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So, Rhythms of War is in the books. Where do things now stand? How are the humans doing compared to before ROW? For Starters they have two Bondsmiths. The Tower is now fully functioning. Navani has made lots of break throughs with fabrial technology. Kaladin is of the fourth ideal. Shallan must be getting close if not there already. Why do I mention Radiants of the fourth ideal? I mean int he grand scheme of things one or two people can't change the outcome of a war right? Well, Radiants of the 4th ideal seem to give the enemy pause, and are much harder to kill. The enemy finds them so imposing that they wanted Jasnah out of the tower before they attacked. Team Radiant has captured Emul.

 

On the other side of things, the enemy has for the most part, caught up with fabrial technology. Or at the very both sides now have access to anti-voidlight and anti-stormlight. Some of Rabonials knowledge likely died with her. I'm not sure how many human casualties there were when the Tower was taken, but loss of life certainly was in favor of the fused. But on the other side, we don't know how many fused and regals died once Navani bonded the sibling. 

Overall, if before it was 80% chance of Odium winning the war I would now arbitrarily weight it as follows

  • Radiants of the Fourth Ideal, +4
  • More Honor Spren willing to Bond (a few ink spren may also join the fight), +10
  • Bonding the Sibling and fully functioning Tower, +10
  • Killing the leading Rabonial and the Pursuer, +4
  • Getting rid of Taravangian as a spy, +4
  • A new Odium, (could be good or bad) we don't know that Odium wants to destroy mankind now that the vessel has changed, only that he wants to be free. (+/- 20)
  • Losing Jakaved, -6
  • anti-void light, +10
  • anti-stormlight, -6
  • Capturing Emul, and rescuing Hearthstone, +5

So, now it seems to me like team Radiant has a 45% chance to win. Up from 20%. If Mr. T can talk to Dalinar and tell him what is going on, then could be everyone is on the same side. No drama or Passion in that though ;-)

 

 

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