't.
  7. Shallan
    He is given to a random player after Ruin and Preservation are killed. Why, yes, I did read the white text in the rules.
  8. Shallan
    I believe this is about the fifth or sixth time this thread has been necro'ed, but I just got the app and played MtG for the first time, and it is really cool. Does anyone have a suggestion about where I could/should get a real deck?
  9. Shallan
    Well, let's go with the perennial favorite(at least for me) Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality I assume these don't have to be MLP?
  10. Shallan
    Vote tally: 0 Alvom Halbin(we can just add the second name if distinguishing is needed): Paranoid King(1) 3 Haelbarde: Paranoid King(2), Adamir, Seonid I don't really know what else to say right now. We still have a full day + 2 hours left in the cycle, so hopefully the people who haven't been on will at least be on the Shard. I'll check right now their last time being on this website... (I realized that these would have been EST, so I will just put how many hours ago.) Orlok: 7.5 hours since last on Venture Mistborn: 19.5 hours since last on Feligon: 16 days, 19 hours since last on SilverDragon: 10 days, 7 hours since last on So I'll assume we can eliminate(hahahaha) Feligon and SilverDragon as Eliminators, since they just haven't been on at all, but Feligon and Orlok (and Bort) have been on but haven't posted. I hate to say it, but does anyone know where I can find a Contribution Crusade banner? Bort: (missed him the first time around) 14 hours since last on
  11. Shallan
    I'll also vote for Alv. For the reasons stated above by Wilson. It is of course open to change.
  12. Shallan
    And what was this role? (Cultivation, could I have a PM between myself and Lopen?)
  13. Shallan
    And I am glad someone knows what's going on.
  14. Shallan
    Ataris, it was because I wanted feedback before I placed my vote. I had talked a fair amount in my post, and I was hoping for some reactions and discussion about it before I placed my vote.
  15. Shallan
    I don't exactly feel qualified to vote, though I might a bit later, but that sounds a lot like an excuse to get Wilson killed, Alv.
  16. Shallan
    Well, this is good, and now we've confirmed that they don't have a guardsman. Besides that, what were they trying to do by not targeting any of our suspicons? It could be that all of our suspicions are them, or I suppose none could be. Gah, why do all my analyses end up being useless?!? I have no idea what to do, but assuming they have 4 and we have 12, maybe 2 Shardplate on our side, 1 on theirs, and random lynches, then it would go like this: I tried and there is no way I can do this on a mobile.
  17. Shallan

    Who has post 300,000?

    1. phattemer

      phattemer

      Between July 25 and August 1.

    2. Guest

      Guest

      I thought there was only 287000 something.

  18. Shallan
    Listen up, kids. Today I'm going to teach you how to recognize when Odium is angry and when they are merely ann- RUN FOR YOUR LIVES RUN RUN RUN RUN RUN NOW NOW NOW NOW AAAAAAAAAH!!!!!!!!!
  19. Shallan
    Araris, I was going to vote in 50 minutes unless someone said it wasn't a good idea. I stated that in my post. With 17 people, we could skip today and miss tomorrow and then be in the situation today. However if we miss today and tomorrow then we are worse off than my post. Right now, I think Winter and PK are tied, though I don't know if PK had a first vote. Correction: everyone is tied at one vote who has been voted for.
  20. Shallan
    It seems to me that a lot of different people are getting thrown around, but nobody seems convinced. I mean, we COULD not lynch anyone if we don't have a clear target, but also I know a common Eliminator strategy is to get the village to either lunch nobody or lynch a villager. If we don't get someone today, then our odds are not very good. They probably have 3-4 people left and I think there are 14 total people? If we mess up twice more and they get 2 more free kills, then it's 6-3 or 7-3 village, and that is trending toward 3-1, otherwise known as Mislynch and Lose, since if the village messes up then it's 1-1 the next day, assuming roles don't come into effect. So I guess what I'm saying is that we need to have a trend at least toward 4-1, where the village gets 1 Mislynch before they lose. Better is obviously better, and hopefully we can win sooner. But barring the possibility of additional Guards, Assassins, or Ardents(Con Artists only matter if the above get lynched and Couriers, assuming the conspirators are discrete and/or don't have PMs don't have a big impact either) this is heading from 10-4 to 8-4 if this messes up, to 6-4 if the next one does, and to 4-4 at which point the village has lost. On the other hand, if we get one out of the three lynches right, it will be 5-3 then. 2 right, and it's 6-2. So if they have 4 people we really need to get 2/3 of the next lynches right and then more. If they have 3, which I think is less likely, then it's 11-3 if I am right about 14, and if we get 0, 1, or 2 then it is 5-3, 6-2, or 7-1 respectively. I think they probably have 4, maybe 2 brightlords, an Artifabrian, and a Courier. So we need to either skip this lynch or get it right IF we can't get the next two right. If we can, maybe we should do this one for more information. But right now, I don't see a lot of good leads. Of course, this leads us to ask if there will be any more leads if this lynch doesn't happen. So, by delaying a day are we just getting more time to think or are we actually gathering information? If it's the former, we should probably do a lynch and I'll probably vote for someone. But if anyone thinks they can get more information, we may want to wait. This ending may seem incongruous compared to the length of my post(typed on a vertical smartphone OW FINGER CRAMP) but I'll probably not be able to post for than once or twice a cycle, double that if it is extended(duh). Partly because of LG14, partly because I finally started WoT 2 days ago and now I'm on book 3 and I am not sure whether the Wheel will let me take a break or force me to keep reading. Summary: They probably have 4 people, maybe 3. We need 2/3 of the next lynches to be in a decent position if they have 4. 3, we don't need to be so worried but 2/3 would still be good. So if our odds of getting a conspirator next day improve beyond the loss of a noble, then we should wait. Otherwise, we should lynch someone today. I'll vote maybe 15 min before rollover hopefully, unless someone thinks they can get more info from a no-lynch. Alvom ninja'd me, and also what do you mean by my loyalties, PK?
  21. Shallan
    I am always violent. I had a kill role in MR7, always tried for the Assassin in QF8, was an Eliminator in QF9, and I am still alive in this and MR8.
  22. Shallan
    Uh, Mailliw, why exactly do you think I am violent?
  23. Shallan
    Oh. I must have missed that if it was said before. In that case, I guess the entire Cobalt Guard is dead. No wonder WOR
  24. Shallan
    Orlok, I don't quite see your point. It's a definite possibility for the Conspirators to have a Guardsman, particularly since they probably have an Artifabrian as well. And since that is 2 village Guardsmen down, and I didn't think there were more, but I thought the conspirators could have one, I said last noble guardsman. Was there a misunderstanding here? :/
  25. Shallan
    I don't know... so Araria seems suspicious because of day 1 vote shenanigans? It does fit very well, but I am not convinced enough to put a third vote on him. I would take over the contribution crusade, but seeing as the leader was a Conspirator maybe we should just let it die or, as someone mentioned, we should continue it because other Eliminators won't be as active.
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