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It's a pretty straight forwards question. On the one hand he made the prophecy about the hero of Ages, which while vague was perfectly accurate, implying that he actually managed to predict Sazed taking up the Shards. On the other hand however, he did everything he could to keep Vin from releasing Ruin, which doesn't make sense if he knew about the events of book 3, after all why keep him in prision if the guy that will actually save them is out there? Was that vague description simply the best he could do, meaning he never realized he was actually talking about Sazed and that things actually played out this way was simply a lucky coincidence?

My Theory: Prophecies in the Mistborn world could be made by a feruchemist storing up physical speed, mental clarity, and luck for a prolonged period of time (maybe their whole life), and then, they would burn them in conjunction, to "guess" at what is coming, or to "guess" at what information their people will need about the days to come? (Mental clarity would be so they could fully understand what their luck was telling them, and physical speed would allow them to write it all down, quickly, allowing them to compound their luck and mental clarity, further.) This would also explain the vagueness of prophecy: the prophet doesn't actually see anything they are just making an incredibly "lucky" guess about what is to come. This is my theory on prophecy in that world. What do you gals and guys think?