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Creccio

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Everything posted by Creccio

  1. I am sorry to hear that. Really sorry. I lost an 8 year friendship once, I can relate to how you feel
  2. Nowhere actually... @Polk Typos are the bane of my existence, i meant 1 Skaa copper. Anyway, if you are a copper it would make 3 coppers for the town, which STILL makes sense, because out the the about 11 targets, you could copper 3 and still have 8 viable targets. That is assuming the Skaa Rioter targets the same person as you AND that person burns. if we make those probabilities 0.5 each we get 0.5^3 which comes out to 0.125, or 12% chance for the coppers to actually work. Coupled with player bias to burn or not, and what metal they have, it goes down to well under 10%. And that is saying they target the same person, and out of 11, that is a tall order. 3 coppers seems completely fine. I see a 10% chance to cancel 3 off the skaa team is a pretty good chance... ( Riot, Sooth or Seek). Ripple, I do believe it is you. I will have to kill you once again it seems. Edit: Added a sentence for the math >_>
  3. That looks nasty, it must be true.
  4. How far into math are you Hael?
  5. Just once... right?
  6. Really? I cant see my bros doing that... I am so sad, I hope it gets better, just look down and hope it gets better
  7. If you need help shoot me a PM
  8. You just write SIFWH and hope it works.
  9. What? Just avoid trouble and stand up for what you believe. If you get in trouble for that, you atleast are doing what you believe
  10. HoneyBadger Also, I posted my reasoning on Ripple last cycle, i can put it forward again if need be. Actually, what am I doing? Why vote for the inactive who cant affect decisions... sigh, silly Creccio Ripple RippleGylf (Marie Lepinceau) - Inquisitor Soother Mailliw73 (Milon Bulvier) - Inquisitor Rioter Alvom Halbin (Andierre Reynaud) - Inquisitor Pewterarm Araris Valerian (Arad Penrod) - Inquisitor Seeker Sart (Mar) - Inquisitor Lurcher Shallan (Citona Vinid) - Skaa Coppercloud The Only Joe (Joel Tormander) - Inquisitor Tineye Orlok (Locke Tekiel) - Inquisitor Pewterarm Alvron (Jak) - Inquisitor Lurcher TheMightyLopen (Kellam Lyre) - Skaa Seeker Wyrmhero (Wyrm Heron) - Inquisitor Seeker Kipper (Kipper) - Inquisitor Lurcher Alfa (Ashbringer Fadraux) - Skaa Pewterarm Deathclutch10 (Shi Kuratchi) - Inquisitor Coinshot Zephrer (Serech of House Huxer) - Inquisitor Augur Clanky (Lan) - Inquisitor Coppercloud Winter Cloud (Sophia Erikell) - Skaa Soother If we count the number of roles and how they have been distributed, I believe that my assumption on Ripple is correct and Books being a coppercloud is not too far out of imagination. We can see the village has: 2 Pewterarms: This grants decent protection against kills and can save a night for the village unless they get role blocked. The Skaa have 1 in case of coinshot, they can protect themselves. 1 Soother village soother and 1 Skaa Soother. Not surprising. each can cancel the other team action under the right circumstance. I believe Coco is a Soother. Making it also 2 for Village and 1 for Skaa We have 2 Seekers, and they also have one Seeker. Which makes it, 2 for he village and 1 for the Skaa...again. I believe in Meandbooks. He IS a coppercloud and that, coupled with clanky would have made 2 for the village and 3 for the Skaa. Can we see a pattern here? Just based on the information above and the pattern followed by not 1, but by ALL the Skaa team it is safe to assume that the Skaa team have also a Zinc player to disrupt actions like Seeking/Coins in case they were out of charges of soothing totally or they somehow got information of who is shooting the coin. Also, out of the mentioned above, only the Soother and the Seeker can be successful Riots for the town Rioters. That would render the Town Riots on the Skaa team to be completely useless, but if we see the Village composition, there is plenty of targets to choose from. There are 3 lurchers, 2 coinshots, 2 seekrs and 2 soothers 2 rioters, for a total of 11 targets, and saying it is Ripple and Honey, that would make 6 Skaa. 26 total players - 6 (they wont use it on themsleves) = 20 - 11 = 9 players the Riot would have no effect on. Of those 9, there is Tin which would only know they got Rioted and nothing more. Pewter in which nothing Happens and Coopers, which cant even be targeted by. Good to mention here before i get my math called out, I did not consider golds or Atium, why? mainly because i just dont have all the information regarding who has said metals but yea, math still checks out if we add gold and atium would just kill them on the spot so yea... So, that is really fast my reasoning as of why I think Ripple's Zinc is Skaa Zinc. Books and the other actives, please lynch Ripple for being a Skaa Rioter based on game composition and Honey Badger based on inactivity. I know this is really meta-gamey but, after some backtracing and reading it works.... Please trust in me as much as I trust in you guys <3 Books, PLEASE vote with me.
  11. Thats Ok, Coco will be sacrificied to Gamma... ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RippleGylf (Marie Lepinceau) - Inquisitor Soother Mailliw73 (Milon Bulvier) - Inquisitor Rioter Alvom Halbin (Andierre Reynaud) - Inquisitor Pewterarm Araris Valerian (Arad Penrod) - Inquisitor Seeker Sart (Mar) - Inquisitor Lurcher Shallan (Citona Vinid) - Skaa Coppercloud The Only Joe (Joel Tormander) - Inquisitor Tineye Orlok (Locke Tekiel) - Inquisitor Pewterarm Alvron (Jak) - Inquisitor Lurcher TheMightyLopen (Kellam Lyre) - Skaa Seeker Wyrmhero (Wyrm Heron) - Inquisitor Seeker Kipper (Kipper) - Inquisitor Lurcher Alfa (Ashbringer Fadraux) - Skaa Pewterarm Deathclutch10 (Shi Kuratchi) - Inquisitor Coinshot Zephrer (Serech of House Huxer) - Inquisitor Augur Clanky (Lan) - Inquisitor Coppercloud Winter Cloud (Sophia Erikell) - Skaa Soother If we count the number of roles and how they have been distributed, I believe that my assumption on Ripple is correct and Books being a coppercloud is not too far out of imagination. We can see the village has: 2 Pewterarms: This grants decent protection against kills and can save a night for the village unless they get role blocked. The Skaa have 1 in case of coinshot, they can protect themselves. 1 Soother village soother and 1 Skaa Soother. Not surprising. each can cancel the other team action under the right circumstance. I believe Coco is a Soother. Making it also 2 for Village and 1 for Skaa We have 2 Seekers, and they also have one Seeker. Which makes it, 2 for he village and 1 for the Skaa...again. I believe in Meandbooks. He IS a coppercloud and that, coupled with clanky would have made 2 for the village and 3 for the Skaa. Can we see a pattern here? Just based on the information above and the pattern followed by not 1, but by ALL the Skaa team it is safe to assume that the Skaa team have also a Zinc player to disrupt actions like Seeking/Coins in case they were out of charges of soothing totally or they somehow got information of who is shooting the coin. Also, out of the mentioned above, only the Soother and the Seeker can be successful Riots for the town Rioters. That would render the Town Riots on the Skaa team to be completely useless, but if we see the Village composition, there is plenty of targets to choose from. There are 3 lurchers, 2 coinshots, 2 seekrs and 2 soothers 2 rioters, for a total of 11 targets, and saying it is Ripple and Honey, that would make 6 Skaa. 26 total players - 6 (they wont use it on themsleves) = 20 - 11 = 9 players the Riot would have no effect on. Of those 9, there is Tin which would only know they got Rioted and nothing more. Pewter in which nothing Happens and Coopers, which cant even be targeted by. Good to mention here before i get my math called out, I did not consider golds or Atium, why? mainly because i just dont have all the information regarding who has said metals but yea, math still checks out if we add gold and atium would just kill them on the spot so yea... So, that is really fast my reasoning as of why I think Ripple's Zinc is Skaa Zinc. I am going to die tonight for sure, but that is ok. Stink, Books and the other actives, please lynch Ripple for being a Skaa Rioter based on game composition and Honey Badger based on inactivity. I know this is really meta-gamey but, after some backtracing and reading it works.... Please trust in me as much as I trust in you guys <3 EDIT: Disclaimer.. I might be wrong and If i dont die tonight I will have to rethink this
  12. My goal right now is to kill said Skaa. Right at this moment er are killing Nico because of reasons... But... I believe Honey is Skaa because He is truly AFK from the game You because you are Zinc and I am Zinc and Mail was Zinc, no way 3 zincs on the same team. Also Ripple, If you feel so inclined, lets vote for Honey, shall we? Or do you have any specific reason for Nico? Both Honey and Nico are not contributing at this point
  13. Monster on Monster on Your Altitude Yacht WHYLYNCHME
  14. Yea... We should just lynch everyone at this point. I want to be the only Zinc alive to be honest, fun times will be fun. We can lynch coco today, thats' a thing, just get Ripple and the Inactives. The only TRUE inactive which i havent seen even in the long game is: Honey Badger The others are active elsewhere, so they could pm the kill. Final say for me: Coco(for teh lulz) Badger-Skaa RippleSkaa Phatt Mistborn Polking Books Stink Me Kill us from top to bottom and we good.
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