I think some of this is pretty spot on!
I’ve long thought Kal will die in book 5. His death needs to have lasting impact though. So something like reforging the Oathpact or making a new Oathpact, seems impactful.
How about: as a result of Dalinar losing the contest of champions Stormfather had to sacrifice himself so Kal becoming another version of a Stormfather?
Perhaps Kal willingly becoming another Herald and choosing imprisonment on Braize?
These all fit semi well into your theory here!