Mat

This is what I was at last cycle, so I somewhat sympathize. That's unrelated though as I'm voting you :P. ...Somewhat yeah, but I admit it doesn't make much sense.

I was just thinking the exe would be exactly the same as normal, like whoever has the most Poison at the end of the cycle dies. But idk. Yeah I think this thread is fine for this.

I don't know I honestly don't know I probably should just drop that Going back to Archer, I... don't know why I hopped off so fast :P. Good plan I'm gonna go eat now

Yes, you were. Whoops. Who do you have the most suspicions for?

No I was actually... really confused about that. And forgot to ask. Or maybe just forgot. It wasn't the size of the post, but the content of it. A lot was basically what I thought about a lot of things. But apparently I've been thinking like an elim this game, so maybe not.

The thing with TUO is that they... actually drew a line of Warding. Maybe I was too hasty removing my Archer vote though :P. The math involved removes elims, I think. Pretty sure it was assuming 16-17 people actually did it.

And have been explained adequately I've been sussing Connie the whole game and you haven't mentioned it. Illwei isn't even voting her I don't think.

You don't need to OOC talk in quote boxes here I count... one vote on you? So I wouldn't say it's everyone. I bet you have like a 5% chance of dying today. @Archer hey hey big surprise I really like that post of yours Archer. Especially pointing out Quinn's somewhat of a waste of chalk cause I thought basically the same thing as you put there. Which leads me to Connie... even though I had them at e/e? But stuff Illwei said makes sense and that post seemed village.

Hmm Exactly my problem xD From points about things, from smart votes, from gut. Idk. Aight okay. Makes sense. And clears a small issue I had in voting you But I'm still staying on Archer. I like math

Promised reads list: Gears: Here comes the question about whether elim!Gears would bring up them not submitting kills as a strat, which honestly makes a lot of sense. For now I'm good putting him at Mild Village for that + the reasonable contributions they've made Quinn: I think I'm good at reading Quinn. This game she seems to be tinfoiling as much as vil!her ever does, add that to my gut and the different theories/reasonings that seem villagery to me and we got another Village read. Ash: Coming from the person who gut-reads Ash as village no matter what: Slight Village. Though I did claim Acid Bucket to them way before I said it in thread, and I also told them I was using it, and I wasn't roleblocked, and they kept their word about informing the thread. Plus, I kinda think they're the Thief Lotus: Hasn't done anything other than RP, which is... typical. Null with a call for reads of some form. Books: Very Slight Elim for their voting pattern + connections to other elim reads (ie Archer) Archer: Strange voting patterns (that is, their votes have had hmmmm quality reasoning) plus connection to other elim reads (ie Connie, though I don't remember why I think this). Slight Elim Burnt: Haven't had any PMs with Burnt. Null. They seem a little... burnt out this game Ventyl: People are saying his votes were weird but honestly? I read it as village!Ventyl. Slight Village. Order: Drew a line of Warding, with no contradictions. Seems pretty Village to me... my gut goes a bit against them though so let's make that village Slight. Araris: Came up with a sensible RNG plan. Voted Gears which I... don't understand, but it's characteristic of Araris to stick with an early vote. Gut Village at this point. Plus a sensible Striker read I think, but I'll get into that... Striker: Hmmm idk because they seem village to me if only because of how hard they're sticking with elim!me and other theories like that and I think an elim would back off sooner than that- but the narrative seems so... wrong in my eyes cause I know I'm vil. So largely Null but I also would be fine with killing them even though I think they're vil. TWTBAW in my opinion but it's an instinct reaction to them tunneling on me xD Alvron: Alvron is Alvron is Null Shard of Reading: @Shard of Reading hellooooooo you normally are more active as a vil hellooooooo... Gut Very Slight Elim. Random Bystander: A normal sub-inactive new player profile. Null. I want to say vil like every other new player but Vasher/Doriyah taught me that's a bad plan Illwei: For some reason Illwei thinks I can read her well and I don't think I can cause they've been vil a lot lately and I just always put them as vil. So there's a difference between being able to read someone generally (Me with Quinn) and reading them as vil no matter what (Me with Ash) but I read them as gut Slight Elim this game so I really don't know. I wanna read them as vil because of the sudden train and almost AtE with them being tired this game but gut trumps all... TJ: I have no clue how TJ would play as an elim. They haven't been super active but I can't really judge that... while their vote on me was technically incorrectly reasoned it was correctly logically reasoned. Very Slight Village. Connie: I think there was also something in thread early D1, but Slight Elim from PMs. Slight connection to Archer though I... don't know why :P. Devotary: Agree with Ash's assessment of Devo, though it was only a read. Pretty Village, which by itself is almost strange cause I never can read Devo... Kasimir: Same as Order. Drew a Warding line and that has gone untested. Village. Mat: Obviously Strong Village, threw an Acid Bucket and is writing this very long reads list (in all seriousness a list by itself is not ai pls don't think it is though I wouldn't mind) Stink: Normal Null Stink, though Illwei thinks they're the Thief for some reason... Mist: Uhhh should I RNG my read? Null. That turned out longer than I planned. Whoops. TL;DR: Archer/Connie evilish (connection???) Illwei kinda evil, Reading and Books maybe evil. Quinn/Devo probably good, Ash as well. Ventyl also likely good. I don't like the Illwei train even though they're on my evil list soooooo idk about that but my vote is staying on Archer. I'd also be fine with Connie and debatably Striker though that's complicated I'd like to see more from Reading, @Random Bystander, and @Lotus

Fair, though it’s also easy to be over-careful about what you say as an elim. If Illwei flips elim I’d definitely look more at Quinn. Ash pointed out that Illwei voted Dannex way before anyone else, which is important. It’s fairly annoying, actually

I’m actually suspicious of Archer-Connie. Archer said to me in a PM that he thought one of Illwei/Connie was an elim and voted Illwei for... shaky reasoning at best. Edit: Granted, most of my Connie read comes from our PM, so Archer might not have had anything anyway :P.

Woah woah buddy halt that tinfoil I mean, Illwei was kind of hard-claiming non-rithmatist at that point, so large grain of salt there... though if they have a Specialization that's pretty darn conflicting, is it not? Why would Quinn say that if the elims are the ones with those Specializations? That seems kinda backwards from what makes sense, if the elims had Specializations they'd want to distract from those as much as possible. I'd expect someone always to be against a shrek so suspecting the people defending me cause you elim read me probably isn't fair. I used an Acid Bucket, so :P. Anyway, that's quite the narrative you've created. Which falls apart in that 1. I'm village, 2. I think Quinn is village, 3. Illwei apparently relies on that. Feeling better about not voting Illwei now. I probably would be okay with killing Striker...

I somewhat agree with Illwei but yikes that train looks ungood Striker almost seems TWTBAW honestly I don’t know what to think about it

Disagreeing here, cause with your Lantern and the amount of chalk left and such we likely can get pretty close. I doubt there was a lot of line activity other than Warding so a rough estimate likely would be safe, maybe a slight overestimate for the more paranoid players. Also, Archer. I’ll post a reads list tonight (hopefully) which should have reasoning but I do think I’ve mentioned something before.

Uhhhh Anyone got any action results to report?

I mean, the thief doesn’t start with chalk...

Aight, for defense RNGing you probably shouldn’t use 1/4 odds if we want to save chalk. We don’t need as many successes thanks to my Acid I laid so 1/5 or maybe even 1/6 should suffice, especially since the strength is only 2.

The Thief, right? I mean, who else could it be. I really shouldn't be alive :P. Edit: @Illwei, Ventyl happened :P.

sigh I wish that didn't have to have happened for me to live :/ That's a lot of items taken to analyze but I'll do that later I didn't know we got the strength of the chalklings though so that's nice edit: @Ashbringer it doesn't look like there was manip on me...

hey you can't blame me if he flips vil

Dannex (5): Ash, Burnt, Me, Illwei, Quinn Me (4): You, TJ, Ventyl, Books Gears (3): Kas, Araris, Stink Everyone else doesn't matter at this point

Dannex It's a Bucket of Acid. My other item, that is. If I die, goodbye :P. I think this was the universe telling me to get off the Shard cause I wasn't gonna play this game originally. I guess the D1 misexe was a new experience that I needed to have eventually . Good luck. If I survive... so be it. I wish we didn't have to kill an inactive to do so.

With the insistence certain people have been pushing me I find that unlikely. And as it stands now even if I draw a line it will be tied and that's nothing that is sure to save me.

And even if I survive, then what? It's not like everyone will forget about me tomorrow or anything and I would have wasted a chalk. Might as well go to the Supply.