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Fifth Scholar

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Everything posted by Fifth Scholar

  1. Fifth Scholar
    Eight pages. Some remarkable restraint! We'll be sure to give you more to discuss after this short break Cycle is closed.
  2. Fifth Scholar
  3. Fifth Scholar
    THATS IT. ENOUGH
  4. Fifth Scholar
    Laßt ihn, haltet, bindet nicht! Also, I like how all of this conversation is assuming that I have not been here as a designated authority At any rate, signups are closed, you lot. Expect a PM soon-ish.
  5. Fifth Scholar
    Always a pedant, isn’t there
  6. Fifth Scholar
    It does.
  7. Fifth Scholar
    Edit: Signups close in less than 24 hours! Take the path of wisdom before you which Cinnamon has so clearly displayed.
  8. Fifth Scholar
    You can spectate. I am not Kasimir, but feel compelled to warn you on his behalf that this game should under no circumstances be signed up for by a rational person.
  9. Fifth Scholar
  10. Fifth Scholar
    You are all deluded. You should not play this game. But, for those with sufficient folly: welcome. We are so happy to have you.
  11. Fifth Scholar
    Nah this distro is cursed because this team would self-destruct almost immediately and given how much Mat and Aman and I cage-shuffle-squatted this game…like, imagine beginning of C3 but we’re all evil. Would have been harder to swing totally would’ve had a blast though
  12. Fifth Scholar
    A little AG2 reminder is always in order. Can’t discount the lower active folks for their low activity. Well trolled, Szeth and Araris, and well played to the Elims for keeping your heads down. In hindsight basically all my initial gut reads were on point but they were so improbable that I ignored them anyways Many of my thoughts are in the dead doc re: distro, but in future I think having a bigger IC/elim ratio is important under this setup. Otherwise I can’t really complain—in the end, we were outnumbered fair and square. RIP the village analysts screaming their heads off. Should’ve looked at TUN more closely off the Silver flip. Also, this is in the dead doc but I am re-upping it nonetheless Hopefully this game doesn’t give all of us nightmares going forward >>
  13. Fifth Scholar
    My reread was not as productive as it could have been. Paranoia is starting to tingle for me on Stick in the event of a v!Aman world, and possibly irrespective of his alignment. It’s interesting how much of a contrast D1!aman is with D2!aman. I village read the former heavily and elim read the latter. Current mood on Devo
  14. Fifth Scholar
    Almond is on me now so I am in the lead, but otherwise I think this is right. Not sure what it says that our entire trio from last cycle is stable on you. Also not sure how I feel about Nerdy’s vote on Xino. Hmph. Guess I should actually get on that analysis >>
  15. Fifth Scholar
    LG74 is always brought up, but QF45 was probably my quintessential elim game so go check there if you want to look at my voting patterns re: teammates I did put Mint in the lead a couple times before breaking off her at the end so your theory isn’t a terrible one, except for the fact that I’m village and very confused Also a little perplexed by your statements here? You express a desire to die yet seem to think it odd that I am not switching over to Xino. Trying to honour your own request here and get the data I want for my analysis >> If the choice does come down between Xino and myself then obviously I’m going to vote out Xino, but I still prefer your death to anything else for now If a less lazy person could provide a vote count that would be great edit: I do think a disadvantage of this cycle’s Exe pattern has been the low incentive to engage from the people not in the core EoD group yesterday.
  16. Fifth Scholar
    In v!Aman world, we either have a very straightforward elim team (Xino/Nerdy) or a very gambit-happy, bussing one (Hael/Stick). Mat could maybe fit on either of them and I just want to make sure he’s not ignored because that’s how games get lost. My paranoia right now knows no bounds, and I am partially blaming lack of PMs and partially blaming lack of flips. Xino is a much more solid suspicion than the rest of these, though I am feeling increasingly weird about Stick. Gonna try and do that reread so my thoughts align more with logic and less with half-remembered impressions and over-reliance on C2 EoD analysis. also bro please sleep >>
  17. Fifth Scholar
    Thank you for your interest in my death! Please leave your username, a reason for voting, and three other suspicions or thoughts of yours on the notepad below. If you choose, you may also answer the previous survey question about who you will examine in an e!Fifth and v!Fifth flip, respectively. All the Aman stuff and trying to read into the subtext of what is happening is where I wish we had PMs this game but that’s a bridge to cross another time >> I get the feeling that an Aman Exe being averted is going to come down on my head so if that is the case and y’all do not revise a v!Aman read, then please do me a favour and string up Xino and Nerdy, and at least commit to re-examining Mat and Hael and Stick. I’m gonna try to give my C1-2 thoughts if I can before the cycle closes, but my willpower to do analysis is low right now so do not be surprised if it doesn’t materialise. In any case I wish this was a normal discussion of suspicions and votes and posts instead of whatever this has morphed into that I feel like I can’t contribute to without stirring up something >>
  18. Fifth Scholar
    Very compact thoughts on this stuff: in a v!Aman world, I am almost forced to assume v!Mat from Aman’s own analysis, as well as some degree of common sense, which means that somehow all three of us are clear barring me dramatically misreading Mat. This makes the vote count and switching at EoD make absolutely no sense unless the elim team is all inactive, or it contains Nerdy. If it contains Nerdy, I might have to revisit some of my clears, particularly Hael. I really don’t want this world to exist but it’s looking more possible, so piecing together teams there is painful. I almost wonder if both Stick and Hael would be evil in that world, but they would have also risked getting caught on the “wrong side of the wagon” D2. It seems too improbable, so I’m going to go Occam’s Razor and deal with the Aman question first. His posts later today are giving me pause, but they’re also of such a nature that it doesn’t make sense not to kill him, and leaving him unflipped is probably going to raise Braize unless we flip me or Nerdy first. I don’t think Nerdy should be flipped before Aman, and obviously would rather not die myself. In the case of v!Aman tomorrow I will also resist my Exe because it’s not productive for me to lie down and die and give the village no discussion, but I would understand being killed. I shouldn’t play chaotic with no information. It’s a bad strategy, and if Aman is telling the truth, it screwed him up enough to result in actions which put suspicion on two villagers. If Aman is evil (which…gah I don’t know if it’s more likely at this point but it’s probably more likely than anyone else I could think of) this is much simpler. We clear Nerdy and start looking into people like Xino. I would ask those voting on me right now to give clarification on what specifically they hope to gain from my Exe in both a v! Fifth and e!Fifth world—I also really don’t think my votes last cycle merit the lynch pressure I’m currently facing, but more reasoning would be helpful in addressing why my actions are as a whole more suspicious or beneficial to e!Silver than Aman’s.
  19. Fifth Scholar
    The initial Xino—>Aman shift happened because I wanted to vote where I had some semblance of conviction rather than just trusting meta points made against Xino earlier. With Aman on Silver at the time, I distrusted the wagon, and decided to vote at the source of my gut read against him rather than trying to flip Nerdy who was getting strung up for reasons I had missed in my very quick reread, or Xino whose only votes were from semiactives who seemed to be following the analysis of players who had long since left Xino behind. Hm? I could have jumped back to Nerdy to offset Hael had I wanted to Also, I noted Hael as cleared at the beginning of the cycle because that was my read that had actually changed—as I think I noted in my rushed C2 posts, I felt good about you and Kas prior to the Silver flip.
  20. Fifth Scholar
    What is giving you v! Bookwyrm credence? I’m cool with a Xino Exe even though I would really prefer to resolve the Aman situation, but I thought Book would be under review for the Nerdy vote if nothing else.
  21. Fifth Scholar
    E!read Aman, ambivalence on Mat actually because I think there’s an outside chance he and Aman are paired and tried to pull an MR33 with the votes, but given how they’re going at each other hammer and tongs right now I’m gonna say that yeah, he’s probably village, and if this is some master distancing plan, they fooled me. More willing to examine Mat in light of a v!Aman flip but I find that likelihood low, and I also feel like I’d get shrekked before him in that world anyway >>
  22. Fifth Scholar
    Me to @Matrim's Dice
  23. Fifth Scholar
    Thanks for the EoD summary. I am pretty willing to clear the entire Silver wagon—Kas, Devo and Stick were already village reads, and unless it was a *very* clever pre-arranged bus there’s no way to read Hael’s vote as not-village. If you and Aman both flip Village we can start talking buses but there’s zero reason to doubt them now, yeah. Have read Aman’s post and am convinced that what he *said* over the course of the cycle matters less than his final vote. When the chips were down, he was pushing Nerdy over Silver. Also I’m not letting this historical revisionism go unchallenged Stick and Kas’ votes were pretty much hammers. “No need” to switch back isn’t something you’d have had a ton of time to actually decide on. You ended with a vote on Nerdy, the main counter-wagon. Also, my Silver vote lasted for about five minutes. If I was intending to shotgun the shrek ahead of everything else and make panic, I had no reason to immediately rescind and make it close with a Xino vote almost immediately thereafter. I’d have stayed on Silver. It doesn’t work otherwise
  24. Fifth Scholar
    See this is funny because I think you are evil and that Mat is your most likely teammate out of everyone that was on at EoD—logically, he would try to split the opposition vote between you and avoid a vote on both Silver (a teammate) and Nerdy (an obvious counter-Exe if we ever flipped Silver which you were already on). That said, my credence in e!you is way higher than in e!Mat. I don’t see any other explanation for EoD yesterday without you being evil, unless you want to postulate that Stick and Hael were bussing. (I mean, I’d consider it, but I think @Kasimir will kill me if I don’t cut back on the tinfoil. ) meditate: this is complicated somewhat by Mat voting on you this cycle tbf but I am not putting a ton of credence in that since we’re not even an hour in
  25. Fifth Scholar
    Hail Kas’ RNG (and his actual analysis I guess) Tempted to throw an immediate vote on Aman but I need to reread yesterday’s EoD because several people were not looking great from it. I do think Hael is clear now.
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