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Sage Kangaroo

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  1. Swan's case on Beagle is one of the reasons Beagle edged it for me over Scorp when I was going over D3 again.
  2. Bah, I'm done. Honestly day 3 is so confusing Scorpion votes Heron to put them in lead [2-1(bgl)-1(mkt)] Beagle moves from Tuatara to Cham to finally Heron to put them [3-1(bgl)-1(mkt)-1(crc)] Ostrich becomes the first Vulture voter. Scorpion shifts from Heron to Chameleon. Two for Heron and a whole load of ones. Immediately shifts back to Heron in this post - Heron (3) and a bunch of ones Penguin votes Chameleon. Vulture pushes Heron to 4. Still no opp. train greater than 1 vote. Scorpion shifts to Chameleon. Heron(3), Chameleon (2) Meerkat votes Chameleon to make it 3-3 Chameleon self-votes to put them in the lead [4-3] At this point, Scorpion shifts from Cham to Vulture to make it [3(chm)-3(hrn)-2(vlt)]. Shifts from a presumably V/V 4-3 train to involve Vulture. HM. Village points unless Scorpion knew Zebra was going to hit Vulture again. Meerkat shifts from Cham to Penguin [3-2-2-2] (hrn-chm-pgn-vlt) Scorpion shifts back from Vulture to Chameleon [3-3-2-1]. Evil points as it looks like they voted from Vulture when it seemed it was safe and shifted back when it was dangerous. Meerkat unvotes Penguin [3-3-1-1] Beagle shifts from Heron to Chameleon [4] and Heron[2]. Beagle unvotes Cham [3] and Heron[2]. Meerkat goes on Heron. Cham (3) and Heron (3). Meerkat changes to Vulture. [3(chm)-2(hrn)-2(vlt)] As soon as this happens, Scorpion moves to Heron to make it [3-3-2] again. Scorp elim points. Beagle votes Heron to to push them to lead at 4-2-2. Beagle elim points. Swan votes Chameleon to make it 4-3-2. Penguin shifts from Cham to Heron. Relative safety for Vulture at 5-2-2. 3 immediate votes on me from Ostrich, Iguana and Lion. 5(hrn)-3(kng)-2(chm)-1(vlt) 2 immediate votes on Vulture from Ostrich and Heron. 5(hrn)-3(vlt)-2(chm) Scorp changes from Heron to Albatross. 4-3-2. Village Scorp points? Penguin changes from Heron to Albatross too. 3(hrn)-3(vlt)-2(chm)-2(alb). Very important vote because it brings Albatross into the picture while also bringing Vulture to joint-lead. Strong village indication. Lion votes Albatross. I vote Cham. 3-3-3-3. Cham puts Albatross ahead to 4-3-3-2. Atp Cham is lock-vil. I change from Cham to Albatross. 5-3-3-1 Alb leading. Again, could have shifted to Heron, could have bussed Vulture but eh, beating a dead horse atp. Chameleon and Lion change to Heron. 5-3-3-1 but now Heron leading. Cham changes to Vulture. 4-4-3-1. Heron, Vulture co-leading. Lion puts Vulture in the lead. 5-3-3-1. Scorpion puts Vulture ahead at 6. IDK how to read this. Lion and Iguana vote Heron. Lion then shifts to Albatross. 5-4-3 and that's how we end up. From this, I want to say Penguin is village. The bolded bit is way too pivotal to ignore. Scorpion's behavior is a bit erratic - Scorp goes Heron -> Cham -> Heron -> Cham -> Vulture [3-3-2(vlt)] -> Cham [3-3-2(vlt) - they got it from 3-3-2 to 3-3-2, if evil, what point?] -> Heron -> Albatross (first voter)(stays on Albatross till 5(vlt)-3-3(alb)) -> Vulture [6-3-2] (bus? consolidate vulture over change of alb exe? village?) Beagle is pretty static after they put Heron in the lead (bolded bit). @Pearl Chameleon, @Chartreuse Penguin, I don't really have to time to read the other cycles but I think the last elim is in Scorpion/Beagle. Beagle miiiight just edge it atp. But it's really close to me rn.
  3. You're one of the top trusts along with Cham, why on Earth would e!me push for you over Penguin, a known Smoker? Anyways, looks like I cannot change anyone's mind. I'll case each of Scorp/Penguin/Beagle later, I'm in class rn. Come back to it when you need to vote next cycle. If Scorp is evil, they kill Beagle and go for Penguin last cycle as Cham is (or was) very gung-ho about killing Penguin. If Penguin is evil, hmm this is a bit tricky as they say both Beagle and Scorpion are their top trust. If they believe Cham's Thug claim, then they need to kill Scorp/Beagle. It comes down to whom they can convince Cham to vote for. If Beagle is evil, it's the same as e!Scorp case. They kill Scorp and join together with Cham to vote for Penguin.
  4. I don't know what either of those two mean. I'm just saying don't condemn me for being the player who as spoken the least among those of us alive. Don't park a vote on me and just doze off for the rest of the cycle. Go through my posts. Go through other players' post. Don't waste these two days because you WILL need to solve [Scorpion, Beagle, Penguin] after I die. I'll start off with hunch that Lion was as much killed for their last cycle case on Scorp or perhaps even more so because of it, rather than them being a Seeker. I'm still baffled by the missing vote though. The personal responsible still allowed us to ML Swan and Meerkat basically unopposed.
  5. Alright, first things first. I meant progression through the entire game. I initially thought there they seemed very genuine but then later found discrepancies in their posts and began suspecting them. All this prior to Day 3. It's quite simple, I had rushed through to catch up because I didn't time. The main players being discussed for execution were Vulture, Chameleon, Alb and Heron. Cham and Alb I suspected myself and had reasonings for them. Vulture, I recalled from my catching up as being voted on for which was [Vulture was suspected for saying they think Heron was e!CS]. I disagreed and said if they thought so and were evil, they'd just shoot Heron or use Heron, not try to get them exed. Which is why my vote did not go on Vulture. The only other player up for execution was Heron, and I just did not recall anything regarding players making a case for Heron [other than Vulture]. My posts are simply asking for a recap, just literally asking for the information I did not have. I did not want any to "convince" me to vote for Heron. I simply wanted to vote fully informed. It was 3-3-3-3, Cham moved to Alb, then I moved to Alb to make it 5[Alb]-3[Heron]-3[Vulture] Again, if e!me wanted to bus, why wouldn't I have voted on Vulture and gained cred when it was likely that the CS would shoot Vulture again? If Alb were to be exed, elims would lose both Alb and Vulture in the same cycle. Bussing Alb was the worst possible move there. Bussing Vulture the best.
  6. I know I have to probably go before the likes of Lion, Scorp, and Penguin but don't condemn me only for the lack of my posts as I have been posting as much as my schedule has been allowing me to. If not going over my posts, at least go through my progression on Alb and see for yourself if it makes sense for me to be Spiked with them.
  7. Yes my point was in case Meerkat does not flip e!Smoker, it means someone else Smoked Meerkat. And they haven't revealed it yet, so they're basically allowing us to ML on false assumptions [Swan is lying about Rioting, Meerkat is the Smoker], so if Meerkat is village, Penguin [or an unclaimed Smoker] is an elim.
  8. Meerkat But there's one more possibility that someone else was Smoking Meerkat. Remind me again, who are the Claimed Smokers?
  9. Oh btw, unpopular opinion, but I wouldn't be surprised if there are 3 elim team members left. Their mech composition so far seems quite weak and I would guess it'll be compensated through numbers. 6 out of 25 is not unrealistic, and there's Village Thug against Elim Thug. I didn't ignore them but they do stand out among everything you said. Like your posts this cycle does not seem villager-y at all I'm sorry. You did put in the effort for a re-read but your main inferences are basically - "X agrees with [known elim] so this could hint at X and [known_elim] being teammates" which is surface level analysis. [Edit: this reads quite harsh and I did not intend that at all, so this edit is to mellow things out] Also, you seem to deliberate leave out posts to create an agenda. For example, you flag my post of me village-reading Albatross but then you leave out me mentioning later that I disagreed with my earlier self and thought they weren't village and even leaving out the fact that I voted for them. Then you case Beagle, which is fair. But again, it feels "pick-and-selected" and if an elim is teammates with Albatross, they have to make a case on some player. I feel like you mainly specifically picked out posts that would make you infer two things - either Beagle is Spiked or Kanga/Alb are teammates.
  10. Locks - Zebra, Cham Near Locks - Scorp, Meerkat Close to Near Locks - Lion PoE - [Swan, Albatross, Penguin, Beagle, Crocodile] I almost want to remove Penguin from my PoE, I've been liking their recent posts quite a bit. Beagle doesn't seem to be in cahoots with Swan. Swan's recent post feels like they are teamed up with Albatross. I'd go Albatross = Swan > Crocodile > Beagle > Penguin in my PoE. Tiiiny bit paranoid about Lion shifting from Vulture to Heron and Soothing a vote in an attempt to save Vulture perhaps, but we're not there yet, I don't think. Wanna go Coral Swan over Albatross particularly because phrases like "when I flip village" and " as a well-intentioned villager" seems very fake like Swan wants to appear good.
  11. Don't think I can argue for anyone other than Albatross at this point, but I will re-read tomorrow and check if there's anything that pops up. Just... too... sleepy... today....
  12. Nah, I was online till your "challenge unaccepted" post in page 9 and I'm catching up to the rest just right now.
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