Hoid Slayer

Nah Tomorrow is ly/lo 8 people recently browsing is CRAAAAZY

I mean… To be honest, I don’t really need to convince you to save me at this stage And I don’t have more to give than what I’ve already given. I’ve explained my decisions last night, and given the best analysis I can Also, what makes you think you’re gonna die tomorrow? Also yes I’m absolutely crazy

Call me crazy but this reads genuine

Maybe They’ve almost been too quiet though

Yeah… Honestly, so much doesn’t make sense I can’t help but feel we’re looking at it all wrong Again, I struggle to imagine a world where there is more than a single elim in Araris/CD/TUH because of how you all want to save me. Of course, there could be no elim there as well. Your vote last night could’ve been an elim’s attempt to stay active while taking the easiest way out Or it could have been just an innocent village move My argument for this was because if TOW got exed (and Twin saved) then Twin would be the obvious exe candidate for the next day turn, and the elims could take down two birds with one stone Will try to RP later, before rollover

Ahh okay that makes sense

It would be my honor to serve as elim alongside you @Amanuensis the writeups are incredible btw Okay, let's see what I got *crunches knuckles* Day two rollover summary, paraphrased partially from Jo: With seven hours left in the day, the VC stands as: (2) TwinStorm: IcedOutPenguin, Belandrius Ohhmar, (1) STINK: CoderDrag0n8, (1) ThatOneWorldhopper: Araris Valerian, (1) CoderDrag0n8: A Jo in the Bush, (1) IcedOutPenguin: TwinStorm, (1) Hoid Slayer: STINK, I vote TOW without good reasoning, just to test waters Jo moves vote off CD for some reason and switches it to me - Jo, still not sure why you seem to have a vendetta against me, would be nice to know Araris also switches vote to me, with the argument that I'm not acting on my analysis VC: (3) Hoid Slayer: STINK, A Jo in the Bush, Araris Valerian, (2) TwinStorm: IcedOutPenguin, Belandrius Ohhmar, (1) ThatOneWorldhopper: Hoid Slayer, (1) STINK: CoderDrag0n8, (1) IcedOutPenguin: TwinStorm, I make an analysis post that convinces Araris to move vote back to TOW with me Bee votes TwinStorm CD votes TOW TwinStorm votes TOW for the sake of self-preservation VC: (4) ThatOneWorldhopper: Hoid Slayer, Araris Valerian, CoderDrag0n8, TwinStorm, (3) TwinStorm: IcedOutPenguin, Belandrius Ohhmar, RoyalBeeMage (2) Hoid Slayer: STINK, A Jo in the Bush, TUH votes TwinStorm Bee takes vote off TwinStorm and shifts it to TOW TUH takes vote off TwinStorm and moves it to me Final VC: (5) ThatOneWorldhopper: Hoid Slayer, Araris Valerian, CoderDrag0n8, TwinStorm, RoyalBeeMage, (3) Hoid Slayer: STINK, A Jo in the Bush, The Unknown Hammerer (2) TwinStorm: IcedOutPenguin, Belandrius Ohhmar, Retrospective analysis of D2: First off, wherever they were hiding, the elims were sitting real nice, with three village trains. Second, I am beginning to see a potential tie between Araris and CD (they both switch votes to TOW in a short time period) What really stands out to me though is all the chaos with no real threat to the elims. A lot of people - namely Araris, Bee, CD, and TUH - were scrambling around somewhat when elims would have no real reason to do so. This subtly implies to me that the elims were hiding under the radar D2 This implicates Jo, BelOh, and Stink It's possible that that's the elim team right there; that seems a little too simple, though. The weird bit is that that would then imply that the elims were taking actions they didn't need to D2, which is somewhat weird elim behavior - unless they were trying to push for a specific exe. In that case, the most likely option I see is TOW - the elims might have rightly noticed that by exeing TOW D2, they set up TwinStorm for D3 (and if this was the elim's plan, it worked beautifully) Such a possibility would most implicate CD, Bee, and TUH - I wouldn't include Araris in there because when he shifted to TOW there were better options (namely keeping the vote on me) for an elim Day three summary: Jo votes Twin, says happy to vote Twin or me Twin votes Araris Araris votes CD I vote Twin BelOh votes Twin Not much happens until nine hours before rollover, when CD votes Araris Current VC: TwinStorm (3): Hoid, Jo, BelOh Araris (2): Twin, CD CD (1): Araris Hoid (1): Stink Minutes before rollover, TUH votes TwinStorm I vote Araris Final VC: (3) TwinStorm: A Jo in the Bush, Belandrius Ohhmar, The Unknown Hammerer, (3) Araris Valerian: TwinStorm, CoderDrag0n8, Hoid Slayer, (1) CoderDrag0n8: Araris Valerian, (1) Hoid Slayer: STINK, Analysis of D3: Well, this was much more uneventful - perhaps we should have taken the hint earlier that TwinStorm was the wrong idea I think the flow of this cycle is pretty obvious; elims set out with intention to exe TwinStorm, and succeed Alone, this day really doesn't tell us much. However, we can combine it with D2's - and we've been quite lucky that most players have been quite active Based off of vibes, the most sus players in my eye are CD, BelOh, Araris, and a tentative Stink, who has done practically nothing all game but occasionally pop in to vote me If we pardon BelOh for being new, then we can see a clear potential tie between CD and Araris. The problem here is that D3, they both voted for each other - however, CD was never in any real danger, and there was no way for them to predict my last-minute switch other than some messages I sent Araris pre rollover. It would've been a risky maneuver on their part, but not impossible to imagine In a world where CD and Araris are elim together: I'm looking at TUH as their third. His vote for Twin yesterday was what kept Araris alive, and D2, his switch from Twin to me would cement the TOW exe while avoiding keeping all elims on the same train AAAAAND I just realized how unlikely this is since the three people I just accused are the three people voting to save my life In a world where Araris is elim, but not with CD: Looking at Bee and TUH as at least one of them a teammate, based on my analysis for D2 Final elim could be anywhere In a world where CD is elim, but not with Araris: Looking at Bee and TUH as at least one of them a teammate Probably both teammates on Twin train yesterday, implying Jo and BelOh as well In a world where Jo, BelOh, and Stink are elim: We're all screwed Honestly, I just spent a load of time on an analysis only to realize that I can envision basically anyone in a team with anyone But that's all unimportant, because, while doing my research, I stumbled upon this absolutely heartless comment from Jo Thus, we can conclude that Jo is evil /s Also can someone please explain to me what everyone means when they say ninja? It's confusing me a little Wait Just thought of something I doubt there's more than one elim on the train voting to save me; sooooo there go all my theories of Araris, CD, and TUH being evil together Sorry, guys I just wasted an hour of my time

Votes currently stand at three (Me, Coder, Araris) in my favor Just need one more @Araris Valerian @Belandrius Ohhmar @The Unknown Hammerer @CoderDrag0n8 @RoyalBeeMage @A Jo in the Bush @STINK If you're set on killing me (*cough* Jo *cough* TUH), would you mind giving me some more solid reasoning for why my death is worth the risk?

No? So this was a hypothetical? Did you consider the possibility then the elims crimsoned me? Thanks, Coder I appreciate it

Aww Hoid Well, that hurts @The Unknown Hammerer I'm also going to answer your question here I'll begin by explaining my actions at rollover: As I stated then, I felt like the fact TwinStorm's train stood in the lead was odd if he were elim considering there was another possibility to pursue (my exe). I waited until the last moment to make my move, letting a last minute hammer fall - but it never did. So I did what I considered the logical thing; I did what I could to save TwinStorm. Obviously, it didn't work, since the fates chose his death - yet I think his v!flip proves I made the right choice TUH, I understand why you used the pot on me, but don't you think the reason you used it is gone? Is there some other reason you find me suspicious, or do you just not want to render your action useless There really isn't much more for me to say I really need to go to sleep, so I don't have time to RP; but for whoever's reading this - please save me. I can't tell you who the three elims are; but I can tell you that in killing me, you condemn us all

Ohh thank goodness Twin is village *heavy sigh of relief* I mean, I know that sounds bad, but I also know I would've been insta exed had he been elim so... Would've preferred an Araris exe, but at least I ain't goin out that way Also, who wants to not kill me

Shifter raised the penultimate die, and held it to his eye. He shut his vision closed, and let it roll. Ting. Tiriiiiing. Only once it was settled did he take a peek. ”The Storm, always raging.” Ting. ”And the Assassin.”

This Twin exe doesn’t sit right with me Where is his defense? Only Coder has rallied And if they’re truly elim together, why haven’t they voted to kill me? So instead, I’ll vote Araris Valerian Let the fates decide A third die. A third roll. Tiing. Ting. Tiiiing. ”The King, high upon his throne.”

Shifter picked up the next die from the table, and admired it. He let it roll over his fingers, then flicked it into the air, and let it fall. This one bounced only four times. Ting. Ting. Tirrirrringggg. Ting. “The Soldier.”

Shifter let the dice slip from his hands. It hit the wood and bounced, five times. Ting. Ting. Ting. Ting. Tirinnnnnnnng. ”The Mage.”

The dice fell, and they rolled, and at last, they settled. It then became clear they didn’t have numbers; rather, each side was decorated with a different, intricately drawn character. Five sides. Five dice. Carefully, Shifter picked one up, and held it to his eye. “Have you ever heard of Eboncy? It is a game played in a sea far from here.” He nodded at Rane, and waved for others to join. “They say the Faces will decide your fate.”

I think mine is still right Shifter looked down for a long time. When he rose his head again, his eyes were wet. His hand went down to his belt, and when they rose again, they carried a small pouch, tied together with a slight piece of string. He tossed it onto the table alongside the blade, and it made a light clattering sound as it fell. "It's time to roll the dice."

Uhh bother explaining why that’s the case? I’d rather, yk, not get exed if I’m wrong about you Shifter nodded. While his face was hidden in shadow, a discerning eye would notice a light drop carving it’s way down his face. ”I’m sorry. But that will not be enough.”

Looking back at it - my evidence against you really isn't that strong It's mostly based on other people's analysis and your closeness with CD The problem is, I have no better candidates I am getting vibes from Araris, but I also got those vibes from Araris last game so I'm thinking it seems like just an Araris thing To be honest, I'm somewhat regretting PMing TUH and not you Shifter walked over to Rane. The other man had several people firing at him - but he held his ground. And his honor didn't seem to waver. Shifter recognized that. He had seen honor like that before; had lived it, once. And so he knew of its weight. The good feeling, the satisfaction he had been coasting on before, had faded. Shifter did not want to miss here. So instead, he did something... different. He strode up to the man with momentum, never pausing, until reaching the table Rane sat at. Then, in one quick movement, Shifter drew the blade from his waist - still in its scabbard - and laid it flat on the wood between them with a thump. For a second, all was silent. Even the seethe seemed to stand still. Then Shifter sat down as well. "You have two hours to convince me to kill someone else. Do not waste them."

I did sus Araris a little, and I still do, but not nearly as much as I sus TwinStorm, and I doubt they're likely to be elim together - although it is possible if CD isn't teamed with them, and Araris hopes to clear TwinStorm with CD's exe Also, VC, because someone had to do it: TwinStorm (3): Hoid, Jo, BelOh Araris (2): Twin, CD CD (1): Araris Hoid (1): Stink We're missing votes from @RoyalBeeMage and @The Unknown Hammerer Anyone wanna shake things up, or is this going to be a quiet rollover? For once, Shifter felt good. It was a rare feeling. But he liked it. He felt good about Rane, who had several things pointing to him as the elim. He didn't know what to think of thOmmAs, or William, or even Sozar, who others accused. But he was working on it. And he had tried to talk to Illi, although the man seemed to avoid him. And Roberto... Roberto was being Roberto. Shifter even felt good about Armiel. He wasn't entirely sure about the other man yet, but he was satisfied with where they were. And for now... that could be enough. Maybe it could all be enough.

… Do you have a point for voting me, by any chance? Not liking this in general, but I do get the sentiment and would be interested in hearing some more specific reasoning Ngl, this kinda feels like an easy cop out So real Can someone put together a VC?

Ahh ok Now I recognize THREE out of nineteen people

Dang it’s crazy looking at that and not recognizing a single name

Do we know the NK uses an action slot?

Wait You didn't? Oh wait no that was Bee Wait no I just misremembered Jo's analysis from last night badly M'bad, folks Oh yeah I mean, just cause the Theory is occasionally wrong doesn't mean it should be discarded No idea what you're saying here, but I agree with the conclusion