Through the living Wahr

I would say N3 Was the best Option since at that point the elims would know if they want to keep the Pool of softcleared viallgers small (by killing a confirmed villager) because they won the loop or if they wanted to increas the Pool for elim suspects (by killing someone with unknow allignment) because they had already lost the loop anyway. So I did the Math, with the following assumptions: a) All NKs Hit villagers b) the selection which Player is exed is truly random In that case the elims had a chance of 50,7% to win L1 74,5% to win L2,3,4 So I know that those are very basic calculations and they do absolutely not Account for Previous loop results (like confirmed villagers), Bremen mask, and social Interaction nor do they accurately represent L1 results (with multiple skipped NKs) But Its late and I cant be bothered to do more Math In conclusion Stick is right L1 is the best to throw for elims as it is easiest for Village to win no matter what and so a smaller loss for elims not to mention no hard cleared villagers for the following Loops

Thanks, I would say understanding the mechanics of the Game and how thigs will interact with stuff is more so my strong suit than getting reliable social reads, I am going mostly of of vibes in that regarde -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RP stuff to get more Rupees: Most of the evacutaed people hat set up camp near a Goron Smithy, It was definitely to cold here up n the mountains , he had heard that a bit further up the mountain, there were some hot springs, but the prices to enter were apparently quite high and Wahi had only a handfull of Rupees. When Sakons wagons moved towards the Goron village, Wahi had stayed back with the other Townsfolk, he had picked up a Sword from the Weapons Rack and was training some basic Moves, he wanted to be able to defend his live and that of the other Townsfolk, he may not know them very well, but maybe he could build a new life here with new friends, maybe his constant Nightmares about dying in a terrible Storm or drowning in a swamp would fade with time.

Because if they loose the Cycle every confirmed villager in the pool of dead people is one less suspect. If all 6 kills happen and we win the loop, there are at least 2 elims in 6 people, if they killed confirmed villagers, the pool of suspects would be reduced, meaning its more likely we find the elims. Yes, if they managed to win the cycle there would be less soft cleared villagers but I dont think thats as important because we cannot fully trust the dead form this loop and beyond as there could always be an elim between them. I think if they would go for a cleared villager they would do so N3 when they know what would be more usefull for them less soft cleared villagers or more suspects The people I trust the least for now are Coco, Araris and Mistfallen but thats mostly vibes and the voting results from L1. I also do not trust Doc on principle. For now I think I go with Araris out of my three main suspects purely to get some sort of Train going

It was cold when they left the city throug the North Gate, Wahi had thought about bringing a Weapon but not about something warm to wear, he stayed near the Supply Wagons in case anything happened, he had the feeling the next day would not be uneventfull

No all three os us that died last Loop are vilagers, because for every living elim there needs to be at least 2,5 living villagers for us to win the loop, the elims won the last loop, which means there were less than 2,5 living villagers for every living elim. If one elim died last loop there would be 3 elims, meaning there would need to be less than 7,5 (3x2,5) living villagers, which isnt possible with only three dead people, especially if one of them were an elim so there would only be 2 villager deaths and 10 surviving ones which is langer than 7,5 so we coulnt have lost last loop if we kill an elim, ergo all three of us that died are villagers.

I wouldnt gain anything from lying, If I had the Postmanns Hat, lying about it wouldnt harm you very much but put me in Danger if you go through with your Plan. Lying about Blastmask wouldnt gain me much because it would mean your scheme will kill me as well as one other Person. either way I wouldnt actually harm you in any way so why would I lie?

@Mistfallen Soldier I have neither ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As Wahi heard the explosion he decided to run, there wasnt anything he could do if he stayed and investigated it, so he made his way towards the North gate. He didnt want to be in the Town if anything else started exploding, because being were the explosions were, was generally not good for survival and Wahi wanted to survive (if anyone on their way to the Northgate wants to interact with Wahi go for it)

The village needs at least a times 2,5 parity to win the loop meaning for every elim alive there needs to be 2,5 villagers alive at the end of the Loop. Now the first lines of my two calculations show: Number of surviving elims times 2,5 equals the threshold for our Win, the elims want us lower than that. The second lines of my two calculations show: Number of total villagers minus killed villagers equals maximum number of survivng villagers for an Elim win this loop Hope that helps

If we kill no elim they need 3 kills again: 4 x 2,5 = 10 12 - 3 = 9 If we kill one elim they need 5 kills 3 x 2,5 = 7,5 12 - 5 = 7 @Archer

So there are a lot of People thinking that Mistfallen is village, I have to admit i do not fully trust them, but removing my Vote right now would create a tie with a Stick and therefore kill her (at least if Mist is right, I didnt track Rupees) I do trust Stick more than Mist though, so my Vote stays for now, unless an Option appears were another Person I do no trust would get exed. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- After geting something to eat as well as aquiring a Knife, Wahi walked down a street as he spotted a person that seemed oddly familiar, he was unsure if he should approach them because it seemed like there mood wasnt the best, but decided to approach them anyway. "Hi, I dont want to bother you, but you seem familiar, do we know each other? My memories are a bit fuzzy today, and It seems like I am remembering things that haven happened"

Hi Drake

@Archer I haven't noticed the codeword in thread, and after using the search function it didnt come up either, so I would say that it was a) not in use or b) the Person didnt want to reveal that he had it. Though I guess it is possible that the person misspelled the word and it therefore wasnt picked up by the Search function and I simply missed it. @Ashbringer @The Unknown Medallion did you notice something that I missed?

Wahi awoke, drenched in sweat, the last thing he remembered was being pushed from a boat into the Water and drowned, why was he alive again? It didnt make sense. Wahi decided to get up, and look if he could find something to eat and find out what happened. If his weird new memories where anything to go by he should probably get something he could defend himself with as well. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I agree with that opinion, although it could create a paradox if multiple of us (confirmed good players and therefore confirmed right players) have differing opinions which contradict oneanother So I looked throught the voting results of last loop I know I am leaving out all Votes that were placed during the Day and changed, but I feel like the last Vote is the one that is actually important here So Coco and Mistfallen are the two players that voted on two confirmed villagers, I am wary of both of them for obvoius reasons but am more wary of Mistfallen, for the reasons Araris has already laid out, he was voted on by two villagers and was part of the execution of both

Based on trying to move attention away from Archer and generall thread controll: Both Doc and Divergent wanted to move the discussion away fromthose two, and while it the village shouldnt be hyper focused on few Players from the very start that could also mean that one of them just doesnt want a teammate out. As Divergent was a lot more active than Doc, I would lean more towards him. Mistfallen has been extremely active and was never very concerned with Archer, also he has voiced suspicions for quite a lot of people. But I might be a bit biased here because of his aggresion towards me, not just voting me out but generally suspecting me of being an elim. (this is not just another retaliation Vote) The reasons for why I dont want to be voted out are listed later. @Araris Valerian could you be so kind and rescind your vote from me? Since you realy only put it on from a Misunderstanding I never said I Voted Ashbringer for only RP, I voted him for because he only did RP, I voted for him because he put in a bare minimum form of participation. So my reasoning for moving off of him for saying he was busy irl does make sense. Regarding may Playstyle, yes I might be playing diffrently than last game, but I dont think one game is a good basis to determine a usual playstyle for a Player. Also as I told Archer before I am still figuring thinks out so my Playstyle wont be completely consistent. I might be a bit defensive, because multiple people suspect me of being an elim, which i am not. Also I think you are making a biger deal out of that Vote than any other people. Archer wasnt very concerned with it, and Wonko who brought it first up didnt made that big of a deal out of it. So yes death isnt as bad in this game as in others but, you have to consider that if we win the cycle, which is what we are going for, I will be one of a maximum of four suspects for an elim. That is not something a Villager would want. Also I might be trying for a good Mask L2, which wont work if I loose rupees. Or maybe I have already a mask. there are reasons one wouldnt want to be exed besides being an Elim. The retaliation Vote on Archer, I backed out of because he removed his Vote from me, there was no reason to keep it on him. I removed my Vote on Ashbringer because he gave Valid reasoning for his low activity, which was the reason I voted him. After voicing my suspicions on Archer I didnt place a Vote directly on him because I wanted to give him the Option to respond, which he did. I am not a big fan of his reasoning so I am still wary of him, but I was not sure if it actually was enough to place my Vote back on him. So one Vote leads to another which leads eventually to execution which I dont want for the reasons listed earlier.

Would you mind giving examples what weird/elimy Moves I did? I know that you had Issues with my retaliation Vote on Archer, but what else do you mean?

Hi @Stick. I think thats a bit mean. Seeing as your Read on Honor was purely based on their inactivity which now seems more like actual Irl stuff than Game stuff.

All good misunderstandings can happen and I realize I could probably have articulated my thoughts better. You could always rescind your Vote and figure out later who to put it on. That Reasoning seems logical, if they are under fire they would want to inflate the pool of possible suspects as much as possible, in case one of them gets exed. However the skiped NK would be more informative if they skiped N2 since we would have voting paterns to go by. With it Skipping N1 we dont have much to go by as C1 was pretty tame with lots of RP and generall strategy, yes Wonko and Archer were a bit under fire for essential giving the Elims strategy options, but if I remember correctly (dont have time to check right now) that fire wasnt super serious and the Elims might have planed that the skipped NK may: a) divert attention away from either Wonko or Archer Or b) that they would have enough time in 48h to get a Villager exed

You have misunderstood me, its not what you did or gave reasons for, its a list of the people Archer voted for this Day in chronological Order and the Reasons he gave in the respective post for why he voted them.

For now I am inclined to believe you, that your low activity is due to Irl stuff and so I will rescind my Vote for now Ashbringer Also did anyone else notice how Archers Vote jumped a lot more around than anyone elses without much reasons given? 1: Me: because of higher activity than last game and because I brought up Skipable NK which did happen 2: TUM: sus RP post (didnt have any dialogue) admitted in the post that it was probably nothing 3: Burnt: no reason given 4: Araris: Again no reasoning even after Questioning from another Players 5: Honor: again no real reason in his post, especially wierd after multiple players voiced their reluctance to vote more inactive players because there wasnt much to judge and they wouldnt be very usefull if cleared. It is not impossible that I overloked reasonings given in follow up Posts, Also I want to wait for @Archer's response respons to this before placing my Vote

well it was just a retaliation Vote, and you may have noticed that i have withdrawn it already And what exactly make you so sus of retaliation votes? I dont think it was that big of a jump, the memory of it was still relatively fresh and I was looking if I could see potential holes in the proposed strategy, Also I noticed that Ash has been relatively quiet, he has 3 RP post (one per turn) and his discussion amoun to: "no room for error will probably result in errors" "what if rupees are kept after death?" "Never mind they arent?" I know that Honor and TJ have been even more absent, but TJs updates on being busy right now strike me as genuine, and I find Honors complete lack of participation less suspicious as Ashbringers, because at first glance there is engagement from him, but it doesnt amount to anything. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RP: The Group was moving again, seemingly towards a Deku settlement, hopefully they had a Doctor there, or he would find one in the group of people, Thistles herb still numbed the Pain in Wahis Knee and Arm, but he didnt knew how long the effect would hold, it seemed like that it was less effective now then after taking it, the splint holding his broken arm was functional but he noticed that it was a makeshift one. After a short bit of travel a lot of strange and dangerous wild life attacked the tross of people travelling toward the Deku settlement, Wahi moved towards the center of the Group, he wouldnt be much help in fighting those things, as he rellay didnt know anything he also didnt know how to fight, at least he thought so, it was possible that he had once known how to fight and that it woud come instinctively but even then, with a broken arm he would be more a danger to himself and others than any actually help

You were the one that initiated it though So, since I voted you as retaliation for you voting me, I too will rescind my Vote on Archer. That being Said, I now need to figure out who else I will vote on, but I will need to take another look at the current day to determine who I will place my Vote on

I think the rule change was mentioned in the Sign Up Post, because most people signing up said that they werent familiar with the setting and Aman wanted to make it easier for usthem and not forcing peope to roleplay who didnt know the setting I thin Villagers will als care about getting maxium rupees for two reasons: a) the abillity to send PMs b) getting important roles for the Village. If the Village doesnt care about getting Rupees, the Village Players have access to potentially fewer and weaker masks, which is bad for us Do you have some sort of Vendetta against me? In every game we played together (granted that this is only the second, but still) you voted for me the first Day that you could, but this time, I will vote you back Archer I dont remember how much was said about the NK in the rules for 16 Players, so I assumed it would probably function like the other game I played, where the Elims had to submitt it as an action, and if no one submitts one the NK would be Skipped Well yeah the only other game I played here had the option of skipable NK, so I dont think its weird for me to assume thats the case this time around as well, especially if the rules didnt say otherwise. Yes for anyone who doesnt know, i am europe based, so the time around rollover is middle of the night for me, which means I probably wont post in the first and last few hours of a turn. Regarding my posting Volume, the other Game I played was my first Game on here, so I am still figuring out my playstyle, also, last time I was a Vanilla, this time around, I have a bit of Controll if I get a role and what role I get, so I am trying to get many rupees to get a role and help the village. I dont think theres something wrong with that. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wahi was exausted, he and Kieran hadnt managed to find a Doctor in the crowd, and then the evacuation started, he was tahnkfull for Thistles herb, even though it only numbed the pain in his arm and knee. Currently he sat at the side of the road, one of the Dekus, at least he thought that thats what they were called, he didnt knew, but others refered to them as such, had splinted his arm but he would need to find an actual doctor (I think that broken Arm will be a considerable part of my RP this Loop)

Right, I forgot, so that would reduce the amount of maximum possible Rupees in N1D by 12, meaning Fierce Deity is only possible for the Tiebreaker Day

Ok so then lets redo the Fierce Deity Mask math: L1: (post) 10-5+30+48=83 L2: (bunny) -5+30*1,5=40 L3: (post) -5+30+48=73 L4: (bunny) -5+30*1,5=40 N1B: 94 N1C: 144 N1D: 206 In Conclusion the Fierce Deity will only be in Play during L4 Feel free to double check my math, I am not very confident if its correct

"I think walking should be doable, the wound at my knee isnt very deep, it mostly just hurts" I say as I follow Kieran