Lumgol

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183 High Prelan

About Lumgol

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    Daughter of Thunder
  • Birthday May 29

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    Female
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    in my own little world

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  1. I think I won't be voting on anyone since nobody particularly strikes me as suspicious as of yet, and being a Noble, I can afford to do that.
  2. Darn, I was hoping to get elevated So I forgot to say this last turn (and people may have mentioned it before) but in probability terms, you have a slightly higher chance of being elevated if you distribute EP into many fields. Let's say that there is a total of 10 EP filed into Alchemy and 10 into Naming, not including whatever you file. (picking 2 fields at random here) You, aka Hypothetical Audience Person™, would enjoy being elevated in either of those fields about equally. You also happen to have 6 EP to file (to make the math a bit simpler, instead of 5). If you file all of your EP into Alchemy, you have a 6/(10+6) = 6/16 = 3/8 = 0.375 chance of being elevated. This one's pretty straightforward. However, if you file, say, 3 EP into Alchemy and 3 into Naming, the probability of being elevated becomes 1 - (the probability of both Masters elevating someone else) = 1 - (the chance of Master Alchemist not picking you ) * (the chance of Master Namer not picking you). That comes out to equal 1 - (10/13)*(10/13) = 0.408. Now, if you decide to file all of your EP into six different fields, each with 10 EP filed other than you, that brings you an elevation chance of 1 - (10/11)^6 = 0.435. I'll note that the math may work differently depending on variability in total numbers of EP filed in various fields. Y'all should check if what I did above is correct because it may very well turn out to be wrong. But I think this shows that if you care about getting elevated at all, it is in your interest to spread out EP as thin as possible. If you particularly want a certain field, though, then yes, feel free to go for that field.
  3. This. Year. Has. Been. Wild. On top of a difficult schedule and some complicated relationships, my self-diagnosed depression-ish stuff was worse this year than ever. And, y'know, I'm a teenager who is growing and changing and learning a lot about myself. I feel like this year hit me super hard with violently strong emotions of all kinds (good and bad) which I'm still learning to deal with. I do think that quarantine has been great for my mental health, though - I do get lonely, of course, but school was a big source of emotional stress, doubt, lethargy, and general bad things. So now I'm mostly free of that, but I still get to learn. Yay! I'm lurking somewhere in the 17S discord if anybody would like to talk - I'll listen to people vent, or it would be cool to just make friends and talk about whatever else! Everyone's mind is absolutely valid
  4. @Experience "Oh, uh, yeah," Caia said, adjusting her posture and belongings quickly. She stretched out a tiny pale hand toward the newcomer. "I'm Caia. What do you think you are going to study?" [she's asking the character, not the player] The man looked of a somewhat lower class, and Caia hoped he wouldn't judge her because of that. However, being somewhat poorer probably meant he had a real purpose in being here. That was a good sign. She remembered hearing about just how competitive access to the Archives seemed to be this year. It weighed on some of her hopes and dreams - somewhere surrounded by books was where she wanted to spend the rest of her life. Maybe, though, she would find something else to learn this year. It was a huge world.
  5. AAAAAAAAAAAAAA THIS THREAD EXPLODED Anyways, hi! I exist. @Zillah, if you were voting because I hadn't posted, just letting you know I'm here. That creates quite a bit of an IKYK... I'm wondering if almost no one will go into the Archives because they're discouraged from getting in, or if more people will go because they think nobody will try except them. First of all, some notes about the Lodgings: I think it was Fura who mentioned that the Windy Tower is objectively the best lodging. I definitely agree, at least for the early game. The Horse and Four, being the most expensive and providing safety from sabotage and attacks, is most useful to those who would be a likely target for the Skindancers - so maybe villagers with powerful abilities. As of now in the game, there isn't much player analysis going on and thus not as much information yet to determine who is more likely to be killed. Also, with no offensive items bought or created, there are simply less kills going around. Until mid-game, when offensive items start being created, I would not expect Skindancers to stay in this lodging for longer than this cycle. The Golden Pony is cheaper but still the second most expensive Lodging. As for now, again, there's not a lot of player analysis yet and votes are pretty widely distributed - players who are highly suspected or already somewhat close to being expelled would benefit most from the Golden Pony (particularly nobles who would rather not be disciplined). I could see people of either alignment who value staying in the university (and have decent money) staying here. The Grey Man is highly situational - either people stay there when they're expelled, which means that they didn't really choose it, or they might be really interested in some aspects of Imre, which could be for many reasons. now, The Windy Tower is cheaper than all three of the above lodgings and provides an extra EP. That's right, shiny knowledge points. In the early game, when everybody is trying to come into their own, but nobody is being highly suspected yet and there aren't as many kills going around, the Horse and Four and the Golden Pony aren't as necessary, but the Windy Tower provides more opportunities for player advancement. All of the lodgings cheaper than the windy tower give disadvantages - hence, the Windy Tower is by far the best deal. If I have time later, I've also been thinking about the different fields. - - - Caia Irèn scampered across the hallway down to the door of the huge lecture hall. Before going in, she glanced one last time at her older brother. "You'll do just fine, Cai," he said, smiling reassuringly. "I know this place is huge but you'll love it here. And I'll always be around if you need me." Caia was carrying too many books to hug him goodbye, but she smiled and nodded with giddy anticipation. And then she opened the door - or, should I say, struggle to do so without all of her books falling out. As she gazed into the hall, her earlier fears came back. It was so big. And the people, there were so many of them! Clutching her books tightly to her chest, Caia tiptoed and took a random empty seat. She noticed that a few students were already shaking hands and smiling at each other. Often, before coming to the University, she would imagine herself in their places. Laughing, talking, becoming inseparable, flowing easily as water. Now, though, the sheer chaos of everything going on seemed insurmountable. Well, I've come here to learn, haven't I? she thought. If I learn, I should be happy. @Burnt Spaghetti, @Elandera, @Lord_Silberfarben, @Karnage, and whoever else was doing that RP - Caia is in the same classroom.
  6. @Elbereth Yay, El! I bestow upon you... cinnamon. So that your opponents will think that you're an innocent cinnamon roll. And totally not about to murder everyone.
  7. Despite her short, slight figure, it was easy to pick her out in the crowd - the sheer energy in her step, her wide open eyes, her ponytail barely containing a mane of unruly dark floof. She could barely pick out a building in the distance, but her heart thrummed with anticipation. The Archives. I'm going to the Archives and nobody can stop me. Signing up as Caia Irèn. Say goodbye to my sanity, everyone.
  8. I'll vote for Devotary. I'll also scan them. If they're in the lead and get majority-lynched, we'll learn their type. I know that I'm not evil, so if Devotary's Type is that of the lying alignment scanner, then that explains things. If Devotary has a truth-telling type, then there's likely some role that obfuscates or redirects scans. Also, just speculating here, it's possible that some people have types that make them always scan village, or elim, or a 50-50 chance of scanning either way.